TMC Hospitalizations seven day average drops to July 1st level - Great News

5,402 Views | 29 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by Pasquale Liucci
DadHammer
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https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/tmc-daily-new-covid-19-hospitalizations/

Seems Houston is following the similar pattern of hard hit areas. It really took off about June 15th. If the trends hold we should see significant clearing by the end of August.
PJYoung
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Good news
cone
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what about July 4th? we might not see that bump until August 1.
DadHammer
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Seven day average is the better way to follow it. If you pick the highest day someone will just pick the lowest day not far from that. Say pick July 5th or 6th, way lower than the 4th.
LB12Diamond
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Hmm

Which is exactly opposite what was stated in Hidalgo's letter to superintendents yesterday.

Not good you have to lie to persuade your stance.
DadHammer
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I would never listen to Hidalgo. The numbers are clear and available.
LB12Diamond
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Well I hope these numbers are being shown to the superintendents.
CardiffGiant
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All the more reason why I'm still pissed that school districts are making decisions right now to delay opening. They shut down schools in the spring at the drop of a hat. It's a lot easier to shut schools down than to get them opened up. Why make the decisions right now to delay? Why not wait till Aug 10th to make that decision?
DadHammer
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Good question.
Agsrback12
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CardiffGiant said:

All the more reason why I'm still pissed that school districts are making decisions right now to delay opening. They shut down schools in the spring at the drop of a hat. It's a lot easier to shut schools down than to get them opened up. Why make the decisions right now to delay? Why not wait till Aug 10th to make that decision?


School administrators have next to zero capacity for dealing with Karen. There may be three in the entire state that won't let Karen dictate.
DadHammer
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Jebber said:

Well I hope these numbers are being shown to the superintendents.

Shouldn't they be following this data already by themselves? What kind of leader is not reviewing the TMC data?

That would be flat out ignorant to purposeful negligence on their part.
wbr_iii
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Keep things as "bad" as possible nation wide until November 3.
GAC06
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Jebber said:

Hmm

Which is exactly opposite what was stated in Hidalgo's letter to superintendents yesterday.

Not good you have to lie to persuade your stance.


Not good you have to throw those kind of accusations around instead of looking at the data yourself
LB12Diamond
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Not sure if serious

Why state this when anyone can look at the data that shows your statement is a lie.

We are clearly talking about hospital capacity just in case you are slow. It's in the title of the thread.
RandyAg98
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Still trending downward.



oragator
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Wrong thread.
74Ag1
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Another good trend

RandyAg98
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Trend continues...

JClark97
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The protester surge is starting to wear off. I'll be the hospitalization rate keeps coming down week over week.
Bert315
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I know the hospital system I work at has remained steady with a slight decline over the last week - week and a half. This is with taking in transfers from other facilities who are maxed and need assistance. Very encouraging signs if we can hold this path over the next week.
Not a Bot
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East of DFW. We are still on the upswing. Nurse ratios over the last week or so have been to the point where some are considering invoking "Safe Harbor."

This is some thing a nurse would never ever want to do.
Squadron7
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Moxley said:

East of DFW. We are still on the upswing. Nurse ratios over the last week or so have been to the point where some are considering invoking "Safe Harbor."

This is some thing a nurse would never ever want to do.

I'll bite. What is "Safe Harbor"?
Not a Bot
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Squadron7 said:

Moxley said:

East of DFW. We are still on the upswing. Nurse ratios over the last week or so have been to the point where some are considering invoking "Safe Harbor."

This is some thing a nurse would never ever want to do.

I'll bite. What is "Safe Harbor"?


The Texas Board of Nursing requires nurses to act within defined guidelines for the safe care of their patients. If a nurse accepts a patient assignment and there is some violation of duty of care, the BON can discipline the nurse up to possible revocation of licensure. Generally speaking, the board doesn't care how busy you are. If a mistake is made in the care of a patient, you are responsible and held accountable.

If a nurse genuinely believes an assignment is unsafe and the proper duty of care cannot be guaranteed, they can invoke part of the Nurse Practice Act called "safe harbor." Safe harbor, when declared at the beginning of an assignment, can shield the nurse from board discipline in the event of something bad happening on the shift. Facilities are required to bring the request to a peer review committee and are forbidden from retaliating against the nurse. Invoking safe harbor creates a lot of headaches for nursing management and in general, the nurses who do this become pariahs and get run off.
RandyAg98
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Big Al 1992
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So TMC has peaked - curve looks that way.
terradactylexpress
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The key takeaway today said 27% into phase 2. Yesterday was 5, that has to be a typo right?
Fitch
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Looks like 27% is accurate. Increase in ICU Covid and non-covid occupancy.

RandyAg98
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It has fluctuated quite a bit day to day, but 27% is the highest I have seen. Since new hospitalizations have consistently been trending down, I assume patients staying longer or more hospitalized cases needing ICU?

The COVID # in ICU was 716 yesterday up from 691 the day before. That is the highest it has been. Have not had time to dig into the data, but that seems strange.
Not a Bot
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Remember the new hospitalizations are additive and people are staying in the hospital long time. The numbers will start to flip when the number discharged exceed the number admitted, and we are not at that point yet.
Bert315
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Just remember that during the week the numbers will increase due to surgery's that require overnight stays. We have a lot of procedures still being made up from the shut down so we will run a little higher than stage 1 but can easily reduce if necessary. Covid admits are down and we should see the total hospitalized follow soon.
Pasquale Liucci
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From what I saw in the data today: New hospitalizations continue downward trend. Med surg beds occupancy down. ICU slightly up. Agree with post above, admits down, some ICU admits lingering (this is dwell time issue cited by ethical skeptic on twitter), but hospitalizations in general beginning to trend favorable which will be leading indicator for ICU and admits.
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