Hopeful news out of Washington State

7,816 Views | 45 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by jmfshr
Crocs
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AG
Cannot believe people are arguing whether or not social distancing is worth it or not.

Months after this is over, it'll be pretty hard to determine whether or not we overreacted.

But it will be undeniable if we underreacted.
mike0305
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Did Turner talk about how the hospitals are doing, how many hospitalized and rate of growth?

I haven't heard much reporting on it, maybe I am just looking in the wrong spot but Houston reporting seems so quiet. My main concern from lack of testing and reporting is the messaging to the public is absent, and that one day we're going to hear "oh crap our hospital system is overwhelmed with Covid patients". But people meanwhile haven't been taking it as seriously as they should have with the extra pressure of seeing big numbers of local cases, and the opportunity is lost and we are 10 to 14 days behind the curve.


TXTransplant
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mike0305 said:

Did Turner talk about how the hospitals are doing, how many hospitalized and rate of growth?

I haven't heard much reporting on it, maybe I am just looking in the wrong spot but Houston reporting seems so quiet. My main concern from lack of testing and reporting is the messaging to the public is absent, and that one day we're going to hear "oh crap our hospital system is overwhelmed with Covid patients". But people meanwhile haven't been taking it as seriously as they should have with the extra pressure of seeing big numbers of local cases, and the opportunity is lost and we are 10 to 14 days behind the curve.





Not specific numbers. But he did emphasize CoH only has 10 deaths. He said hospitals aren't overwhelmed...yet. And we have enough beds and ventilators...for now. He and the other guy who spoke (can't remember his title) said it is a day-by-day situation that can change very fast, so everyone still needs to stay home.

And my concerns are exactly the same as yours. Have people really been social distancing? And how sick are the diagnosed patients going to get. As I posted previously, I think average time to death is something like two weeks.
Keegan99
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"not including private tests" is a hell of a caveat.

That means it's impossible to do any "percent returning positive" calculation for the city.

But we do have that number for the state as a whole.

It's fair to ask why the City / County is unable to get that number, but the State is.
TXTransplant
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Keegan99 said:

"not including private tests" is a hell of a caveat.

That means it's impossible to do any "percent returning positive" calculation for the city.

But we do have that number for the state as a whole.

It's fair to ask why the City / County is unable to get that number, but the State is.
I wish they would report it, too. Montgomery County has on occasion, but not consistently. I have only seen one number for Harris - 1700 tests back on March 26, and I had to search for it. I think the Texas Med Center reported it.

CalAG
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AG
Also, the entire state has only done completed 5000-6000 tests in public labs. I can't believe they were all done in Houston. That leads me to believe Turner was confused on numbers and was reporting the statewide number for public lab tests.

So, even with all the crazy restrictions in who can get a test we are running less than 15% positive rate which isnt bad.
jm94
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Gov. Inslee just extended the school shut down for the rest of the year.
mike0305
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Great thanks for update and shared concern, hope we dodge this but if we do it will be a lot of luck rather than execution.
CapCityAg89
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jm94 said:

Gov. Inslee just extended the school shut down for the rest of the year.
Yep. My kids are in Tacoma school district. My senior has a ****ed up senior year, but has already essentially graduated, so aside from missing the fun of that time of her life, she's OK. But I'm not sure what happens to the 7th grader. Tacoma can't do required distance learning because of high percentage of the district without adequate resources (MUST be true for a vast majority of urban districts), so will she have to start next year in July to catch up? And I'm actually being a bit melodramatic for her specifically too - she's also honors and is several grade levels ahead in ELA and one in math (humble brag), but there are kids that are at grade level, you know, where they're supposed to be. What do those kids do?

The frustrating thing to me is that rather than make plans for how to act in school - add procedure masks to the dress code, hand sanitizer in every classroom, they give up. IF the curve continues to flatten and new cases continue a declining rate for the next four weeks (the old deadline), they will not be able to say "oops" and start up on a dime.

I absolutely agree with the "rather over react than under-react" thinking. 100%. My whole problem with this is the fact that there's ZERO exit strategy. When is this over? Nobody will define what it looks like. That's asinine to me. And it's not a democrat or republican thing. They've both punted and neither is actually leading.
Carnwellag2
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Keegan99 said:

China locked down because they're b) didn't know what they were dealing with.


do you really believe this???????
Keegan99
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AG
The information they had at the time was minimal compared to what we know today.
jmfshr
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Someone mentioned that Texas doesn't have many people who use mass transit, so we don't have that risk factor. But, we have millions of people who would have been attending Church services, if those gatherings had not been curtailed. We were fortunate to have been warned about the danger of mass-gatherings (fairly) early on the timeline.
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