major MAHA announcement tomorrow

33,223 Views | 360 Replies | Last: 5 mo ago by EFR
BigRobSA
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YouBet said:

I'm still laughing that somehow Trump curing autism is somehow a possibility with this announcement.

Guys, come on.



Another Trump limiter!?

Get him!!!
shack009
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I think he wanted your opinion and observations based on your experience as a doctor, and you went to Grok?

Vaccine skepticism isn't killing kids.
shack009
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YouBet said:

I'm still laughing that somehow Trump curing autism is somehow a possibility with this announcement.

Guys, come on.


Is there anybody that thinks he cured it, or do people think a link has been found with certain prior practices that can prevent some future cases?
YouBet
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shack009 said:

YouBet said:

I'm still laughing that somehow Trump curing autism is somehow a possibility with this announcement.

Guys, come on.


Is there anybody that thinks he cured it, or do people think a link has been found with certain prior practices that can prevent some future cases?

I don't know. I just think the speculation is funny.
HalifaxAg
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Rest assured whatever they announce, the left will fight it tooth & nail and there will be parents (who shouldn't be parents) do exactly the opposite just to spite Trump and not actually care for the child.
Science Denier
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HalifaxAg said:

Rest assured whatever they announce, the left will fight it tooth & nail and there will be parents (who shouldn't be parents) do exactly the opposite just to spite Trump and not actually care for the child.

Remember the Vax?

With Trump: NO WAY I'M TAKING THAT VAX
With Biden: NOT ONLY AM I TAKING IT, I'M MANDATING OTHERS TO TAKE IT!!!
LOL OLD
Emotional Support Cobra
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I am old enough to remember 10-20 years ago when antivaxxers were liberal hippie Granola parents and they just rubbed clove oil on everything. How the turns table.

In general, I have just never been a big fan of acetaminophen when compared to using ibuprofen on kids. Neighbor was an MD and wouldn't keep it in the house for fear of his toddler kid finding it and overdosing. Only gave Motrin. Not that they were negligent parents, but in the way when you work in an ED you adopt certain precautions at home after you see things.

MD1993
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The owner of the company I worked for just announced to the management team that Trump has cured Autism.
Ag with kids
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agracer said:

SquirrellyDan said:

KidDoc said:



### Key Estimates from CDC Data
The most comprehensive recent analysis comes from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), focusing on the impact of routine childhood immunizations under the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program since 1994.

- **Total Prevented (19942023)**: Among ~117 million children born in this period, vaccines prevented an estimated **1,129,000 deaths** over their lifetimes from VPDs. This includes ~508 million illnesses and 32 million hospitalizations averted. These figures cover nine key vaccines: DTaP (diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis), Hib, polio, MMR (measles, mumps, rubella), hepatitis B, varicella, PCV (pneumococcal), hepatitis A, and rotavirus.
- Breakdown by disease (lifetime deaths prevented for this birth cohort):
| Disease/Vaccine | Estimated Deaths Prevented |
|-----------------|----------------------------|
| Pertussis (DTaP) | 376,000 |
| Polio | 199,000 |
| Tetanus (DTaP) | 162,000 |



I'll just pick out one AI comment you apparently agree with…you really think 162,000 kids are dying in 2025 from Tetanus if we don't have the vaccine ?

since 1994.

So 162,000 in 30-years or 5,400 per year.

Also, Tetanus can be treated with anti-biotics.


Of course, you have this, though...

Quote:

Treatment
A tetanus infection requires emergency and long-term supportive care while the disease runs its course, often in an intensive care unit. Any wounds are cared for and the healthcare team will make sure that the ability to breathe is protected. Medicines are given that ease symptoms, target the bacteria, target the toxin made by the bacteria and boost immune system response.
The disease progresses for about two weeks, and recovery can last about a month.

Sounds like that might be expensive...
PDEMDHC
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MD1993 said:

The owner of the company I worked for just announced to the management team that Trump has cured Autism.


Washington post is just saying to avoid Tylenol and then that drug the doctor posted about earlier may be a treatment.
KidDoc
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SquirrellyDan said:

KidDoc said:

suburban cowboy said:

KidDoc said:

The leucovorin treatment works for some autism patients. You can look up Dr Frye and Cerebral folate deficiency for details. It is not a cure all, only effective for those patients which may end up being a large percentage of autistic children. I have been prescribing it a few months and as expected some kids really improve and some it does nothing.

The Tylenol seems like a big stretch. But I don't know what data he is sitting on.

I would be ecstatic if this stopped the anti vax trend that is literally killing healthy children.


can you expand on the vax comment


From a grok question:

### Overview of Preventable Childhood Deaths from Vaccine-Preventable Diseases in the USA

Vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) in children include infections like measles, pertussis (whooping cough), polio, Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib), diphtheria, tetanus, varicella (chickenpox), hepatitis B, pneumococcal disease, rotavirus, and hepatitis A. In the USA, widespread childhood vaccination since the mid-20th century has dramatically reduced these diseases, eliminating or nearly eliminating deaths from most. For instance, pre-vaccine era annual estimates for the 13 major VPDs (prior to 2005 recommendations) included over 20,000 deaths in children, compared to fewer than 100 today across all ages.

The term "preventable" in this context refers to deaths averted *due to* vaccination programsi.e., the number of fatalities that would have occurred without vaccines. Current annual deaths from VPDs in US children are extremely low (often 010 per year total), but estimates model historical baselines and vaccine efficacy to quantify total prevention.

### Key Estimates from CDC Data
The most comprehensive recent analysis comes from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), focusing on the impact of routine childhood immunizations under the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program since 1994.

- **Total Prevented (19942023)**: Among ~117 million children born in this period, vaccines prevented an estimated **1,129,000 deaths** over their lifetimes from VPDs. This includes ~508 million illnesses and 32 million hospitalizations averted. These figures cover nine key vaccines: DTaP (diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis), Hib, polio, MMR (measles, mumps, rubella), hepatitis B, varicella, PCV (pneumococcal), hepatitis A, and rotavirus.
- Breakdown by disease (lifetime deaths prevented for this birth cohort):
| Disease/Vaccine | Estimated Deaths Prevented |
|-----------------|----------------------------|
| Pertussis (DTaP) | 376,000 |
| Polio | 199,000 |
| Tetanus (DTaP) | 162,000 |
| Rubella (MMR) | 138,000 |
| Diphtheria (DTaP) | 104,000 |
| Measles (MMR) | 76,000 |
| Hib | 39,000 |
| Hepatitis B | 19,000 |
| Varicella | 7,000 |
| Mumps (MMR) | 3,000 |
| Rotavirus | 2,000 |
| Pneumococcal (PCV) | 2,000 |
| Hepatitis A | 1,000 |
| **Total** | **1,129,000** |

- **Annual Average Prevented**: Over 30 years, this equates to ~**37,633 deaths prevented per year** across all ages for these cohorts. However, the majority occur in childhood (<18 years), as these diseases primarily affect young children. For context, pre-vaccine era annual child deaths from these diseases alone exceeded 10,00015,000.

### Historical Context (Pre-Vaccine Era vs. Now)
Before vaccines, VPDs caused massive child mortality in the USA:
- Annual estimates (early 20th century): ~48,000 deaths from 10 key VPDs in children under 15 (e.g., 6,000 from pertussis, 5,000 from diphtheria).
- Post-vaccination: By 20232024, CDC surveillance reports 0 deaths from polio/measles/diphtheria/rubella since 2000, <5 from pertussis annually in children, and near-zero for Hib/varicella/hepatitis A/B.

### Challenges and Future Risks
Despite success, vaccine hesitancy has led to coverage drops (e.g., MMR at 93% in 2023 vs. 95% target), risking outbreaks. Recent pertussis cases rose to 18,000+ in 2024, with 10 child deathsmostly in unvaccinated or undervaccinated kids. If coverage falls further, models predict 100s1,000s of additional preventable deaths annually.

Global estimates (e.g., WHO/UNICEF) focus on low-income countries (~700,000 child VPD deaths/year worldwide), but US-specific data aligns with CDC figures, emphasizing vaccination's role in averting nearly all historical child VPD mortality.

For the latest CDC surveillance, visit their VPD morbidity page. Consult a pediatrician for personalized vaccination advice.


I'll just pick out one AI comment you apparently agree with…you really think 162,000 kids are dying in 2025 from Tetanus if we don't have the vaccine ?

Hard to know but that is what the data shows. I know I have plenty of country teens that get dirty injuries regularly.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
SquirrellyDan
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Ag with kids said:

agracer said:

SquirrellyDan said:

KidDoc said:



### Key Estimates from CDC Data
The most comprehensive recent analysis comes from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), focusing on the impact of routine childhood immunizations under the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program since 1994.

- **Total Prevented (19942023)**: Among ~117 million children born in this period, vaccines prevented an estimated **1,129,000 deaths** over their lifetimes from VPDs. This includes ~508 million illnesses and 32 million hospitalizations averted. These figures cover nine key vaccines: DTaP (diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis), Hib, polio, MMR (measles, mumps, rubella), hepatitis B, varicella, PCV (pneumococcal), hepatitis A, and rotavirus.
- Breakdown by disease (lifetime deaths prevented for this birth cohort):
| Disease/Vaccine | Estimated Deaths Prevented |
|-----------------|----------------------------|
| Pertussis (DTaP) | 376,000 |
| Polio | 199,000 |
| Tetanus (DTaP) | 162,000 |



I'll just pick out one AI comment you apparently agree with…you really think 162,000 kids are dying in 2025 from Tetanus if we don't have the vaccine ?

since 1994.

So 162,000 in 30-years or 5,400 per year.

Also, Tetanus can be treated with anti-biotics.


Of course, you have this, though...

Quote:

Treatment
A tetanus infection requires emergency and long-term supportive care while the disease runs its course, often in an intensive care unit. Any wounds are cared for and the healthcare team will make sure that the ability to breathe is protected. Medicines are given that ease symptoms, target the bacteria, target the toxin made by the bacteria and boost immune system response.
The disease progresses for about two weeks, and recovery can last about a month.

Sounds like that might be expensive...


Tetanus is risk to kids who are regularly crawling through mud and muck with open wounds. But that isn't enough. They also need to have very inattentive parents who will let wound fester for significant amount of time. But that isn't enough, they also need to refuse medical treatment. If this is you, then by all means the vaccine is for you and could save your child's life.
SquirrellyDan
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KidDoc said:

SquirrellyDan said:

KidDoc said:

suburban cowboy said:

KidDoc said:

The leucovorin treatment works for some autism patients. You can look up Dr Frye and Cerebral folate deficiency for details. It is not a cure all, only effective for those patients which may end up being a large percentage of autistic children. I have been prescribing it a few months and as expected some kids really improve and some it does nothing.

The Tylenol seems like a big stretch. But I don't know what data he is sitting on.

I would be ecstatic if this stopped the anti vax trend that is literally killing healthy children.


can you expand on the vax comment


From a grok question:

### Overview of Preventable Childhood Deaths from Vaccine-Preventable Diseases in the USA

Vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) in children include infections like measles, pertussis (whooping cough), polio, Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib), diphtheria, tetanus, varicella (chickenpox), hepatitis B, pneumococcal disease, rotavirus, and hepatitis A. In the USA, widespread childhood vaccination since the mid-20th century has dramatically reduced these diseases, eliminating or nearly eliminating deaths from most. For instance, pre-vaccine era annual estimates for the 13 major VPDs (prior to 2005 recommendations) included over 20,000 deaths in children, compared to fewer than 100 today across all ages.

The term "preventable" in this context refers to deaths averted *due to* vaccination programsi.e., the number of fatalities that would have occurred without vaccines. Current annual deaths from VPDs in US children are extremely low (often 010 per year total), but estimates model historical baselines and vaccine efficacy to quantify total prevention.

### Key Estimates from CDC Data
The most comprehensive recent analysis comes from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), focusing on the impact of routine childhood immunizations under the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program since 1994.

- **Total Prevented (19942023)**: Among ~117 million children born in this period, vaccines prevented an estimated **1,129,000 deaths** over their lifetimes from VPDs. This includes ~508 million illnesses and 32 million hospitalizations averted. These figures cover nine key vaccines: DTaP (diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis), Hib, polio, MMR (measles, mumps, rubella), hepatitis B, varicella, PCV (pneumococcal), hepatitis A, and rotavirus.
- Breakdown by disease (lifetime deaths prevented for this birth cohort):
| Disease/Vaccine | Estimated Deaths Prevented |
|-----------------|----------------------------|
| Pertussis (DTaP) | 376,000 |
| Polio | 199,000 |
| Tetanus (DTaP) | 162,000 |
| Rubella (MMR) | 138,000 |
| Diphtheria (DTaP) | 104,000 |
| Measles (MMR) | 76,000 |
| Hib | 39,000 |
| Hepatitis B | 19,000 |
| Varicella | 7,000 |
| Mumps (MMR) | 3,000 |
| Rotavirus | 2,000 |
| Pneumococcal (PCV) | 2,000 |
| Hepatitis A | 1,000 |
| **Total** | **1,129,000** |

- **Annual Average Prevented**: Over 30 years, this equates to ~**37,633 deaths prevented per year** across all ages for these cohorts. However, the majority occur in childhood (<18 years), as these diseases primarily affect young children. For context, pre-vaccine era annual child deaths from these diseases alone exceeded 10,00015,000.

### Historical Context (Pre-Vaccine Era vs. Now)
Before vaccines, VPDs caused massive child mortality in the USA:
- Annual estimates (early 20th century): ~48,000 deaths from 10 key VPDs in children under 15 (e.g., 6,000 from pertussis, 5,000 from diphtheria).
- Post-vaccination: By 20232024, CDC surveillance reports 0 deaths from polio/measles/diphtheria/rubella since 2000, <5 from pertussis annually in children, and near-zero for Hib/varicella/hepatitis A/B.

### Challenges and Future Risks
Despite success, vaccine hesitancy has led to coverage drops (e.g., MMR at 93% in 2023 vs. 95% target), risking outbreaks. Recent pertussis cases rose to 18,000+ in 2024, with 10 child deathsmostly in unvaccinated or undervaccinated kids. If coverage falls further, models predict 100s1,000s of additional preventable deaths annually.

Global estimates (e.g., WHO/UNICEF) focus on low-income countries (~700,000 child VPD deaths/year worldwide), but US-specific data aligns with CDC figures, emphasizing vaccination's role in averting nearly all historical child VPD mortality.

For the latest CDC surveillance, visit their VPD morbidity page. Consult a pediatrician for personalized vaccination advice.


I'll just pick out one AI comment you apparently agree with…you really think 162,000 kids are dying in 2025 from Tetanus if we don't have the vaccine ?

Hard to know but that is what the data shows. I know I have plenty of country teens that get dirty injuries regularly.


Getting a dirty wound isn't enough, as I'm sure you're well aware.
fredfredunderscorefred
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AG
Bunch of plaintiff lawyers that got shut down a few years ago on the acetaminophen link will likely be yelling "I freakin told you so!" today
https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.587481/gov.uscourts.nysd.587481.1381.0.pdf
KidDoc
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shack009 said:

I think he wanted your opinion and observations based on your experience as a doctor, and you went to Grok?

Vaccine skepticism isn't killing kids.

AI can tabulate data much faster than any human.

I could just say that vaccines work and I hate seeing patients left open to dangerous infectious disease due to parental anxiety disorder but then vax refusers would just roll their eyes and claim I'm being paid millions by pharma.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
KidDoc
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SquirrellyDan said:

KidDoc said:

SquirrellyDan said:

KidDoc said:

suburban cowboy said:

KidDoc said:

The leucovorin treatment works for some autism patients. You can look up Dr Frye and Cerebral folate deficiency for details. It is not a cure all, only effective for those patients which may end up being a large percentage of autistic children. I have been prescribing it a few months and as expected some kids really improve and some it does nothing.

The Tylenol seems like a big stretch. But I don't know what data he is sitting on.

I would be ecstatic if this stopped the anti vax trend that is literally killing healthy children.


can you expand on the vax comment


From a grok question:

### Overview of Preventable Childhood Deaths from Vaccine-Preventable Diseases in the USA

Vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) in children include infections like measles, pertussis (whooping cough), polio, Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib), diphtheria, tetanus, varicella (chickenpox), hepatitis B, pneumococcal disease, rotavirus, and hepatitis A. In the USA, widespread childhood vaccination since the mid-20th century has dramatically reduced these diseases, eliminating or nearly eliminating deaths from most. For instance, pre-vaccine era annual estimates for the 13 major VPDs (prior to 2005 recommendations) included over 20,000 deaths in children, compared to fewer than 100 today across all ages.

The term "preventable" in this context refers to deaths averted *due to* vaccination programsi.e., the number of fatalities that would have occurred without vaccines. Current annual deaths from VPDs in US children are extremely low (often 010 per year total), but estimates model historical baselines and vaccine efficacy to quantify total prevention.

### Key Estimates from CDC Data
The most comprehensive recent analysis comes from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), focusing on the impact of routine childhood immunizations under the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program since 1994.

- **Total Prevented (19942023)**: Among ~117 million children born in this period, vaccines prevented an estimated **1,129,000 deaths** over their lifetimes from VPDs. This includes ~508 million illnesses and 32 million hospitalizations averted. These figures cover nine key vaccines: DTaP (diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis), Hib, polio, MMR (measles, mumps, rubella), hepatitis B, varicella, PCV (pneumococcal), hepatitis A, and rotavirus.
- Breakdown by disease (lifetime deaths prevented for this birth cohort):
| Disease/Vaccine | Estimated Deaths Prevented |
|-----------------|----------------------------|
| Pertussis (DTaP) | 376,000 |
| Polio | 199,000 |
| Tetanus (DTaP) | 162,000 |
| Rubella (MMR) | 138,000 |
| Diphtheria (DTaP) | 104,000 |
| Measles (MMR) | 76,000 |
| Hib | 39,000 |
| Hepatitis B | 19,000 |
| Varicella | 7,000 |
| Mumps (MMR) | 3,000 |
| Rotavirus | 2,000 |
| Pneumococcal (PCV) | 2,000 |
| Hepatitis A | 1,000 |
| **Total** | **1,129,000** |

- **Annual Average Prevented**: Over 30 years, this equates to ~**37,633 deaths prevented per year** across all ages for these cohorts. However, the majority occur in childhood (<18 years), as these diseases primarily affect young children. For context, pre-vaccine era annual child deaths from these diseases alone exceeded 10,00015,000.

### Historical Context (Pre-Vaccine Era vs. Now)
Before vaccines, VPDs caused massive child mortality in the USA:
- Annual estimates (early 20th century): ~48,000 deaths from 10 key VPDs in children under 15 (e.g., 6,000 from pertussis, 5,000 from diphtheria).
- Post-vaccination: By 20232024, CDC surveillance reports 0 deaths from polio/measles/diphtheria/rubella since 2000, <5 from pertussis annually in children, and near-zero for Hib/varicella/hepatitis A/B.

### Challenges and Future Risks
Despite success, vaccine hesitancy has led to coverage drops (e.g., MMR at 93% in 2023 vs. 95% target), risking outbreaks. Recent pertussis cases rose to 18,000+ in 2024, with 10 child deathsmostly in unvaccinated or undervaccinated kids. If coverage falls further, models predict 100s1,000s of additional preventable deaths annually.

Global estimates (e.g., WHO/UNICEF) focus on low-income countries (~700,000 child VPD deaths/year worldwide), but US-specific data aligns with CDC figures, emphasizing vaccination's role in averting nearly all historical child VPD mortality.

For the latest CDC surveillance, visit their VPD morbidity page. Consult a pediatrician for personalized vaccination advice.


I'll just pick out one AI comment you apparently agree with…you really think 162,000 kids are dying in 2025 from Tetanus if we don't have the vaccine ?

Hard to know but that is what the data shows. I know I have plenty of country teens that get dirty injuries regularly.


Getting a dirty wound isn't enough, as I'm sure you're well aware.

You should see some of the incredible MRSA infections we see coming in. Those teens are tough and don't want to go to the doc so don't mention it to parents until it is getting really bad.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
shack009
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AG
KidDoc said:

shack009 said:

I think he wanted your opinion and observations based on your experience as a doctor, and you went to Grok?

Vaccine skepticism isn't killing kids.

AI can tabulate data much faster than any human.

I could just say that vaccines work and I hate seeing patients left open to dangerous infectious disease due to parental anxiety disorder but then vax refusers would just roll their eyes and claim I'm being paid millions by pharma.

It also isn't capable of discerning thought, unlike humans.

I'm not sure how large of a group there is saying "vaccines don't work" as you imply. The questions are do small babies need dozens of vaccines shortly after birth, are parents allowed to weigh risk/reward, and do we have all the necessary data/information to make informed decisions.

Regarding your last point, people don't think individual doctors are each paid off by big pharma. But everything you learned in school and residency and every publication you read to stay informed on current happenings in the medical field is in the pocket of big pharma. Just saying that your viewpoints as a medical professional likely have been shaped by big pharma whether you like it or not.
shack009
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KidDoc said:

SquirrellyDan said:

KidDoc said:

SquirrellyDan said:

KidDoc said:

suburban cowboy said:

KidDoc said:

The leucovorin treatment works for some autism patients. You can look up Dr Frye and Cerebral folate deficiency for details. It is not a cure all, only effective for those patients which may end up being a large percentage of autistic children. I have been prescribing it a few months and as expected some kids really improve and some it does nothing.

The Tylenol seems like a big stretch. But I don't know what data he is sitting on.

I would be ecstatic if this stopped the anti vax trend that is literally killing healthy children.


can you expand on the vax comment


From a grok question:

### Overview of Preventable Childhood Deaths from Vaccine-Preventable Diseases in the USA

Vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) in children include infections like measles, pertussis (whooping cough), polio, Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib), diphtheria, tetanus, varicella (chickenpox), hepatitis B, pneumococcal disease, rotavirus, and hepatitis A. In the USA, widespread childhood vaccination since the mid-20th century has dramatically reduced these diseases, eliminating or nearly eliminating deaths from most. For instance, pre-vaccine era annual estimates for the 13 major VPDs (prior to 2005 recommendations) included over 20,000 deaths in children, compared to fewer than 100 today across all ages.

The term "preventable" in this context refers to deaths averted *due to* vaccination programsi.e., the number of fatalities that would have occurred without vaccines. Current annual deaths from VPDs in US children are extremely low (often 010 per year total), but estimates model historical baselines and vaccine efficacy to quantify total prevention.

### Key Estimates from CDC Data
The most comprehensive recent analysis comes from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), focusing on the impact of routine childhood immunizations under the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program since 1994.

- **Total Prevented (19942023)**: Among ~117 million children born in this period, vaccines prevented an estimated **1,129,000 deaths** over their lifetimes from VPDs. This includes ~508 million illnesses and 32 million hospitalizations averted. These figures cover nine key vaccines: DTaP (diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis), Hib, polio, MMR (measles, mumps, rubella), hepatitis B, varicella, PCV (pneumococcal), hepatitis A, and rotavirus.
- Breakdown by disease (lifetime deaths prevented for this birth cohort):
| Disease/Vaccine | Estimated Deaths Prevented |
|-----------------|----------------------------|
| Pertussis (DTaP) | 376,000 |
| Polio | 199,000 |
| Tetanus (DTaP) | 162,000 |
| Rubella (MMR) | 138,000 |
| Diphtheria (DTaP) | 104,000 |
| Measles (MMR) | 76,000 |
| Hib | 39,000 |
| Hepatitis B | 19,000 |
| Varicella | 7,000 |
| Mumps (MMR) | 3,000 |
| Rotavirus | 2,000 |
| Pneumococcal (PCV) | 2,000 |
| Hepatitis A | 1,000 |
| **Total** | **1,129,000** |

- **Annual Average Prevented**: Over 30 years, this equates to ~**37,633 deaths prevented per year** across all ages for these cohorts. However, the majority occur in childhood (<18 years), as these diseases primarily affect young children. For context, pre-vaccine era annual child deaths from these diseases alone exceeded 10,00015,000.

### Historical Context (Pre-Vaccine Era vs. Now)
Before vaccines, VPDs caused massive child mortality in the USA:
- Annual estimates (early 20th century): ~48,000 deaths from 10 key VPDs in children under 15 (e.g., 6,000 from pertussis, 5,000 from diphtheria).
- Post-vaccination: By 20232024, CDC surveillance reports 0 deaths from polio/measles/diphtheria/rubella since 2000, <5 from pertussis annually in children, and near-zero for Hib/varicella/hepatitis A/B.

### Challenges and Future Risks
Despite success, vaccine hesitancy has led to coverage drops (e.g., MMR at 93% in 2023 vs. 95% target), risking outbreaks. Recent pertussis cases rose to 18,000+ in 2024, with 10 child deathsmostly in unvaccinated or undervaccinated kids. If coverage falls further, models predict 100s1,000s of additional preventable deaths annually.

Global estimates (e.g., WHO/UNICEF) focus on low-income countries (~700,000 child VPD deaths/year worldwide), but US-specific data aligns with CDC figures, emphasizing vaccination's role in averting nearly all historical child VPD mortality.

For the latest CDC surveillance, visit their VPD morbidity page. Consult a pediatrician for personalized vaccination advice.


I'll just pick out one AI comment you apparently agree with…you really think 162,000 kids are dying in 2025 from Tetanus if we don't have the vaccine ?

Hard to know but that is what the data shows. I know I have plenty of country teens that get dirty injuries regularly.


Getting a dirty wound isn't enough, as I'm sure you're well aware.

You should see some of the incredible MRSA infections we see coming in. Those teens are tough and don't want to go to the doc so don't mention it to parents until it is getting really bad.

According to Google AI, there is no FDA-approved vaccine for MRSA.
A.G.S.94
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KidDoc said:

SquirrellyDan said:

KidDoc said:

SquirrellyDan said:

KidDoc said:

suburban cowboy said:

KidDoc said:

The leucovorin treatment works for some autism patients. You can look up Dr Frye and Cerebral folate deficiency for details. It is not a cure all, only effective for those patients which may end up being a large percentage of autistic children. I have been prescribing it a few months and as expected some kids really improve and some it does nothing.

The Tylenol seems like a big stretch. But I don't know what data he is sitting on.

I would be ecstatic if this stopped the anti vax trend that is literally killing healthy children.


can you expand on the vax comment


From a grok question:

### Overview of Preventable Childhood Deaths from Vaccine-Preventable Diseases in the USA

Vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) in children include infections like measles, pertussis (whooping cough), polio, Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib), diphtheria, tetanus, varicella (chickenpox), hepatitis B, pneumococcal disease, rotavirus, and hepatitis A. In the USA, widespread childhood vaccination since the mid-20th century has dramatically reduced these diseases, eliminating or nearly eliminating deaths from most. For instance, pre-vaccine era annual estimates for the 13 major VPDs (prior to 2005 recommendations) included over 20,000 deaths in children, compared to fewer than 100 today across all ages.

The term "preventable" in this context refers to deaths averted *due to* vaccination programsi.e., the number of fatalities that would have occurred without vaccines. Current annual deaths from VPDs in US children are extremely low (often 010 per year total), but estimates model historical baselines and vaccine efficacy to quantify total prevention.

### Key Estimates from CDC Data
The most comprehensive recent analysis comes from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), focusing on the impact of routine childhood immunizations under the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program since 1994.

- **Total Prevented (19942023)**: Among ~117 million children born in this period, vaccines prevented an estimated **1,129,000 deaths** over their lifetimes from VPDs. This includes ~508 million illnesses and 32 million hospitalizations averted. These figures cover nine key vaccines: DTaP (diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis), Hib, polio, MMR (measles, mumps, rubella), hepatitis B, varicella, PCV (pneumococcal), hepatitis A, and rotavirus.
- Breakdown by disease (lifetime deaths prevented for this birth cohort):
| Disease/Vaccine | Estimated Deaths Prevented |
|-----------------|----------------------------|
| Pertussis (DTaP) | 376,000 |
| Polio | 199,000 |
| Tetanus (DTaP) | 162,000 |
| Rubella (MMR) | 138,000 |
| Diphtheria (DTaP) | 104,000 |
| Measles (MMR) | 76,000 |
| Hib | 39,000 |
| Hepatitis B | 19,000 |
| Varicella | 7,000 |
| Mumps (MMR) | 3,000 |
| Rotavirus | 2,000 |
| Pneumococcal (PCV) | 2,000 |
| Hepatitis A | 1,000 |
| **Total** | **1,129,000** |

- **Annual Average Prevented**: Over 30 years, this equates to ~**37,633 deaths prevented per year** across all ages for these cohorts. However, the majority occur in childhood (<18 years), as these diseases primarily affect young children. For context, pre-vaccine era annual child deaths from these diseases alone exceeded 10,00015,000.

### Historical Context (Pre-Vaccine Era vs. Now)
Before vaccines, VPDs caused massive child mortality in the USA:
- Annual estimates (early 20th century): ~48,000 deaths from 10 key VPDs in children under 15 (e.g., 6,000 from pertussis, 5,000 from diphtheria).
- Post-vaccination: By 20232024, CDC surveillance reports 0 deaths from polio/measles/diphtheria/rubella since 2000, <5 from pertussis annually in children, and near-zero for Hib/varicella/hepatitis A/B.

### Challenges and Future Risks
Despite success, vaccine hesitancy has led to coverage drops (e.g., MMR at 93% in 2023 vs. 95% target), risking outbreaks. Recent pertussis cases rose to 18,000+ in 2024, with 10 child deathsmostly in unvaccinated or undervaccinated kids. If coverage falls further, models predict 100s1,000s of additional preventable deaths annually.

Global estimates (e.g., WHO/UNICEF) focus on low-income countries (~700,000 child VPD deaths/year worldwide), but US-specific data aligns with CDC figures, emphasizing vaccination's role in averting nearly all historical child VPD mortality.

For the latest CDC surveillance, visit their VPD morbidity page. Consult a pediatrician for personalized vaccination advice.


I'll just pick out one AI comment you apparently agree with…you really think 162,000 kids are dying in 2025 from Tetanus if we don't have the vaccine ?

Hard to know but that is what the data shows. I know I have plenty of country teens that get dirty injuries regularly.


Getting a dirty wound isn't enough, as I'm sure you're well aware.

You should see some of the incredible MRSA infections we see coming in. Those teens are tough and don't want to go to the doc so don't mention it to parents until it is getting really bad.


Some kid's poor decision making should not drive vax mandates. If someone wants to turn themselves into a human pin cushion, more power to them, but don't drag the rest of us into it.
KidDoc
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shack009 said:

KidDoc said:

shack009 said:

I think he wanted your opinion and observations based on your experience as a doctor, and you went to Grok?

Vaccine skepticism isn't killing kids.

AI can tabulate data much faster than any human.

I could just say that vaccines work and I hate seeing patients left open to dangerous infectious disease due to parental anxiety disorder but then vax refusers would just roll their eyes and claim I'm being paid millions by pharma.

It also isn't capable of discerning thought, unlike humans.

I'm not sure how large of a group there is saying "vaccines don't work" as you imply. The questions are do small babies need dozens of vaccines shortly after birth, are parents allowed to weigh risk/reward, and do we have all the necessary data/information to make informed decisions.

Regarding your last point, people don't think individual doctors are each paid off by big pharma. But everything you learned in school and residency and every publication you read to stay informed on current happenings in the medical field is in the pocket of big pharma. Just saying that your viewpoints as a medical professional likely have been shaped by big pharma whether you like it or not.

The pharma influence is undeniable as they (and govt) are the only ones with enough resources to conduct large scale placebo controlled studies which are the gold standard for evidence-based medicine. But there are people who actually believe pharma is paying docs to prescribe their meds.

There are large groups that believe the risk for vaccine outweighs the benefit. That is greatly overestimating the adverse effect rate. I've been full time pediatrics for over 25 years and have yet to see a significant adverse event from vaccines but I've had several hospitalizations and surgical interventions for vaccine preventable illness -- primarily whooping cough and strep pneumo. I've seen more of those two in the last 12 months than in the last 24 years. It is the tip of the proverbial iceberg.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
cpscAG06
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KidDoc said:

shack009 said:

I think he wanted your opinion and observations based on your experience as a doctor, and you went to Grok?

Vaccine skepticism isn't killing kids.

AI can tabulate data much faster than any human.

I could just say that vaccines work and I hate seeing patients left open to dangerous infectious disease due to parental anxiety disorder but then vax refusers would just roll their eyes and claim I'm being paid millions by pharma.

What are your thoughts on the CDC vaccine schedule for children?
There are 10 types of people in this world, those who understand binary and those that don't.
KidDoc
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cpscAG06 said:

KidDoc said:

shack009 said:

I think he wanted your opinion and observations based on your experience as a doctor, and you went to Grok?

Vaccine skepticism isn't killing kids.

AI can tabulate data much faster than any human.

I could just say that vaccines work and I hate seeing patients left open to dangerous infectious disease due to parental anxiety disorder but then vax refusers would just roll their eyes and claim I'm being paid millions by pharma.

What are your thoughts on the CDC vaccine schedule for children?

I think it looks pretty solid and has been the same for 25 years (16 if you include HPV in the teen phase and PCV has been expanded a few times to cover more strains). I do think they will change HPV to one dose only as the world wide data strongly supports that. Hep B at birth is not needed unless mom's status is + or unknown. Hep B could easily be pushed off until teen/adult years but unfortunately all of the combo shots have Hep B in them so that would mean additional physical shots to achieve the same protection.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Harry Stone
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Tylenol it is.
shack009
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Harry Stone said:

Tylenol it is.

Acetaminophine to be more specific.
Harry Stone
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shack009 said:

Harry Stone said:

Tylenol it is.

Acetaminophine to be more specific.


Well yes.
KerrAg76
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KBTX "Rusty" just going with a story about protecting health of our children…..by the same people who are willing to butcher their bodies and feed them hormones because….I just don't feel like a boy. They are EVIL
amercer
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Harry Stone said:

shack009 said:

Harry Stone said:

Tylenol it is.

Acetaminophine to be more specific.


Well yes.


Awesome that we solved this. Throw out the Tylenol, and go get your vaccines.
The Ex Officio Director
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Screw acetaminophen or ibuprofen, give me morphine and a shot of whiskey.
Can't decide if I want to be cute & cuddly, or go blow some sh*t up.
Decisions decisions.
KDubAg
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Speaking of Tylenol...You should watch the Tylenol Murders documentary on Netflix if you haven't. That was pretty good.
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HTownAg98
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"Someone advocates against the tetanus shot" was not a square I have on my Texags F16 Bingo Card. I didn't even know that ball was in the damn hopper!
Rapier108
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HTownAg98 said:

"Someone advocates against the tetanus shot" was not a square I have on my Texags F16 Bingo Card. I didn't even know that ball was in the damn hopper!

Not the first time someone has done that.

Don't recall who it was, but the fool said he's rather his kids get tetanus instead of the shot for it.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
HTownAg98
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I know someone who died from it. From the stories his wife told me, it didn't sound like a pleasant way to go. I do enough stomping around old homesteads that I keep up with that one.
Rapier108
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Quote:

Also, Tetanus can be treated with anti-biotics.

Not really.

Tetanus is only a side effect of the bacterial infection.

The bacteria themselves do not cause tetanus, rather they produce an extremely dangerous neurotoxin, which is what actually causes tetanus.

You can kill the bacteria with antibiotics, but the neurotoxin would already be in the body and those antibiotics would have zero effect on it. Tetanus immune globulin is required to treat the neurotoxin.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Bull Meachem
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Autism is now up to a rate of 1 child in every 31? For boys it's apparently 1 in 12 in some parts of California.

Are these numbers correct and where are they getting this information?
AJ02
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I feel like since it's a "spectrum", the criteria for diagnosis are pretty subjective. What we used to just call "awkward" kids growing up are now receiving autism diagnoses. With such a large spectrum, it only makes sense that the total numbers and rate would be much higher than 20, 30, 40 years ago.
 
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