A Democrat hasn't won any Texas statewide election since 1994, a Texas gubernatorial election since 1990, a Texas US Senate election since 1988, and Texas electoral votes in a Presidential election since 1976. I think these trends will likely continue in the US Senate and gubernatorial elections on 11/3 to keep Texas red. I voted for Wesley Hunt, but I am voting for John Cornyn in the runoff because Ken Paxton is too much of a risk against James Talarico. I think winning the general election and keeping this Senate seat red is more important.
Democratic U.S. Senate Texas nominee James Talarico could potentially follow a path similar to that of Beto O'Rourke. O'Rourke was the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Texas in 2018, later ran for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination, and then became the Democratic nominee for Texas governor in 2022. Talarico could pursue a comparable trajectory by running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination and subsequently seeking the Texas governorship in 2030.
Even if Talarico runs for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination and somehow wins that primary, he would lose the general election to JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, or any other Republican nominee by 10%+ and 100+ electoral votes.
We must keep Talarico out of the Senate.