YouBet said:
This. Until we solve how we are going to fund schools, nothing will change here. That's the crux of the entire thing.
There is no way we will replace a consistent funding stream (property taxes) with one that is way more variable. Until someone can show Austin how that will work then nothing is changing.
Texas is way different than Florida. Good luck getting our 5-6 huge liberal strongholds (which Florida does not have) and our rural republicans (who didn't want vouchers) on board the same plan that somehow continues a consistent funding stream to public schools.
I mean, seriously, lol good luck with that.
FTR, I would love to cut do away with property taxes but I do so knowing the replacement will be just another flavor of poison.
The way you get there is the same way Florida did, you elect strong conservative leaders who understand good governance and follow through. In 2018 when DeSantis was first elected Florida was a 50/50 Purple state and it had liberal strongholds in multiple places. DeSantis has changed that completely to a state that is now arguably more red than Texas. It didn't happen overnight though.
DeSantis didn't focus so much on cuts as he did efficiency. Florida is top of the charts in education but they spend half of what NY does even though they have more population than NY. The services in Florida are also as good as you will find, highlighted by their disaster response. He hired very smart and competent people to essentially DOGE Florida and modernized everything. He went after anyone that was corrupt. He also was great at focusing on non partisan and popular ideas besides disasters such as Everglades preservation. He aggressively courted outside investment and businesses but not necessarily just giving them tax breaks, he lured them in with favorable regulations and aligning their talent needs by investing in things like trade schools.
All of this resulted in huge revenue spikes because of population growth combined with more efficient spending. So it allowed him to keep cutting taxes and paying off debt. Florida is now actually not that far from paying off their entire state debt and has the lowest per capita state debt of any state and dropping. Thus less money going to interest payments and more leverage in negotiating future debt if needed. Florida does have the advantage of having a higher proportion of OOS residents with 2nd homes and people with investment homes than most and those properties tend to be in the most expensive areas of the state, thus it makes it easier for him to help out residents while taxing non residents but that's fair.
So in short Texas has to be a lot more efficient and well governed. It's actually much harder here because we have a weak governor model and a lot more restrictions and a lot of bloat that has been covered up by "conservative" Republicans that DGAF about cutting spending. We don't have the same amount of OOS residents and investment property owners either as we aren't nearly the tourist destination Florida is. So we would likely have to find ways to get the money elsewhere from where we do have advantages, the most likely (and possibly difficult politically) is from O&G and Minerals as well as our massive exports out of places like the Port of Houston. Don't get greedy but there is money we can tax there for sure. The Texas Stock Exchange also has a LOT of potential if we allow that to grow and prosper but that's long term.
The biggest obstacle to me is breaking the mentality that people have that spending more money on education means better education. It astounds me how no matter how false that is people lap it up. Many of the best school districts spend half per student of what the worst ones do. It's about parental involvement and creating an environment that good teachers want to teach. The level of corruption and lack of accountability at some school districts is just astounding. The amount of bureaucracy and administration in some school districts that is paid far more than teachers is disgusting as well. Yet people keep voting for it and following along like sheep. School choice may be the only fix at this point because it will force schools to either do a better job or people will just opt for other options. The reality is that with modern technology our current system is very outdated, everything we think of in terms of how our educational system was designed was pre internet. Covid actually exposed a lot of that to people. A lot of teachers basically are just administrating what is already online and doing so inefficiently. Of course there are subjects and teachers that doesn't apply to but the goal of education has shifted more to socialization than education in many aspects.
Sorry if TLDR
"The most terrifying words in the English language are: I'm from the government and I'm here to help."
Ronald Reagan