***Iran [Military Action Thread]***[See Staff Note in OP]

733,161 Views | 3785 Replies | Last: 1 min ago by aggiehawg
ErnestEndeavor
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Just from what I saw on CNBC the context was the destruction of the IRGC Navy, Air Force, and most of their bases and ability to launch extensive missile and drone barrages. He was likely indicating Iran it was over in the sense that Iran has lost.

I think the US and Israel will likely continue conducting strikes.
Captain Pablo
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AG
The war is "complete", but the regime is still in charge, huh?

Well gosh I'm glad we did all this
Dan Scott
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Regime change wasn't in the 4 objectives
ErnestEndeavor
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CBS interview notes are still trickling out.

Trump also told them he's considering taking over the Strait of Hormuz.

So yeah, the war might not be over.
Gaeilge
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Captain Pablo said:

The war is "complete", but the regime is still in charge, huh?

Well gosh I'm glad we did all this


The regime change is for the Israelis to administer. Our job was to cripple and destroy the IRGC as a military power

In due time on the regime. We get the uranium and it's a massive success.

At some point the Iranian people must truly rise up and get violent to end this
bonfarr
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Disclaimer: Views expressed in this post reflect the opinions of Texags user bonfarr and are not to be accepted as facts or to be taken at face value.
Captain Pablo
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Dan Scott said:

Regime change wasn't in the 4 objectives


Oh, I realize that. I just don't think anything long term was accomplished. Regime change needed to be done, otherwise any benefit is very temporary

They'll just regroup and go back to what they were doing
aggiehawg
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Captain Pablo said:

The war is "complete", but the regime is still in charge, huh?

Well gosh I'm glad we did all this

Well let's recap, shall we?

For this new Supreme Leader: father killed, mother killed, brother killed, his wife was killed, even his son.

No one has seen this guy in ten days and counting, not even a recorded address that could be heavily edited. No AI attempt either.

So is the "regime" still functionally in charge? The IRGC is royally pissed off at the President so he's been sidelined completely.
Dan Scott
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A lot was accomplished. The country is basically neutered. They were in the middle of economic collapse before this. Now their military has collapsed. And there will be internal fighting over the Khamenei pick. They bashed dynastic rule and now started the Khamenei dynasty which will turn people off. Iran is going to be too busy rebuilding to worry about Israel. Half the country still hates the regime and is pissed off and they need to appease them and that's not by diverting resources to proxies.

rgag12
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We were told they were neutered last year too, and we set them WAYYY far back in their nuke program.

Less than a year later they'd made thousands of new rockets and were weeks away from a nuke.

If the regime is still functioning they have won. They will build the nuke by next year, stockpile missiles, and run the region.
Gaeilge
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Where are they going to produce them? Pretty sure just about every one of their munitions productions have been targeted and destroyed.
aggiehawg
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rgag12 said:

We were told they were neutered last year too, and we set them WAYYY far back in their nuke program.

Less than a year later they'd made thousands of new rockets and were weeks away from a nuke.

If the regime is still functioning they have won. They will build the nuke by next year, stockpile missiles, and run the region.

Only if their nuclear scientists are still alive.
The Fall Guy
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https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/putin-and-trump-discuss-iran-and-ukraine-wars-kremlin/

Is this why the news conference? Putin and Trump speak? Something is going on
American Hardwood
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aggiehawg said:

Captain Pablo said:

The war is "complete", but the regime is still in charge, huh?

Well gosh I'm glad we did all this

Well let's recap, shall we?

For this new Supreme Leader: father killed, mother killed, brother killed, his wife was killed, even his son.

No one has seen this guy in ten days and counting, not even a recorded address that could be heavily edited. No AI attempt either.

So is the "regime" still functionally in charge? The IRGC is royally pissed off at the President so he's been sidelined completely.

From what I have read regarding their command structure in case of a decapitation strike, I think it is safe to say that a flowchart somewhere is in charge. Much like an autopen running things.
The best way to keep evil men from wielding great power is to not create great power in the first place.
aggiehawg
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Quote:

From what I have read regarding their command structure in case of a decapitation strike, I think it is safe to say that a flowchart somewhere is in charge. Much like an autopen running things.

But such would be localized, no? And still dependent on the money from the IRGC? When that dries up?
BCOBQ98
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"The Late countries of France and England".
Raiderjay
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Captain Pablo said:

The war is "complete", but the regime is still in charge, huh?

Well gosh I'm glad we did all this

wasn't the stated objective, pay attention.....
Captain Pablo
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aggiehawg said:

Captain Pablo said:

The war is "complete", but the regime is still in charge, huh?

Well gosh I'm glad we did all this

Well let's recap, shall we?

For this new Supreme Leader: father killed, mother killed, brother killed, his wife was killed, even his son.

No one has seen this guy in ten days and counting, not even a recorded address that could be heavily edited. No AI attempt either.

So is the "regime" still functionally in charge? The IRGC is royally pissed off at the President so he's been sidelined completely.


Absolutely, until we've been shown otherwise, the regime is still in charge. You can kill as many of them as you want to, but as long as there's somebody willing to take the reigns, and a military to back them, and they control the populace, they're still in charge and we will be right back where we are now in 5 years

That we've killed a bunch of them and blown up a lot of hardware does not change that

They're weakened them, but they're still in charge, and eventually will regroup

Americans think on too short a timeline for these things

Probably the same with Venezuela
K2-HMFIC
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Rapier108 said:

K2-HMFIC said:



And what the hell is the "Vico Model"?


Vico is a data and analytics platform that helps organizations understand what's happening across the digital information environment. It aggregates data from websites, social media, news, and other online activity, then analyzes that data to identify trends, narratives, and shifts in influence. The platform turns a huge amount of messy digital information into dashboards and reports that help users see what topics are gaining traction, who is driving conversations, and how audiences are responding.

In practical terms, it's a tool for tracking the flow of information onlinewhether that's public sentiment, emerging narratives, or coordinated campaignsand helping decision-makers make sense of it quickly. The idea is to move from raw data to actionable insight so organizations can understand what's happening in the digital ecosystem and respond more effectively.



The Bloomberg Chief Economist called them out for being more accurate than Polymarket or Kalshi last week.
Science Denier
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American Hardwood
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Quote:

Absolutely, until we've been shown otherwise, the regime is still in charge. You can kill as many of them as you want to, but as long as there's somebody willing to take the reigns, and a military to back them, and they control the populace, they're still in charge and we will be right back where we are now in 5 years

Kind of a key point here...
The best way to keep evil men from wielding great power is to not create great power in the first place.
Captain Pablo
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American Hardwood said:

Quote:

Absolutely, until we've been shown otherwise, the regime is still in charge. You can kill as many of them as you want to, but as long as there's somebody willing to take the reigns, and a military to back them, and they control the populace, they're still in charge and we will be right back where we are now in 5 years

Kind of a key point here...


Indeed

I don't think that's much of an obstacle

Theyll just change things up

Committee, keep it a secret, whatever

It's not the person, and it's not necessarily even an exact structure. It's the nature of the people calling the shots, whoever that is

I think the people that think this is over are being extremely nave
BQ78
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It's 5:30 ET, what happened to the Trump press conference?
SouthTex99
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The Fall Guy
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He is making remarks at a Republican event so not an official press conference. Looks like a Fox News event
BQ78
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Not on Fox yet
AggieKO
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White House was live on X. Saw he was talking about the dems cheating so figured no war news and turned it off.
The Fall Guy
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Yea nothing big. Just said we are crushing them. Keep on keeping on
BQ78
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Starting now
BQ78
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51 ships sunk, "I didn't know they had that many."
BQ78
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90% decline in missile and drone strikes. When they launch we wipe the launcher out within 5 minutes
The Ex Officio Director
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BQ78 said:

51 ships sunk, "I didn't know they had that many."

According to Wiki so take it with a grain of salt.

4 attack subs, 16 midgets subs, 7 frigate, 3 corvette, 15 fast attack craft, 6 patrol boats, 24 amphibious ships, 27 auxiliary ships, 1 mine warfare vessel, and 1 intelligence vessel
Can't decide if I want to be cute & cuddly, or go blow some sh*t up.
Decisions decisions.
BQ78
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Most of their ballistic missiles have been fired or destroyed
BQ78
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Attacking neighbors huge mistake they all came over to us
Who?mikejones!
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