Skillet Shot said:

Old Buffalo said:

PJYoung said:

I expect deaths to trend back up starting this week or next. We have had 9 consecutive weeks going down.


Daily average by week:

2,143.57
1,884.00
1,799.14
1,384.00
1,224.29
983.00
899.57
775.86
636.14
589.29
Why? We've had 9 weeks of trending down. Why is it just going to tick up?
The number of cases have increased. Pick your reason:

a) increase in testing capacity = finding more positives
b) spread from George Floyd protests
c) spread from Memorial day/economy reopening
d) combination of all 3

If deaths do not increase proportionally with cases, that is good. Pick your reason:

a) new virus strain is less deadly
b) same virus strain but now we know the real mortality rate due to increased testing
c) doctors are improving treatment regiments
d) younger population are getting sick with better immune responses

As long as the hospitals are not overrun, increased positives just bring us that much closer to herd immunity.


I believe both issues are due to combination of all the above factors in your proposed q/a