***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

9,495,767 Views | 52731 Replies | Last: 8 hrs ago by Cynical Texan w/ MS
PJYoung
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Quote:

The Russian front in Ukraine is crumbling. Ukraine is launching robo-offensives, systematically disrupting Russian logistics up to 150km behind the front lines, expanding the kill zone to 25km where no sneaking infantryman can get through anymore, and decimating Russian air defenses. On the strategic level, Russian fossil exports are being massively disrupted by drone strikes, and the military production system is being systematically dismantled at its choke points. After Orbn's electoral defeat, Ukraine is getting a 90 billion financial boost from the EU. If Putin were correctly informed by his underlings, he would start ceasefire negotiations. Russia cannot win this war. On the contrary, defeat looms.

74OA
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Ukraine is running out of Patriot missiles.

"With the cutoff of U.S. aid to Ukraine under President Donald Trump, Patriot missiles have become a particular sticking point. Made only in the U.S., despite new manufacturing under development in Germany, PAC-3 missiles remain by far the best defense Ukraine has against Russian ballistic missiles, which strike frequently."

DEFENSE
Sq 17
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Isn't everybody running out of Patriot Missiles?
JFABNRGR
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The orcs for sure along with every other type of ADA munition.

“You can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.”
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
74OA
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More bad things happening deep inside Russia.

"A powerful explosion was reported at the Samara Kommunar plant in Samara, Russia, a defense-industrial facility directly involved in the production of explosives and the filling of munitions, according to local sources and open-source intelligence communities monitoring activity in the region."

BLAST
74OA
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Sq 17 said:

Isn't everybody running out of Patriot Missiles?

No one else who's fighting for their country's survival.
PJYoung
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PJYoung
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Ag with kids
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PJYoung said:



This is actually a great thing for both Ukraine AND the West...
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Sq 17
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I had read several years worth of production of Patriots that were fired in the last couple of weeks of the Iranian "war" on top of all the missiles used fighting the Orcs
Ag with kids
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Sq 17 said:

Isn't everybody running out of Patriot Missiles?

That's kinda true. They've been used to protect not just Ukraine but the entire middle east.

I think the company I started my engineering career with as a co-op might just have to make a **** ton more.

As a side note - I was on the PAC-3 program all the way to downselect (it was ERINT up until then). It was an awesome missile...
You can turn off signatures, btw
74OA
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Russia's Shahed drones are coming apart in flight.

"Ukrainian military footage shows intercepted Russian Shahed drones arriving with detached access panels, bent wingtips, and missing nose fairings, indicating systemic assembly failures. Russia's Alabuga drone factory in Tatarstan employs unskilled migrant workers, relies on inferior Chinese components, and prioritizes volume output over manufacturing quality."

GOOD
aggiehawg
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This is uhm...unhelpful.

Teslag
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That idiot needs to worry about hitting targets IN Ukraine before he thinks about expanding the battlefield to Europe.
Sims
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Medvedev's sabre-rattling has become a genre unto itself.

He and Putin are essentially what the Trump Taco phenomenon is as described by TDS sufferers. Stake out a wild position (Medvedev/Trump Tweet), then "settle" for a position that appears to be restrained, and was actually the original goal anyway (Putin/Taco).

The 'reasonable' position was always the real ask.
lb3
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aggiehawg said:

This is uhm...unhelpful.


wow. Shows how weak Europe is. He knows better than to call out Lockheed Martin or other American defense contractors.
PJYoung
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lb3 said:

aggiehawg said:

This is uhm...unhelpful.



wow. Shows how weak Europe is. He knows better than to call out Lockheed Martin or other American defense contractors.

It shows how weak SOMEbody is.
txags92
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lb3 said:

aggiehawg said:

This is uhm...unhelpful.



wow. Shows how weak Europe is. He knows better than to call out Lockheed Martin or other American defense contractors.

I would imagine Sir Keir is wetting down the inside of his leg in fear right now.
PJYoung
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equipment and troop movements in these areas.

The 1st Corps of the Azov Brigade notes that such UAV activity indicates weaknesses in Russia's airspace control system. Until recently, these directions were considered relatively safe by Russian forces.

"There is no safe rear for the occupiers. Hiding and protecting themselves is impossible," the corps emphasized.
2wealfth Man
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Man, that is crazy easy pickings. Driving a tanker truck in there?, no damn way, suicide trip
Waffledynamics
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Good luck, 20,000 troops.
aggiehawg
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Quote:

Russia is preparing a new ground offensive in southeastern Ukraine, drawing on its strategic reserves to reinforce its forces in the country with another 20,000 troops, HUR representative Skibitskyi told the Financial Times.

With roughly 680,000 soldiers currently deployed on Ukrainian territory, Moscow is aiming to seize the entirety of Donbas by September.

Color me skeptical.
2wealfth Man
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aggiehawg said:

Quote:

Russia is preparing a new ground offensive in southeastern Ukraine, drawing on its strategic reserves to reinforce its forces in the country with another 20,000 troops, HUR representative Skibitskyi told the Financial Times.

With roughly 680,000 soldiers currently deployed on Ukrainian territory, Moscow is aiming to seize the entirety of Donbas by September.

Color me skeptical.
likely 500k of those are drunks, druggies, not from Russia or haven't the slightest clue as to what to do. If Ukraine could ever scale up for any kind of sizable combined arms offensive, It feels like they could crack the Russian lines pretty seriously and the whole damn front would turn tail and run.
Waffledynamics
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That's a stretch. The front is very long. It would be nice to see them take some chunks back, though.
2wealfth Man
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you are right; but maybe a key sector where logistics are at a nexus, and threaten all supply lines from the rear
Rossticus
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Waffledynamics said:



Good luck, 20,000 troops.


Russia gonna need more holes and more sacks of potatoes. You want job security in Russia these days? Be a gravedigger.
pagerman @ work
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2wealfth Man said:

aggiehawg said:

Quote:

Russia is preparing a new ground offensive in southeastern Ukraine, drawing on its strategic reserves to reinforce its forces in the country with another 20,000 troops, HUR representative Skibitskyi told the Financial Times.

With roughly 680,000 soldiers currently deployed on Ukrainian territory, Moscow is aiming to seize the entirety of Donbas by September.

Color me skeptical.
likely 500k of those are drunks, druggies, not from Russia or haven't the slightest clue as to what to do. If Ukraine could ever scale up for any kind of sizable combined arms offensive, It feels like they could crack the Russian lines pretty seriously and the whole damn front would turn tail and run.

Come on in boys, the water is fine…


“Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy. It's inherent virtue is the equal sharing of miseries." - Winston Churchill
DCPD158
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Waffledynamics said:



Good luck, 20,000 troops.

Isn't that a month's supply currently?
Company I-1, Ord-Ords '85 -12thFan and Websider-
Cynical Texan w/ MS
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Dim Medvedev better stay away from windows.
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