CDC updates their survival rate stats

7,868 Views | 47 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by DTP02
fullback44
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nortex97 said:

Was this posted here? To me it looks like folks under 50 should just be able to get on with their lives/productive years in the economy.




so its about like the flu or even less lethal...

lets shut down more cities and states just for the hell of it... ruin some more lives
nortex97
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Yep. I don't particularly find the CDC credible anyway. Dr. Atlas is correct here;


Quote:

Alexander's response told you all you need to know about how worthless most of the corporate press is. He asked Dr. Atlas "Who are we to believe?"

In response, Dr. Atlas gave him a list of the research proving that, contrary to what Redfield had told Congress, much more than 10 percent of Americans have immunity to COVID-19. He had to remind Alexander, that he could, you know, look up the data and figure out who was right.

But, though Alexander fancies himself a journalist, like most of his colleagues he's really just a glorified gossip columnist. It simply never even occurred to him to look at the research himself and report anything deeper than what someone else has said about it.

One problem Dr. Atlas pointed out is that what Redfield told Congress came from data which, in many cases, is over five months out of date:
Quote:

The data he was talking about is [CDC] surveillance data which showed that roughly 9% of the country has antibodies. But when you look at the CDC data state by state, much of that data is old. Some of it goes back to March or April, before many of these states had the cases. That's point number one.
But it's point number two that's the real kicker. Researchers have known since the middle of the last century that, besides antibody-producing B-cells, your body also has a second equally important defense against infections provided by T-cells.
nai06
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nortex97 said:

Yep. I don't particularly find the CDC credible anyway. Dr. Atlas is correct here;


Quote:

Alexander's response told you all you need to know about how worthless most of the corporate press is. He asked Dr. Atlas "Who are we to believe?"

In response, Dr. Atlas gave him a list of the research proving that, contrary to what Redfield had told Congress, much more than 10 percent of Americans have immunity to COVID-19. He had to remind Alexander, that he could, you know, look up the data and figure out who was right.

But, though Alexander fancies himself a journalist, like most of his colleagues he's really just a glorified gossip columnist. It simply never even occurred to him to look at the research himself and report anything deeper than what someone else has said about it.

One problem Dr. Atlas pointed out is that what Redfield told Congress came from data which, in many cases, is over five months out of date:
Quote:

The data he was talking about is [CDC] surveillance data which showed that roughly 9% of the country has antibodies. But when you look at the CDC data state by state, much of that data is old. Some of it goes back to March or April, before many of these states had the cases. That's point number one.
But it's point number two that's the real kicker. Researchers have known since the middle of the last century that, besides antibody-producing B-cells, your body also has a second equally important defense against infections provided by T-cells.



Can you explain why you trust Dr. Scott Atlas who has doesn't have experience in infectious diseases over the Centers for Disease Control? Is it just because you agree with him or does he have some sort of expertise im unaware of?
Squadron7
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Jet Black said:

Thought the goal was to not overrun the hospitals?

This. This. This. This. This.

Any omission of this basic fact cannot be a simple oversight.

aglaohfour
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daggertx said:

JesusQuintana said:

Are people under 50 not living life? Other than a mask here and there, my under 50 family has been back to normal all summer. Vacations, kids in sports and school, etc. If healthy young(ish) folks aren't living life it's likely a personal choice but from my small window to the world life is moving along.
Except for all the people that are going out of business still, in record numbers thanks to the shutdowns in Texas. Yes its back to normal.
My family is living life as normal in that we go where we want (if it's open) when we want. My daughter is attending dance, theater, and music lessons in person (wearing a mask). But our businesses have still not fully recovered and we will continue to face a lot of uncertainty until everything is fully 'open' again. Oh and our daughter is still attending school virtually which has forced me to be a first grade teacher instead of focusing on our businesses. And of course there are the teachers who are in hysterics telling everyone who will listen that if they return to school in person, they're all definitely going to die. And I can't even allude to the fact that we are trying to live life normally lest I be ostracized by other moms in our immediate circle who have fully bought into the hype that the teachers are schilling all over social media. So yeah, aside from the economic uncertainty and the extreme fear mongering by people in positions of authority, life is being lived.
beerad12man
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CowtownEng said:

Keegan99 said:

knoxtom said:

The_Fox said:

Get rid of the stupid mask mandates and open it all up. Period. I said back in March this was a massive overreaction and the data now bears that out.

Or maybe the masks and social distancing work. Period.




MaSkS WoRk!!!





How can mask effectiveness (one way or another) be determined from that chart?
Well, from dozens of charts out there, it's pretty easy to determine they don't have much of an effect on community spread. They may or may not work for any individual.
beerad12man
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nai06 said:

nortex97 said:

Yep. I don't particularly find the CDC credible anyway. Dr. Atlas is correct here;


Quote:

Alexander's response told you all you need to know about how worthless most of the corporate press is. He asked Dr. Atlas "Who are we to believe?"

In response, Dr. Atlas gave him a list of the research proving that, contrary to what Redfield had told Congress, much more than 10 percent of Americans have immunity to COVID-19. He had to remind Alexander, that he could, you know, look up the data and figure out who was right.

But, though Alexander fancies himself a journalist, like most of his colleagues he's really just a glorified gossip columnist. It simply never even occurred to him to look at the research himself and report anything deeper than what someone else has said about it.

One problem Dr. Atlas pointed out is that what Redfield told Congress came from data which, in many cases, is over five months out of date:
Quote:

The data he was talking about is [CDC] surveillance data which showed that roughly 9% of the country has antibodies. But when you look at the CDC data state by state, much of that data is old. Some of it goes back to March or April, before many of these states had the cases. That's point number one.
But it's point number two that's the real kicker. Researchers have known since the middle of the last century that, besides antibody-producing B-cells, your body also has a second equally important defense against infections provided by T-cells.



Can you explain why you trust Dr. Scott Atlas who has doesn't have experience in infectious diseases over the Centers for Disease Control? Is it just because you agree with him or does he have some sort of expertise im unaware of?
It isn't just Dr Atlas, FWIW. Also, if the CDC is saying 0.0025, with 200+k dead. That doesn't add up to 10%. Somethings amiss with their numbers. Doesn't take long to figure that out.

The CDC has said some dumb crap throughout this and contradicted themselves multiple times. Forgive some of us for looking at data we have seen and thinking they are likely wrong in their assessment that only 9% of people are immune to this thing right now.
nortex97
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nai06 said:

nortex97 said:

Yep. I don't particularly find the CDC credible anyway. Dr. Atlas is correct here;


Quote:

Alexander's response told you all you need to know about how worthless most of the corporate press is. He asked Dr. Atlas "Who are we to believe?"

In response, Dr. Atlas gave him a list of the research proving that, contrary to what Redfield had told Congress, much more than 10 percent of Americans have immunity to COVID-19. He had to remind Alexander, that he could, you know, look up the data and figure out who was right.

But, though Alexander fancies himself a journalist, like most of his colleagues he's really just a glorified gossip columnist. It simply never even occurred to him to look at the research himself and report anything deeper than what someone else has said about it.

One problem Dr. Atlas pointed out is that what Redfield told Congress came from data which, in many cases, is over five months out of date:
Quote:

The data he was talking about is [CDC] surveillance data which showed that roughly 9% of the country has antibodies. But when you look at the CDC data state by state, much of that data is old. Some of it goes back to March or April, before many of these states had the cases. That's point number one.
But it's point number two that's the real kicker. Researchers have known since the middle of the last century that, besides antibody-producing B-cells, your body also has a second equally important defense against infections provided by T-cells.



Can you explain why you trust Dr. Scott Atlas who has doesn't have experience in infectious diseases over the Centers for Disease Control? Is it just because you agree with him or does he have some sort of expertise im unaware of?
I believe the CDC is thoroughly politically compromised, while also being thoroughly incompetent, as it's former director (Tom Friedan) doing the talk circuits has illustrated perfectly.

It's also failed to provide accurate, scientifically based guidance throughout this pandemic. Thus, I'm looking for intelligent people (doctors or otherwise) analyzing the statistics and facts (aka science) in a cogent manner whom I can trust for guidance.
KidDoc
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nortex97 said:

nai06 said:

nortex97 said:

Yep. I don't particularly find the CDC credible anyway. Dr. Atlas is correct here;


Quote:

Alexander's response told you all you need to know about how worthless most of the corporate press is. He asked Dr. Atlas "Who are we to believe?"

In response, Dr. Atlas gave him a list of the research proving that, contrary to what Redfield had told Congress, much more than 10 percent of Americans have immunity to COVID-19. He had to remind Alexander, that he could, you know, look up the data and figure out who was right.

But, though Alexander fancies himself a journalist, like most of his colleagues he's really just a glorified gossip columnist. It simply never even occurred to him to look at the research himself and report anything deeper than what someone else has said about it.

One problem Dr. Atlas pointed out is that what Redfield told Congress came from data which, in many cases, is over five months out of date:
Quote:

The data he was talking about is [CDC] surveillance data which showed that roughly 9% of the country has antibodies. But when you look at the CDC data state by state, much of that data is old. Some of it goes back to March or April, before many of these states had the cases. That's point number one.
But it's point number two that's the real kicker. Researchers have known since the middle of the last century that, besides antibody-producing B-cells, your body also has a second equally important defense against infections provided by T-cells.



Can you explain why you trust Dr. Scott Atlas who has doesn't have experience in infectious diseases over the Centers for Disease Control? Is it just because you agree with him or does he have some sort of expertise im unaware of?
I believe the CDC is thoroughly politically compromised, while also being thoroughly incompetent, as it's former director (Tom Friedan) doing the talk circuits has illustrated perfectly.

It's also failed to provide accurate, scientifically based guidance throughout this pandemic. Thus, I'm looking for intelligent people (doctors or otherwise) analyzing the statistics and facts (aka science) in a cogent manner whom I can trust for guidance.
I would check out ZdoggMD on youtube. He is a great middle of the road, science based point of view.

And his Darth Vader stuff is pretty dang funny as are his musical parodies.
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samurai_science
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Here is some science showing masks don't work. More studies are out, this is just a few I grabbed.


Review of the Medical Literature
Here are key anchor points to the extensive scientific literature that establishes that wearing surgical masks and respirators (e.g., "N95") does not reduce the risk of contracting a verified illness:

Jacobs, J. L. et al. (2009) "Use of surgical face masks to reduce the incidence of the common cold among health care workers in Japan: A randomized controlled trial," American Journal of Infection Control, Volume 37, Issue 5, 417 419. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19216002

N95-masked health-care workers (HCW) were significantly more likely to experience headaches. Face mask use in HCW was not demonstrated to provide benefit in terms of cold symptoms or getting colds.

Cowling, B. et al. (2010) "Face masks to prevent transmission of influenza virus: A systematic review," Epidemiology and Infection, 138(4), 449-456. https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/epidemiology-and-infection/article/face-masks-to-prevent-transmission-of-influenza-virus-a-systematic- review/64D368496EBDE0AFCC6639CCC9D8BC05
None of the studies reviewed showed a benefit from wearing a mask, in either HCW or community members in households (H). See summary Tables 1 and 2 therein.

bin-Reza et al. (2012) "The use of masks and respirators to prevent transmission of influenza: a systematic review of the scientific evidence," Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses 6(4), 257267. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/j.1750-2659.2011.00307.x
"There were 17 eligible studies. None of the studies established a conclusive relationship between mask/respirator use and protection against influenza infection."

Smith, J.D. et al. (2016) "Effectiveness of N95 respirators versus surgical masks in protecting health care workers from acute respiratory infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis," CMAJ Mar 2016 https://www.cmaj.ca/content/188/8/567
"We identified six clinical studies . In the meta-analysis of the clinical studies, we found no significant difference between N95 respirators and surgical masks in associated risk of (a) laboratory-confirmed respiratory infection, (b) influenza-like illness, or (c) reported work-place absenteeism."

Offeddu, V. et al. (2017) "Effectiveness of Masks and Respirators Against Respiratory Infections in Healthcare Workers: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis," Clinical Infectious Diseases, Volume 65, Issue 11, 1 December 2017, Pages 19341942, https://academic.oup.com/cid/article/65/11/1934/4068747

Radonovich, L.J. et al. (2019) "N95 Respirators vs Medical Masks for Preventing Influenza Among Health Care Personnel: A Randomized Clinical Trial," JAMA. 2019; 322(9): 824833. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2749214

"Among 2862 randomized participants, 2371 completed the study and accounted for 5180 HCW-seasons. ... Among outpatient health care personnel, N95 respirators vs medical masks as worn by participants in this trial resulted in no significant difference in the incidence of laboratory-confirmed influenza."

Long, Y. et al. (2020) "Effectiveness of N95 respirators versus surgical masks against influenza: A systematic review and meta-analysis," J Evid Based Med. 2020; 1- 9. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jebm.12381

"A total of six RCTs involving 9,171 participants were included. There were no statistically significant differences in preventing laboratory-confirmed influenza, laboratory-confirmed respiratory viral infections, laboratory-confirmed respiratory infection, and influenza-like illness using N95 respirators and surgical masks. Meta-analysis indicated a protective effect of N95 respirators against laboratory-confirmed bacterial colonization (RR = 0.58, 95% CI 0.43-0.78). The use of N95 respirators compared with surgical masks is not associated with a lower risk of laboratory-confirmed influenza."

Conclusion Regarding That Masks Do Not Work

No RCT study with verified outcome shows a benefit for HCW or community members in households to wearing a mask or respirator. There is no such study. There are no exceptions.
Likewise, no study exists that shows a benefit from a broad policy to wear masks in public (more on this below).

Furthermore, if there were any benefit to wearing a mask, because of the blocking power against droplets and aerosol particles, then there should be more benefit from wearing a respirator (N95) compared to a surgical mask, yet several large meta-analyses, and all the RCT, prove that there is no such relative benefit.

Masks and respirators do not work.


coolerguy12
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AG
Who are you going to believe, a bunch of scientist who have no agenda or the CDC who is from the government and is here to help?
JamesE4
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beerad12man said:

nai06 said:

nortex97 said:

Yep. I don't particularly find the CDC credible anyway. Dr. Atlas is correct here;


Quote:

Alexander's response told you all you need to know about how worthless most of the corporate press is. He asked Dr. Atlas "Who are we to believe?"

In response, Dr. Atlas gave him a list of the research proving that, contrary to what Redfield had told Congress, much more than 10 percent of Americans have immunity to COVID-19. He had to remind Alexander, that he could, you know, look up the data and figure out who was right.

But, though Alexander fancies himself a journalist, like most of his colleagues he's really just a glorified gossip columnist. It simply never even occurred to him to look at the research himself and report anything deeper than what someone else has said about it.

One problem Dr. Atlas pointed out is that what Redfield told Congress came from data which, in many cases, is over five months out of date:
Quote:

The data he was talking about is [CDC] surveillance data which showed that roughly 9% of the country has antibodies. But when you look at the CDC data state by state, much of that data is old. Some of it goes back to March or April, before many of these states had the cases. That's point number one.
But it's point number two that's the real kicker. Researchers have known since the middle of the last century that, besides antibody-producing B-cells, your body also has a second equally important defense against infections provided by T-cells.



Can you explain why you trust Dr. Scott Atlas who has doesn't have experience in infectious diseases over the Centers for Disease Control? Is it just because you agree with him or does he have some sort of expertise im unaware of?
It isn't just Dr Atlas, FWIW. Also, if the CDC is saying 0.0025, with 200+k dead. That doesn't add up to 10%. Somethings amiss with their numbers. Doesn't take long to figure that out.

The CDC has said some dumb crap throughout this and contradicted themselves multiple times. Forgive some of us for looking at data we have seen and thinking they are likely wrong in their assessment that only 9% of people are immune to this thing right now.
200K dead w/ .0025 equates to 80 MM infected - so a little more than 20% of the U.S. has been infected with COVID. That seems a little high to me - I think ~15-17% infected nationwide is probably closer. I still believe that a region hits "herd immunity" at about 20% infected. The big cities are there - rural areas not quite.

So instead of .0025, maybe closer to .0037.

Either way, we are past the worst, and should not be afraid to send kids back to school and people back to work.


Aston94
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I am not pro or anti mask, but three of those studies were comparing one type of mask to another type of mask, and concluded there was not appreciable difference between an N95 mask and a surgical mask. That doesn't mean masks don't work does it?

DTP02
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JamesE4 said:

beerad12man said:

nai06 said:

nortex97 said:

Yep. I don't particularly find the CDC credible anyway. Dr. Atlas is correct here;


Quote:

Alexander's response told you all you need to know about how worthless most of the corporate press is. He asked Dr. Atlas "Who are we to believe?"

In response, Dr. Atlas gave him a list of the research proving that, contrary to what Redfield had told Congress, much more than 10 percent of Americans have immunity to COVID-19. He had to remind Alexander, that he could, you know, look up the data and figure out who was right.

But, though Alexander fancies himself a journalist, like most of his colleagues he's really just a glorified gossip columnist. It simply never even occurred to him to look at the research himself and report anything deeper than what someone else has said about it.

One problem Dr. Atlas pointed out is that what Redfield told Congress came from data which, in many cases, is over five months out of date:
Quote:

The data he was talking about is [CDC] surveillance data which showed that roughly 9% of the country has antibodies. But when you look at the CDC data state by state, much of that data is old. Some of it goes back to March or April, before many of these states had the cases. That's point number one.
But it's point number two that's the real kicker. Researchers have known since the middle of the last century that, besides antibody-producing B-cells, your body also has a second equally important defense against infections provided by T-cells.



Can you explain why you trust Dr. Scott Atlas who has doesn't have experience in infectious diseases over the Centers for Disease Control? Is it just because you agree with him or does he have some sort of expertise im unaware of?
It isn't just Dr Atlas, FWIW. Also, if the CDC is saying 0.0025, with 200+k dead. That doesn't add up to 10%. Somethings amiss with their numbers. Doesn't take long to figure that out.

The CDC has said some dumb crap throughout this and contradicted themselves multiple times. Forgive some of us for looking at data we have seen and thinking they are likely wrong in their assessment that only 9% of people are immune to this thing right now.
200K dead w/ .0025 equates to 80 MM infected - so a little more than 20% of the U.S. has been infected with COVID. That seems a little high to me - I think ~15-17% infected nationwide is probably closer. I still believe that a region hits "herd immunity" at about 20% infected. The big cities are there - rural areas not quite.

So instead of .0025, maybe closer to .0037.

Either way, we are past the worst, and should not be afraid to send kids back to school and people back to work.





We never should have been afraid to send kids back to school. That was an irrational panic move from the jump.
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