AG81xx said:
I posted this on another thread on Politics board:
I had COVID one month ago and I'm debating whether to get the vaccine later this summer (have international travel planned). Here is some math I did from data I gathered from the internet (hard to get accurate data so you may find different numbers).
The math: Chances of dying from vaccine in US = 0.0015% or 1 out of 67,000 (3837 deaths out of 257million doses) vs chances of reinfection from COVID = 0.00015% or 1 in 670,000 cases (50 verified reinfection cases out of 33,500,000 original cases). So I have 10 times more chance of dying from the vaccine than catching COVID again ( but NOT DYING FROM) ..
To put it in perspective, chances of getting hit by lightning in a single year is 1 in 500,000.
So probably shouldn't get vaccine unless forced to.
And of that, was it correlation or causation? Did they happen to die from the vaccine or just die b/c they were severely at risk and just had a lot of health issues already. It's just like the issue with Covid deaths. 500,000 died. But of those, how many would have died anyway given their health conditions? It's one thing for the 38 year old dies from Covid, even with health issues, as the odds are he or she lives. But how many over 80 with serious health problems who were at death's door anyway and would have died anyway? How many who took the vaccine and died were going to die from their other ailments anyway and the vaccine had nothing to do with the death? Further, these very "at risk" patients, if it were the vaccine that did kill them, the odds of them dying from Covid are pretty much 100%. So if they were that much at risk from dying from Covid, you do what you can to treat them even at great risk. Just like when treating patients who are dying from other illnesses and a doctor decides to undergo a procedure that is a very high risk one but if it works could save the patient's life.
What I want to know is the number of low risk, healthy people that have died b/c of the vaccine. Not sure there really have been any.