Trump Tanking the Cattle Market

24,462 Views | 271 Replies | Last: 5 mo ago by Buck Turgidson
JVSchroeder
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:07a, 10/17/25
Quote:
We are working on beef, and I think we have a deal on beef that's going to bring the price [down]... That would be the one product that we would say is a little bit higher than we want it, maybe higher than we want it, and that's going to be coming down pretty soon too. We did something, we worked our magic.

Feeder cattle futures are down over 2% so far this morning.

Every single cattle rancher I know voted for him.

Finally, we have a good market, and now he's going to undercut it.
Reply Quote
29
texagbeliever
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:09a, 10/17/25
1 lb of ground beef is nearly $8. A few years ago that was $4. Food cost inflation is ridiculous.
Reply Quote
388
captkirk
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to texagbeliever • 9:10a, 10/17/25
AG
texagbeliever said:
1 lb of ground beef is nearly $8. A few years ago that was $4. Food cost inflation is ridiculous.

This. Beef prices are at stupid levels
Reply Quote
330
Fuzzy Dunlop
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:10a, 10/17/25
AG
Maybe a good market for the cattle growers. When ground beef is $6.50/lb, it's not a good market for the consumer. Last week, I bought two lbs of ground chuck and two lbs of shrimp for meals for the week. They cost the same amount. I should not be paying shrimp prices for ground beef. At the end of the day, people will stop buying it and the market will tank itself.
Double Talkin' Jive...
Reply Quote
180
oh no
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:10a, 10/17/25
AG
we should have elected a marxist to continue the regime. she promised to go after big food for price gouging


...so anyway, what is the deal they got done and what is the "undercut" OP is referring to? lower price for consumer is not as economical for the producer.. same as oil and gas. there has to be some balance.
Reply Quote
37
1 edit
coolerguy12
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:12a, 10/17/25
AG
I have cows and I can't understand the outrage here. Prices are insane. Go out and touch some grass.
Reply Quote
181
Hoyt Ag
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to coolerguy12 • 9:13a, 10/17/25
AG
coolerguy12 said:
I have cows and I can't understand the outrage here. Prices are insane. Go out and touch some grass.

Same. Need more context to justify this 'outrage'.
Reply Quote
57
Hagen95
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:13a, 10/17/25
AG
It seems the market should be handling these prices and not the government.
Reply Quote
33
JVSchroeder
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to oh no • 9:13a, 10/17/25
Best guess folks have on X is buying more South American beef to undercut American ranchers.
Reply Quote
7
Bird Poo
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:14a, 10/17/25
AG
So is Trump making it easier to allow competition in this market? I would think our honorable ranchers would support capitalism.

Specifically, why is the market tanking? This is a lazy OP.
Reply Quote
72
13B
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:14a, 10/17/25
There's a happy medium, he'll find it. Unclench your pearls. He's not out to bankrupt the cattle industry. It has gotten a bit out of hand lately. Not sure what he's doing or if he should but he has done too many other good things that I'm not going to throw the baby out with the bath water.
Reply Quote
7
kyledr04
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:14a, 10/17/25
AG
I haven't cooked a brisket in a while. Would love for them to go down. And hamburger is nuts.
Reply Quote
39
beanbean
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to JVSchroeder • 9:15a, 10/17/25
JVSchroeder said:
Quote:
We are working on beef, and I think we have a deal on beef that's going to bring the price [down]... That would be the one product that we would say is a little bit higher than we want it, maybe higher than we want it, and that's going to be coming down pretty soon too. We did something, we worked our magic.

Feeder cattle futures are down over 2% so far this morning.

Every single cattle rancher I know voted for him.

Finally, we have a good market, and now he's going to undercut it.


Welp, the rest of the carnivores in America want beef prices to come back down to normal levels. I'm not too worried about cattle ranchers grumbling about it.
Reply Quote
27
1 edit
Vitani
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:15a, 10/17/25
AG
Whenever someone in the government says, "We did something, we worked our magic," I have to stop and wonder why they think they need to in the first place. If the answer is that they decided to deregulate and get out of the way of the free market then that's great. But more often it means they are doing something that is ultimately going to make matters worse.
Reply Quote
16
Fuzzy Dunlop
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:15a, 10/17/25
AG
I priced brisket at Sam's the other day. No thanks. Got a pork belly instead. Pound for pound it's way cheaper and it's like eating a big slab of bacon.
Double Talkin' Jive...
Reply Quote
19
trip
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:15a, 10/17/25
AG
Screwworms on our doorstep doesn't help this equation.
Reply Quote
31
Vitani
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to kyledr04 • 9:16a, 10/17/25
AG
Minimum for a decent brisket at HEB is around $65 and most of what they carry is over $100.
Reply Quote
15
B-1 83
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:16a, 10/17/25
AG
Until domestic numbers get back, there is no way this will "tank" the cattle market. These are t chickens we're talking about, and cattle numbers are slow to rebound.


Quote:
Screwworms on our doorstep doesn't help this equation.

That's a non-essential problem according to F16.
Being in TexAgs jail changes a man……..no, not really
Reply Quote
6
1 edit
Jbob04
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:17a, 10/17/25
AG
I have cattle as well and these beef prices are stupid high. Not sustainable
Reply Quote
42
javajaws
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:17a, 10/17/25
AG
I thought all the pricing problems with beef was from the processors not from the ranchers. Is this no longer the case?
Reply Quote
11
CDUB98
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to JVSchroeder • 9:17a, 10/17/25
AG
Quote:
Finally, we have a good market, and now he's going to undercut it.

It may very well be a good market for you, but it is horrible for the consumer.

Ranchers did not fully resupply stock, for whatever reason, and the American people are tired of paying $8 for a pound of ground beef. It's ludicrous.

Ground beef is pretty much the only cow we buy now because we can't swallow paying the exorbitant prices for any of the quality cuts.
Reply Quote
50
1 edit
CDUB98
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:18a, 10/17/25
AG
Quote:
there has to be some balance.

Reply Quote
6
Jbob04
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to B-1 83 • 9:19a, 10/17/25
AG
B-1 83 said:
Until domestic numbers get back, there is no way this will "tank" the cattle market. These are t chickens we're talking about, and cattle numbers are slow to rebound.

I'm sure you know given your background but cattle numbers are the lowest they've been since the 60's and I doubt they will ever rebound to what they were.
Reply Quote
14
Jock 07
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:19a, 10/17/25
AG
I think ribeyes at costco are up over $20/lb as well IIRC
Reply Quote
5
oh no
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:19a, 10/17/25
AG
I thought campaign and early admin talk about tariffs was to make it easier for US beef to be exported. UK and EU won't buy our beef due to bad rep/lies about our beef quality (hormones, chemicals, etc.) and unfair tariffs on us (while we don't tariff others in our one-way "free market"). If tariffs make imported Argentine, Brazilian, Aussie beef more expensive, it should be good for our US beef industry, but in the short run as markets adjust, bad for consumers. That seems to be playing out.. but what is OP mad about - speculation on X based on that quote in the OP? How about we wait and see what "deal" has been done?
Reply Quote
6
1 edit
CDUB98
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Hagen95 • 9:20a, 10/17/25
AG
Hagen95 said:
It seems the market should be handling these prices and not the government.

In principle, I agree with this, but maybe part of letting the market handle prices is reducing regulation to allow the market to buy from new sources, i.e., less gov't.
Reply Quote
5
rocky the dog
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:20a, 10/17/25
AG
Elections are when people find out what politicians stand for, and politicians find out what people will fall for.
Reply Quote
55
B-1 83
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Jbob04 • 9:20a, 10/17/25
AG
Jbob04 said:
B-1 83 said:
Until domestic numbers get back, there is no way this will "tank" the cattle market. These are t chickens we're talking about, and cattle numbers are slow to rebound.

I'm sure you know given your background but cattle numbers are the lowest they've been since the 60's and I doubt they will ever rebound to what they were.

As long as there's grass to graze there will be a rebound. Getting $1200 for a worn out hamburger cow and lingering drought in some areas was incentive enough to sell.
Being in TexAgs jail changes a man……..no, not really
Reply Quote
7
AgBQ-00
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to rocky the dog • 9:22a, 10/17/25
AG
rocky the dog said:

God loves you so much He'll meet you where you are. He also loves you too much to allow to stay where you are.

We sing Hallelujah! The Lamb has overcome!
Reply Quote
7
KingofHazor
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to JVSchroeder • 9:23a, 10/17/25
JVSchroeder said:
Quote:
We are working on beef, and I think we have a deal on beef that's going to bring the price [down]... That would be the one product that we would say is a little bit higher than we want it, maybe higher than we want it, and that's going to be coming down pretty soon too. We did something, we worked our magic.

Feeder cattle futures are down over 2% so far this morning.

Every single cattle rancher I know voted for him.

Finally, we have a good market, and now he's going to undercut it.

My guess is that there are a whole lot more beef buyers than beef growers. The politics just don't work for the beef growers.
Reply Quote
3
TXLandAg
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:26a, 10/17/25
AG
I'm in ag lending and have cattle...OP is out of his element.

Go do research on a 5-year historic runup before typing about your TDS issues.
Reply Quote
74
captkirk
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to CDUB98 • 9:26a, 10/17/25
AG
CDUB98 said:
Hagen95 said:
It seems the market should be handling these prices and not the government.

In principle, I agree with this, but maybe part of letting the market handle prices is reducing regulation to allow the market to buy from new sources, i.e., less gov't.

this
Reply Quote
3
agAngeldad
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:27a, 10/17/25
Eat More Chicken.
Reply Quote
11
TommyBrady
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:29a, 10/17/25
AG
I voted for him so he better not do what is best for the country but what is best for me is why we have such a ****ed up government.
Reply Quote
50
shaynew1
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to TXLandAg • 9:30a, 10/17/25
AG
TXLandAg said:
I'm in ag lending and have cattle...OP is out of his element.

Go do research on a 5-year historic runup before typing about your TDS issues.


We're still 120$ over where we were last fall. One limit down day in this clown show market is not a whole lot considering no one even blinks at 4-5$ swings anymore.

A week of limit down then we can talk
Reply Quote
8
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.