Measuring SARS-CoV2 in sewage accurately predicts COVID-19 cases

2,074 Views | 1 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by Trolley Problems
Carolin_Gallego
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https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.19.20105999v1

Quote:

We report a time course of SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations in primary sewage sludge during the Spring COVID-19 outbreak in a northeastern U.S. metropolitan area. SARS-CoV-2 RNA was detected in all environmental samples and, when adjusted for the time lag, the virus RNA concentrations were highly correlated with the COVID-19 epidemiological curve (R2=0.99) and local hospital admissions (R2=0.99). SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations were a seven-day leading indicator ahead of compiled COVID-19 testing data and led local hospital admissions data by three days. Decisions to implement or relax public health measures and restrictions require timely information on outbreak dynamics in a community.

Almost every community should be doing this testing.
We believe progress is made through MORE discussion, not LESS, and we believe that to be true even if the topics are uncomfortable and we occasionally disagree with one another. - TexAgs
The name-calling technique making false associations is a child's game. The propagandist who uses this technique hopes that the audience will reject a person and their argument on this false basis.
Sisyphus
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This is great news. I wonder what kind of investment is required to implement this. I would think it could be done affordably but I'm just guessing.
Trolley Problems
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R^2 of 0.99. That's as statistically significant as you can get. Very interesting.
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