YouBet said:

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Yesterday said:

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Gives the Dems a big talking point but a few things happens here. Huffman voters stayed home. The freeze was almost all of early voting which kept old voters home. Dems ran a guy as a faux republican. The fliers didn't even have Democrat. Just veteran and mechanic.

I highly doubt this will be the case come November.

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Yeah, that's a major red flag when we are dependent on old people to win an election. Yes, I realize this has pretty much always been the case, but the trends in every other demographic seem to be in the communist's favor.

Midterms are not trending well.

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It's not the reason but one of many. Huffman was popular with r down the middle GOP. Wambsganss was popular with maga. If either ran by themselves they would have won this the first go around. Huffman voters stayed home.

The dems were smart though. They ran Taylor as anyone but a Democrat. If the GOP gets there S together for November this shouldn't be an issue. We'll see.

don't think this will be anything but a blip. reps literally ran no ads and put nothing into this special election.

Rehmet in a couple of years...

AgBQ-00 said:

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don't think this will be anything but a blip. reps literally ran no ads and put nothing into this special election.

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This is the support she got.

Probably hurt her actually.

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115987100169435643

AgBQ-00 said:

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don't think this will be anything but a blip. reps literally ran no ads and put nothing into this special election.

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Not exactly true, Wambat raised 2.5mil to Rehmet's $300k. $2.5 mil is what they spend on competitive races.

"Wambsganss, a Southlake Republican and chief communications officer of Patriot Mobile, reported raising $893,010 for her already high-dollar campaign mostly bankrolled by political action entities, or PACs. That puts her total raised at over $2.5 million.

Wambsganss' newest funds come from about 217 donors, who contributed an average check size of $3,705.

Rehmet, a Fort Worth Democrat and machinist union leader, nearly tripled the size of his relatively small-dollar campaign, but still saw mostly individual donors. He raised $255,360 over the latest campaign finance periods, bringing his total donations to $380,626, not including in-kind services.

The latest funds came from about 1,860 donors, who contributed average check sizes of $116. Contributions of $500 or less composed 48% of the funds raised."

https://www.keranews.org/politics/2026-01-27/republican-budget-tops-2-5m-in-race-for-texas-senate-district-9-records-show?_amp=true

I literally live in the area. there were no ads...no signage and nothing done by the reps in the area. the only ads I saw were the dem ads. and shockingly they all were misrepresentations of their candidate's beliefs and intent. so yall crow all you want. But a special election as senn numerous times in other states does not really move the needle.

A special election only brings out the most motivated voters.

What this does tell us is that the voters who voted for the Dem are much more motivated right now.

But you're right, nothing to see here, Republicans likely to do great with their current policies and messaging in the mid-terms.

AGROAg88 said:

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This was a 30 point flip between Trump's second election and now. That margin is indicative of a lot more than "only hard-core Dems were motivated". It's a sign of large-scale voter discontent. If this doesn't scare the crap out of the Republican leadership, they're not paying attention.

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It's definitely a wake up call but I'm curious what the message will be when this seat flips back red in 10 months? Will it be a large scale voter discontent? Props to democrats....they pounced on an anomaly and got the headlines. Thankfully it will have zero impact on policy for Texas or this district.

Yesterday said:

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AGROAg88 said:

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This was a 30 point flip between Trump's second election and now. That margin is indicative of a lot more than "only hard-core Dems were motivated". It's a sign of large-scale voter discontent. If this doesn't scare the crap out of the Republican leadership, they're not paying attention.

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It's definitely a wake up call but I'm curious what the message will be when this seat flips back red in 10 months? Will it be a large scale voter discontent? Props to democrats....they pounced on an anomaly and got the headlines. Thankfully it will have zero impact on policy for Texas or this district.

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It will not flip back in November if local GOP sticks their head in the sand and goes status quo. The hardcore maga misses the mark with squishy R's. A stupid campaign strategy (perhaps born from running against Huffman in November) but a permanent stain on LW now and for Nov 26)

Cooter00 said:

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Yesterday said:

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AGROAg88 said:

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This was a 30 point flip between Trump's second election and now. That margin is indicative of a lot more than "only hard-core Dems were motivated". It's a sign of large-scale voter discontent. If this doesn't scare the crap out of the Republican leadership, they're not paying attention.

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It's definitely a wake up call but I'm curious what the message will be when this seat flips back red in 10 months? Will it be a large scale voter discontent? Props to democrats....they pounced on an anomaly and got the headlines. Thankfully it will have zero impact on policy for Texas or this district.

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It will not flip back in November if local GOP sticks their head in the sand and goes status quo. The hardcore maga misses the mark with squishy R's. A stupid campaign strategy (perhaps born from running against Huffman in November) but a permanent stain on LW now and for Nov 26)

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It'll flip back and is a nice reminder that nothing is automatic when you run a bad campaign

Looks like the candidates received about the same amount of support from November. The difference is that the Huffman crowd didn't come out in support (something the republicans seem to always have a problem doing).



If the republicans hadn't split the vote and run a single head to head match (thanks Huffman) back in November, this would've never happened.

AgBQ-00 said:

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don't think this will be anything but a blip. reps literally ran no ads and put nothing into this special election.

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wambsganss campaign outspent rehmet's 10-1 in this election

Hubert J. Farnsworth said:

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Captn_Ag05 said:

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Democrat won by about 14,000 votes or 14%.

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The election in November is for the 4 year term. It will be a rematch. This was just to finish out Hancocks term that ends in December. The Legislature is not in session this year. Republicans better get off their asses and vote in the general later this year.

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Agreed.

Reporter: A Democrat won a special election in Texas in an area that you won by 17 points

Trump: I’m not involved in that. That’s a local race. I don’t know anything about it. I had nothing to do with it. pic.twitter.com/MfWU1DZkar

— Acyn (@Acyn) February 1, 2026

Old McDonald said:

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trump when he endorses a frontrunner who wins: you're welcome, that was all me

trump when he endorses someone who goes on to lose spectacularly: i had nothing to do with this

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After 2024 you should probably shy away from election predictions.

Cooter00 said:

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Yesterday said:

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AGROAg88 said:

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This was a 30 point flip between Trump's second election and now. That margin is indicative of a lot more than "only hard-core Dems were motivated". It's a sign of large-scale voter discontent. If this doesn't scare the crap out of the Republican leadership, they're not paying attention.

---

It's definitely a wake up call but I'm curious what the message will be when this seat flips back red in 10 months? Will it be a large scale voter discontent? Props to democrats....they pounced on an anomaly and got the headlines. Thankfully it will have zero impact on policy for Texas or this district.

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It will not flip back in November if local GOP sticks their head in the sand and goes status quo. The hardcore maga misses the mark with squishy R's. A stupid campaign strategy (perhaps born from running against Huffman in November) but a permanent stain on LW now and for Nov 26)

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There's zero chance if doesn't flip back in November. This was a special election for a seat that won't even vote in the legislature since the next session is in 2027.


The only people that cared about this race were democrats

Teslag said:

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Cooter00 said:

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Yesterday said:

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AGROAg88 said:

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This was a 30 point flip between Trump's second election and now. That margin is indicative of a lot more than "only hard-core Dems were motivated". It's a sign of large-scale voter discontent. If this doesn't scare the crap out of the Republican leadership, they're not paying attention.

---

It's definitely a wake up call but I'm curious what the message will be when this seat flips back red in 10 months? Will it be a large scale voter discontent? Props to democrats....they pounced on an anomaly and got the headlines. Thankfully it will have zero impact on policy for Texas or this district.

---

It will not flip back in November if local GOP sticks their head in the sand and goes status quo. The hardcore maga misses the mark with squishy R's. A stupid campaign strategy (perhaps born from running against Huffman in November) but a permanent stain on LW now and for Nov 26)

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There's zero chance if doesn't flip back in November. This was a special election for a seat that won't even vote in the legislature since the next session is in 2027.


The only people that cared about this race were democrats

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I bet Trump regrets putting his thumb on the scale on this one. Looks bad for him. And denying he knows anything right after he posted asking for votes is a bad look. Doesn't do his own posts? Dementia and forgot? Lying? Who knows. Probably a combination of all 3.

shiftyandquick said:

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Teslag said:

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Cooter00 said:

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Yesterday said:

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AGROAg88 said:

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This was a 30 point flip between Trump's second election and now. That margin is indicative of a lot more than "only hard-core Dems were motivated". It's a sign of large-scale voter discontent. If this doesn't scare the crap out of the Republican leadership, they're not paying attention.

---

It's definitely a wake up call but I'm curious what the message will be when this seat flips back red in 10 months? Will it be a large scale voter discontent? Props to democrats....they pounced on an anomaly and got the headlines. Thankfully it will have zero impact on policy for Texas or this district.

---

It will not flip back in November if local GOP sticks their head in the sand and goes status quo. The hardcore maga misses the mark with squishy R's. A stupid campaign strategy (perhaps born from running against Huffman in November) but a permanent stain on LW now and for Nov 26)

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There's zero chance if doesn't flip back in November. This was a special election for a seat that won't even vote in the legislature since the next session is in 2027.


The only people that cared about this race were democrats

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I bet Trump regrets putting his thumb on the scale on this one. Looks bad for him. And denying he knows anything right after he posted asking for votes is a bad look. Doesn't do his own posts? Dementia and forgot? Lying? Who knows. Probably a combination of all 3.

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You're another poster that should really avoid election predictions. Your 2024 receipts are absolute gold.

Whelp glad you took your daily dose of copium!

shiftyandquick said:

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Teslag said:

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Cooter00 said:

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Yesterday said:

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AGROAg88 said:

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This was a 30 point flip between Trump's second election and now. That margin is indicative of a lot more than "only hard-core Dems were motivated". It's a sign of large-scale voter discontent. If this doesn't scare the crap out of the Republican leadership, they're not paying attention.

---

It's definitely a wake up call but I'm curious what the message will be when this seat flips back red in 10 months? Will it be a large scale voter discontent? Props to democrats....they pounced on an anomaly and got the headlines. Thankfully it will have zero impact on policy for Texas or this district.

---

It will not flip back in November if local GOP sticks their head in the sand and goes status quo. The hardcore maga misses the mark with squishy R's. A stupid campaign strategy (perhaps born from running against Huffman in November) but a permanent stain on LW now and for Nov 26)

---

There's zero chance if doesn't flip back in November. This was a special election for a seat that won't even vote in the legislature since the next session is in 2027.


The only people that cared about this race were democrats

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I bet Trump regrets putting his thumb on the scale on this one. Looks bad for him. And denying he knows anything right after he posted asking for votes is a bad look. Doesn't do his own posts? Dementia and forgot? Lying? Who knows. Probably a combination of all 3.

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Well, one thing is definitely for sure. This election was all about appearances, and absolutely nothing else.

No votes between now and the next election. No sessions between now and the next election. Heck, Rehmet can spend the next 10 months between now and the General election and not even make a trip to Austin.

As usual, I'm entertained by the football spiking with claims that Texas is turning blue after a completely, totally meaningless election. Rush's description from years ago still rings true... Symbolism over substance.

Keller6Ag91 said:

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Desert Ag said:

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Keller6Ag91 said:

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Wanted to put out a plug for my friend, fellow Aggie, and former mayor of Southlake John Huffman.

He could use your vote. I don't know much about his primary opponent, Leigh W, other than she has been relentless with negative campaigning on lies about John.

And I'm pretty sure she's not an Aggie.

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As a district 9 voter, I'm going with the Trump, Cruz and Patrick endorsed Republican candidate not largely financed by gambling interests... Aggie or not.

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I see we've bought into the lies of negative campaigning.

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Like there really any other kind.

Teslag said:

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Old McDonald said:

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trump when he endorses a frontrunner who wins: you're welcome, that was all me

trump when he endorses someone who goes on to lose spectacularly: i had nothing to do with this

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After 2024 you should probably shy away from election predictions.

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no

I voted for the Republican, even though I was a Huffman voter. Because I would never vote for a democrat.

This guy gets it

Quote:

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The reality is 82% of Republicans who voted for Donald Trump didn't bother to vote. Republicans need to wake up. When you stay home during local elections and special elections, democrats win. You can't blame others for your failure to vote.

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Quote:

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However, democrats will try and use this as a sign that they are turning Texas blue. They aren't, but reality doesn't matter to them. They only have their narrative. They will however raise a lot of money.

We showed in November that Texas is solidly red. But, that is not a given if our people think they can save the country by voting once every 4 years.

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I see a lot of comments on here from leftists celebrating the SD9 result. I see a lot of Republicans blaming everyone from the Governor to the county party.

The reality is 82% of Republicans who voted for Donald Trump didn't bother to vote. Republicans need to wake up. When you…

— Bo French (@BoFrenchTX) February 1, 2026

GMaster0 said:

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Whelp glad you took your daily dose of copium!

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What's to cope? Everything I said was true.

Old McDonald said:

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Teslag said:

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Old McDonald said:

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trump when he endorses a frontrunner who wins: you're welcome, that was all me

trump when he endorses someone who goes on to lose spectacularly: i had nothing to do with this

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After 2024 you should probably shy away from election predictions.

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no

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I'm fine with you being wrong over and over again. The receipts never get old.

shiftyandquick said:

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GMaster0 said:

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AgBQ-00 said:

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don't think this will be anything but a blip. reps literally ran no ads and put nothing into this special election.

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Not exactly true, Wambat raised 2.5mil to Rehmet's $300k. $2.5 mil is what they spend on competitive races.

"Wambsganss, a Southlake Republican and chief communications officer of Patriot Mobile, reported raising $893,010 for her already high-dollar campaign mostly bankrolled by political action entities, or PACs. That puts her total raised at over $2.5 million.

Wambsganss' newest funds come from about 217 donors, who contributed an average check size of $3,705.

Rehmet, a Fort Worth Democrat and machinist union leader, nearly tripled the size of his relatively small-dollar campaign, but still saw mostly individual donors. He raised $255,360 over the latest campaign finance periods, bringing his total donations to $380,626, not including in-kind services.

The latest funds came from about 1,860 donors, who contributed average check sizes of $116. Contributions of $500 or less composed 48% of the funds raised."

https://www.keranews.org/politics/2026-01-27/republican-budget-tops-2-5m-in-race-for-texas-senate-district-9-records-show?_amp=true

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There is a whole lot of "there is nothing to see here" going on. Interesting isn't it.

The guys here think that the Republicans are going to win easily in the mid-terms. And that they have the winning governing strategy and messaging. They honestly do believe that. I think in part because that is what their news sources tell them.

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Provide proof of this.

FlyRod said:

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GOP should win this one easily. Probably by double digits. Super embarrassing if this ended up
As a DEM win. That won't happen of course.

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This aged well.

Now comes the mental gymnastics about how this massive swing means anything other than Trump is wildly unpopular and is torching the GOP.

AGROAg88 said:

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This was a 30 point flip between Trump's second election and now. That margin is indicative of a lot more than "only hard-core Dems were motivated". It's a sign of large-scale voter discontent. If this doesn't scare the crap out of the Republican leadership, they're not paying attention.

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establishment Rs are probably well aware of this and grumbling about it privately. the trump admin on the other hand (who are the de facto leaders of the GOP) have built a north-korea-esque information bubble around him where nothing but adoration and brown-nosing gets through.

if they lose big in November, count on them to blame anything and anyone but themselves.

Old McDonald said:

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AGROAg88 said:

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This was a 30 point flip between Trump's second election and now. That margin is indicative of a lot more than "only hard-core Dems were motivated". It's a sign of large-scale voter discontent. If this doesn't scare the crap out of the Republican leadership, they're not paying attention.

---

establishment Rs are probably well aware of this and grumbling about it privately. the trump admin on the other hand (who are the de facto leaders of the GOP) have built a north-korea-esque information bubble around him where nothing but adoration and brown-nosing gets through.

if they lose big in November, count on them to blame anything and anyone but themselves.

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Who knew the "party of small government" putting storm troopers on the streets and torching the Constitution wasn't a winning strategy?

Ag98and03 said:

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Old McDonald said:

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AGROAg88 said:

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This was a 30 point flip between Trump's second election and now. That margin is indicative of a lot more than "only hard-core Dems were motivated". It's a sign of large-scale voter discontent. If this doesn't scare the crap out of the Republican leadership, they're not paying attention.

---

establishment Rs are probably well aware of this and grumbling about it privately. the trump admin on the other hand (who are the de facto leaders of the GOP) have built a north-korea-esque information bubble around him where nothing but adoration and brown-nosing gets through.

if they lose big in November, count on them to blame anything and anyone but themselves.

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Who knew the "party of small government" putting storm troopers on the streets and torching the Constitution wasn't a winning strategy?

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And here's the funny thing. You libs think this is a direct reflection of Trump's policies. It's lunacy to think this is anything other than a very unique election where the GOP split the ticket. And I say this as someone who thinks the dems take back the house in November.