1939 said:
Do you think New York has reached her immunity and that why they are having so few cases now. Just to reinforce your point, we antibody tested our entire office of approx. 360 people in San Antonio a few weeks ago wen the number of confirmed cases was very low, close to 50 people tested positive for antibodies and every report I've heard is that they were all either asymptomatic or had very mild symptoms that lasted for no more than a few days.
Also, there are reports out of Italy that the virus has mutated and the severity is much less than in the beginning, which I think is pretty obvious but American doctors don't seem to want to talk about.
Interesting to look at NY - change second dropdown to "(ALL)" to see how testing is up but total confirmed cases way down.
https://covid19tracker.health.ny.gov/views/NYS-COVID19-Tracker/NYSDOHCOVID-19Tracker-DailyTracker?%3Aembed=yes&%3Atoolbar=no&%3Atabs=nI think mutations in different areas can stay pretty local, at least for a good period of time, so a mutation in Italy may not match what is happening in Texas. And severity and communicability are separate, if a mutation explains a drop in NY cases that might suggest it's less communicable - or that they have some immunity as a group. Whatever the case may be, definitely a large drop in new cases detected in NY and it does seem that in areas with a large amount of testing, the bulk of the rise/spread take 6-8 weeks to pass. We may see a rise in Texas until mid or late July, but it should taper off if it follows that pattern. I understand it isn't apples to apples when comparing different countries and areas within our country, but try to see the end of this with a positive light.