Giant burning oil slicks started by us will not be a positive development. Let Iran be solely responsible for any cleanup.

Sp(oil)s of war and such.

Sarah Adams retweeted this, fwiw.

There are unconfirmed reports say that the Commander of IRGC-QF Ismael Qaani is currently in Baghdad. 🚨

— Tammuz Intel (@Tammuz_Intel) May 9, 2026

Yeah I don't how expensive napalm is so maybe not so much a cost thing.

But point being it's a waste of resources that has no direct impact to the enemy. Doesn't hurt them in any way so why bother?

Seems to me loaded tankers floating in a burning sea of oil could create some concern. Also the loading facility in proximity could bother the enemy a little.

nortex97 said:

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Sarah Adams retweeted this, fwiw.

There are unconfirmed reports say that the Commander of IRGC-QF Ismael Qaani is currently in Baghdad. 🚨

— Tammuz Intel (@Tammuz_Intel) May 9, 2026

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Significance if true?

agent-maroon said:

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nortex97 said:

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Sarah Adams retweeted this, fwiw.

There are unconfirmed reports say that the Commander of IRGC-QF Ismael Qaani is currently in Baghdad. 🚨

— Tammuz Intel (@Tammuz_Intel) May 9, 2026

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Significance if true?

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Probably negotiating and giving instructions and communication channels with Iranian backed Shiite militias. They've done that before.

aezmvp said:

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agent-maroon said:

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nortex97 said:

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Sarah Adams retweeted this, fwiw.

There are unconfirmed reports say that the Commander of IRGC-QF Ismael Qaani is currently in Baghdad. 🚨

— Tammuz Intel (@Tammuz_Intel) May 9, 2026

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Significance if true?

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Probably negotiating and giving instructions and communication channels with Iranian backed Shiite militias. They've done that before.

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Probably getting out of the way before the Israelis start head hunting again. He is Mossad after all…

that allegedly was a few days ago. can't find any other reputable source mentioning it though.

PM Netanyahu cut short an event at the Dead Sea and returned to Jerusalem for an urgent call with President Trump. https://t.co/pDNSyyTwbj

— Open Source Intel (@Osint613) May 10, 2026

He must be about to give Trump a tongue lashing over his surrender proposal that was sent to the Iran. I would not want to be Trump right now, he's on big trouble!

But seriously, it's just getting into the middle of the night there so maybe something is a brewing. As many have said, Trumps delay here seems to have been more about posturing assets and opinions in our favor.

Giddy up.

Macron says he would send warships to secure the straight, in coordination with Iran, after the fighting stops of course. What is he going to do, collect tolls for them?

Exactly what is the warship for?

For good measure the French have surrendered and offered to collaborate.

Beyond useless.

From the WSJ

President Emmanuel Macron said France had never considered a naval deployment to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, after Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said French and British warships supporting U.S. actions would face an immediate and firm response.

"That has never been an option for France," Macron told reporters on Sunday during a visit to Kenya. He said what France proposed instead was to build a French-U.K-led international mission to ensure the resumption of maritime traffic in coordination with Iran, as soon as conditions permit. On Wednesday, France's Charles de Gaulle aircraft-carrier battle group sailed through the Suez Canal and to the Red Sea to stand ready. The U.K. said Saturday that it was sending a warship to support the international coalition's effort to secure the strait, whenever conditions allowed.

FAFO. Now destroy iran. Jackals and vultures enjoy.

BREAKING: President Trump responds to Iran's response to the US' 14-point peace proposal:

"I have just read the response from Iran’s so-called 'Representatives.' I don’t like it," he says.

Futures open in under 2 hours. pic.twitter.com/ropx1Ma8M1

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) May 10, 2026

Futures open in a little over an hour and it's just after midnight in Tehran.

Are we actually low on ordinance? I would not think so. How could we address a major war if so?

fireinthehole said:

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Are we actually low on ordinance? I would not think so. How could we address a major war if so?

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Who said we were? Someone in trump's administration?

Air defense interceptors like patriot and THAAD are a very real concern if Iran can still launch a lot of missiles and drones.

Other stuff like tomahawks and some other air launched stuff are somewhat concerning but less so.

Quote:

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LOL, keep the boot on.

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Unless there's another option no one is talking about, that does appear to be the only remaining course of action.

For weeks Trump has been claiming the mullah - IRGC regime are desperate to do a deal. Yet he just offered them a sweetheart deal, and according to that tweet, they responded by kicking sand in his face.

Targeting Iran's civilian infrastructure and O&G infrastructure are steps we would prefer not to take. But what else is there of value and importance left to target?

Not a good development, from anyone's perspective, unless your name is Putin or Xi.

Presumably we will now strike some more bridges, plus desalination plants, power generating plants, etc. to make them reconsider or to incent uprisings by the populace or by an Iranian military junta.

Rockdoc said:

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fireinthehole said:

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Are we actually low on ordinance? I would not think so. How could we address a major war if so?

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Who said we were? Someone in trump's administration?

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Never know. Propaganda.

Has Trump addressed the nation yet?

fireinthehole said:

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Rockdoc said:

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fireinthehole said:

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Are we actually low on ordinance? I would not think so. How could we address a major war if so?

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Who said we were? Someone in trump's administration?

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Never know. Propaganda.

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Sorry, it sounded like you heard that somewhere. My bad.

Iran will NEVER EVER give up the Nuke EVER!!!!!

It's been a month since bombing stopped. Strait still closed, no closer to a deal. Global inventory levels at the start were high but now being drained. They better figure something out.

I've almost stopped following it as it was consuming me to keep reading thread after thread on X about different things. Actually uninstalled X from my phone because it was becoming unhealthy.

A quick update or two though. Yesterday Iran launched about 130 fast boats into the strait as a propaganda move. Centcom responded rather quickly by releasing footage of fully loaded aircraft.

[We've been very clear not to derail this thread with political stuff -- Staff]

ErnestEndeavor said:

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I've almost stopped following it as it was consuming me to keep reading thread after thread on X about different things. Actually uninstalled X from my phone because it was becoming unhealthy.

A quick update or two though. Yesterday Iran launched about 130 fast boats into the strait as a propaganda move. Centcom responded rather quickly by releasing footage of fully loaded aircraft.

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and all those 130 boats could already be blown up

and that video was from 4 months ago...

bkag9824 said:

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Saddam effectively abandoned his nuke program after the Israelis bombed it.

Afghanistan had no nuke program.

Gaddafi gave up his nuke program.

Syria abandoned their nuke program after Israel bombed it.


There is a common theme to what happened in each of those countries when they lost (or never had) their only true deterrent against Western intervention.

The Iranians/IRGC know this and aren't going to willingly give up their program. They know it = the end of their regime. And they're crazy.

Back to war we go.

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You actually make the opposite point to reality.

the USA demanded from Saddam Hussein in 2003 to give up his nuclear program and he refused.

it was only THEN that he was destroyed.


let's notice that Dubai never tried to build a nuclear bomb- and they are one of the wealthiest countries on the planet. same with Saudi.