Burpelson said:
Nuke with the assumption retention of midterms, that is what Thune does not see happening, he has internal poll numbers that would be dereliction of duty to hit the button.
Theres about 6 seats that are toss ups- 2 dems and 4 republican.
Here are the 35 Senate races up for election in 2026
-Alabama: Katie Britt (R) Strong R
Alaska: Dan Sullivan (R) Strong R
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R) Strong R
Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D) Strong D
Delaware: Chris Coons (D) Strong D
Georgia: Jon Ossoff (D) Toss UpIdaho: Jim Risch (R) Strong R
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D) Strong D
Iowa: Joni Ernst (R) Strong R
Kansas: Roger Marshall (R) Strong R
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R, retiring) Strong R
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy (R) Strong R
Maine: collins (I/r) Strong D
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D) Strong D
Michigan: Gary Peters (D, retiring) Lean D/Toss UpMinnesota: Amy Klobuchar (D) Toss UpMississippi: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) Strong R
Montana: Steve Daines (R) Strong R
Nebraska: Pete Ricketts (R) Toss UpNevada: Jacky Rosen (D) Toss UpNew Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D) Toss UpNew Jersey: Cory Booker (D) Strong D
New Mexico: Martin Heinrich (D) Strong D
North Carolina: Thom Tillis (R, retiring) Toss UpOklahoma: Markwayne Mullin (R) Strong R
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D) Strong D
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D) Strong D
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) Strong R
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R) Strong R
Tennessee: Bill Hagerty (R) Strong R
Texas: John Cornyn (R) Lean R/Toss UpVirginia: Mark Warner (D) Strong D
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R) Strong R
Wyoming: Cynthia Lummis (R) Strong R
Washington: Maria Cantwell (D) Strong D
Ohio (Special Election): Jon Husted (R, appointee) Toss UpDems need to flip 2 and not lose one
Out of the "toss ups"
Dems for sure will hold Minnesota, new hampshire
They will probably hold nevada
They will probably win maine
The Republicans will for sure hold Texas, ohio,
They will probably hold Nebraska
That means the most likely to flip(if one would) are:
North Carolina r->d
Georgia d->r
Michigan d->r
I just dont see it happening this cycle for the dems.