Massive drop in totals from Worldmeters today

4,109 Views | 19 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by KlinkerAg11
Exsurge Domine
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Lowest daily cases since May 10 (18,905)
Lowest daily deaths since Mar 25 (373)

I know the weekends are lower, but this low?
amercer
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AG
Brazil forget to check in today?
Keegan99
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AG
These are US totals.
amercer
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AG
Well Sunday is always the lowest day and the trend has been down for weeks.

Could be some of the unrest is delaying numbers more than usual on weekends though
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
I clicked on some of the states and some of the higher population counties didn't have reported numbers today. Texas, NJ, and CA were missing a lot of counties. Illinois numbers are a lot lower than they have been. These protests will be a good indicator for how things are going to go.
PJYoung
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AG
PJYoung
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AG
Beginning with Easter week (April 19th-25th).

Daily average deaths in the US in the 7 weeks since Easter:

2,143.57
1,884.00
1,799.14
1,384.00
1,224.29
983.00
899.57
Aust Ag
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AG
I feel like this will be the week to finally get a good feel for this thing once and for all, after everything that has gone on the last week or two.
Harkrider 93
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AG
Aust Ag said:

I feel like this will be the week to finally get a good feel for this thing once and for all, after everything that has gone on the last week or two.
It will only help, but if people can't see what is going to happen after all the graduation parties, Memorial Day weekend, beach/lake/park attendance, and close proximity biz openings, then I don't know what will.
Dazed and Confused
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AG
Aust Ag said:

I feel like this will be the week to finally get a good feel for this thing once and for all, after everything that has gone on the last week or two.

http://texags.com/forums/84/topics/3115892
QuantumNoodle
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Not over yet for everyone - Utah (where im at) is on the rise after being open for ~3 weeks
Gizzards
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AG
All that matters in the short run is the trend where you live.
VKint
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AG
Agree, what counts is your area. I follow state dashboard of inpatients. Houston area has a sharp rise. Dallas fairly flat. I suspect this is our future for sometime, watch your personal location and adjust accordingly.
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Detmersdislocatedshoulder
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Aust Ag said:

I feel like this will be the week to finally get a good feel for this thing once and for all, after everything that has gone on the last week or two.


If only I hadn't heard this statement for the last 3 months I would be right there with you. Unfortunately that's all we have heard with no proof that this bug is what they thought it would be. We were lied to so in my opinion you get busy living or you get busy dying.
Complete Idiot
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I still believe it's seasonal.

https://www.healio.com/news/infectious-disease/20200413/8year-study-shows-coronaviruses-have-sharp-seasonality
Barnyard96
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AG
Basic question. Are hospitals becoming more successful at treatment?
KlinkerAg11
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AG
I would assume so watching the death curve dropping.

I think we were quick to vent/ didn't have a treatment plan when this first got the the United States which increased death.

I think we have a better idea of how to treat. I also think that the virus quickly burns through the most vulnerable. Once it runs out of people to kill/infect the death curve will drop followed by the infection curve.
Keegan99
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AG
Unquestionably.

The doctors can chime in here, but just following the discussion there's no doubt that practitioners are leaps and bounds ahead of where they were two months ago.
beerad12man
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AG
Definitely a big part of the reason for it, but aren't people getting tested more and more? That would also explain some of the drop.
Keegan99
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AG
Yep. The disease preys on the infirm, and there are only so many.

The past two flu seasons have been quite mild. That left a larger-than-usual pool of vulnerable. Combine that with the cohort that was otherwise trending toward death in the coming year, and that's the bulk of victims.

What COVID has generally done is squeeze a lot of deaths that "could have" or "should have" occurred in the previous 18 or so months and a lot of deaths that "would have" occurred in the next 18 or so months into a very narrow band of a only few months.

I have little doubt that had COVID hit two years ago, after the intense 2017-2018 flu season, US deaths from COVID would be fewer by the tens of thousands.
KlinkerAg11
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AG
The increase in testing will increase the denominator.

You'll have more people with known cases which will drop the fatality rate, which is a great thing. It means it's not as deadly for a certain group of people.

But it wouldn't affect the overall death count. That drop in overall death to me shows increase in knowledge of treatment/ it is running out of people to kill.
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