Climate Change Worst Case Scenario Cancelled

14,386 Views | 154 Replies | Last: 4 days ago by techno-ag
Malibu
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MelvinUdall said:

Someone walked outside it is hotter, that is solid data.

I get the impulse to mock and collect stars, but this is a strawman.

Here's NASA's data, which I'm going to easily predict is going be either dismissed as junk science from politically motivated hacks or confounding for who knows what happens.

https://science.nasa.gov/earth/explore/earth-indicators/global-temperature/

That my actual lived experience matches what the eggheads at NASA have measured was the point of my post, not that my personal comfort is a reliable barometer of climate change.

Again, I'll come back to CO2 being a magic molecule that we can pump as much as we want into the atmosphere with absolutely no secondary or tertiary consequences seems to require a level of faith or motivated reasoning as believing Florida will be underwater by 2030.
Pacifico
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agent-maroon said:

Determining historical CO2 levels from tree rings and gasses trapped in Antarctic ice? Holy confounding variables Batman! Even then the "data" is a consensus among researchers with a monetary interest in the results. No climate issues = no grant money so of course they're all going to support each others findings no matter how flawed they might be.

IT'S A SCAM!


Clearly. Unfortunately half of the government we pay for doesn't see it that way.
Aggie Joe 93
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The home I grew up in also shrank! The driveway is at least 10 times as short. Yet the trees in the front yard are 10 times as big.

This kind of analysis proves aliens, man made climate change, and all kinds of things.
annie88
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Aggie Joe 93 said:

The home I grew up in also shrank! The driveway is at least 10 times as short. Yet the trees in the front yard are 10 times as big.

This kind of analysis proves aliens, man made climate change, and all kinds of things.

That reminds me of the time when a "reporter" from The Battalion asked me, when they were replacing the trees on Spence Field that had died after the 2011 drought, why they were so much smaller than the ones that had been taken out.

And no, I'm not joking.
I don’t get enough credit for the things I manage not to say.
annie88
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Agsrback12 said:

The man made climate change folks are having their wwe "but it's real to me, damn it" moment

I don’t get enough credit for the things I manage not to say.
annie88
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smucket said:

Malibu said:

bobbranco said:

Malibu said:

A more nuanced take:
Burning fossil fuels at the scale we are doing so is releasing quantities of CO2 at the scale massively more than the Earth would naturally release on its own. CO2 is not the one magical molecule we can put in the atmosphere at whatever quantities we want with no second and third order consequences. Current average temperatures are being exceeded year over year for recorded history, and declaring the hypothesis that human caused CO2 additions in the atmosphere has something to do with that, as models and science predicted it would, shouldn't cause thoughtful people to erupt in a deep belly laughter for being absurd liberal propaganda.

Yes, someone selling a fatalistic picture of Florida being underwater in 10 years was selling something or trying to increase their personal power. Sensationalism and doom attracts more eyeballs than a more balanced approach. We should be skeptical of worst case scenario claims.



The emboldened is based on falsified data.

I go outside and I've been on the planet awhile. It's hotter here than it was when I was a kid. Maybe I'm in on the conspiracy too.

Worst summer I can remember in Dallas- 1980
Worst winter I can remember in Dallas - 1990
Worst winter storm season in Dallas - I think it was 2010 or 2011. Only time I can remember in my life when snow stayed on the ground for almost a week

We all have our anecdotes

Oh, I remember the heat wave of 1980. Yikers.

I also remember the 'who shot JR' conundrum that summer.
I don’t get enough credit for the things I manage not to say.
BadMoonRisin
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You have to be a monumental level of rtard to have fallen for this scam after all of these years.

When you're capstone leader is a Scandanavian autistic teen with a he-man haircut, you know you have been conned. Or at least some of us realize that.
i'm sorry i dont laugh at the right times.
HumpitPuryear
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A1.5 deg change over 140 years can be the result of a lot of variables. We have way more sensors now that are way more accurate. Plus many locations that were taking data in 1900 are surrounded by urban sprawl, which is warmer.

I'm open to the idea that temps might have gone up 1 deg. So What? The real disagreement is 1) is it a problem and 2) can feeble humans control it or are we just along for the ride like we were in other times in ancient history when seas rose? We weren't wiped out by previous global warming events (shocking Iknow, but this isn't the first time). We are pretty resilient and capitalism will find ways to cope. What we should all be in agreement about is giving to the EU, our fedgov, and all of the NGOs with their hands out will not yield any benefits.
SunrayAg
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Malibu said:

MelvinUdall said:

Someone walked outside it is hotter, that is solid data.

I get the impulse to mock and collect stars, but this is a strawman.

Here's NASA's data, which I'm going to easily predict is going be either dismissed as junk science from politically motivated hacks or confounding for who knows what happens.

https://science.nasa.gov/earth/explore/earth-indicators/global-temperature/

That my actual lived experience matches what the eggheads at NASA have measured was the point of my post, not that my personal comfort is a reliable barometer of climate change.

Again, I'll come back to CO2 being a magic molecule that we can pump as much as we want into the atmosphere with absolutely no secondary or tertiary consequences seems to require a level of faith or motivated reasoning as believing Florida will be underwater by 2030.


How much real, accurate, scientifically verifiable data does nasa have?

50 years?

70 years?

Back to the little ice age 150 years ago?

What about the medieval warm period 1000 years ago?

Does their data account for urban heat islands?

That's what I thought…
MelvinUdall
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Malibu said:

MelvinUdall said:

Someone walked outside it is hotter, that is solid data.

I get the impulse to mock and collect stars, but this is a strawman.

Here's NASA's data, which I'm going to easily predict is going be either dismissed as junk science from politically motivated hacks or confounding for who knows what happens.

https://science.nasa.gov/earth/explore/earth-indicators/global-temperature/

That my actual lived experience matches what the eggheads at NASA have measured was the point of my post, not that my personal comfort is a reliable barometer of climate change.

Again, I'll come back to CO2 being a magic molecule that we can pump as much as we want into the atmosphere with absolutely no secondary or tertiary consequences seems to require a level of faith or motivated reasoning as believing Florida will be underwater by 2030.


It is not a strawman….you used your own "strawman" as the reason it is hotter…so we should take your strawman is fact? Or no?
agent-maroon
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Oh yeah, and there's this giant ball of fusion just 93 million miles away that many think has some influence over Earth's temperature & climate. How to we account for the Sun's cycles and what are we going to do about them if they are trending towards higher temperatures? And what about random volcanic activity with different ash/CO2 profiles? How do these models account for anything but the CO2 levels?
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Biz Ag
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If liberals were truly concerned about CO2 emissions, they'd all wear one of these.


one safe place
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Malibu said:

I go outside and I've been on the planet awhile. It's hotter here than it was when I was a kid. Maybe I'm in on the conspiracy too.

I go outside too and I've been on the planet awhile. Neither of us can tell the difference between 98 degrees temp and 96 degrees,
Heineken-Ashi
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There are many people on this board to this very day who still say "climate change is real". None of this was ever real nor was it ever going to become real. Anyone with a brain saw the agenda decades ago. It's sad it took significant social unrest, destroying the fragile pysche of multiple easily swayed and impressionable generations of youth, and ungodly amounts of global spending before this kind of stuff starts to trickle out that is was completely made up garbage.

Why then are they admitting it now? They've never been ashamed before to push out garbage that is easily proven wrong. What could the motivation be?

IMO, this is the classic marxist playbook. Once the damage is done and mission accomplished (global unrest via pushing "the message"), they can slowly backtrack in the predictable "aw shucks, how could we have known?" manner.

One only has to look back 6 years to COVID to see the playbook. Nobody held accountable. A world completely upended for no ****ing reason. Rinse repeat.

Stop being a useful pawn. Start thinking for yourself. If governments, media, and people who are set to make a ton of money from something agree with you, you are an expendable pawn in their game.
YouBet
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Will be interesting to see if ManBearPig recants all of his predictions (that have already not happened) as one of the biggest proponents of land mass being taken by the seas.

Is he just going to push the timeline out, not comment, or dispute these findings?

I want to know what he thinks now.
bobbranco
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Malibu said:



Here's NASA's data,


NASA are part and parcel to the climate data scam. Deranged PhDs the lot.
MelvinUdall
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bobbranco said:

Malibu said:



Here's NASA's data,


NASA are part and parcel to the climate data scam. Deranged PhDs the lot.


Don't worry, he felt it, so therefore it is real.
LarryLayman
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Malibu said:

bobbranco said:

Malibu said:

A more nuanced take:
Burning fossil fuels at the scale we are doing so is releasing quantities of CO2 at the scale massively more than the Earth would naturally release on its own. CO2 is not the one magical molecule we can put in the atmosphere at whatever quantities we want with no second and third order consequences. Current average temperatures are being exceeded year over year for recorded history, and declaring the hypothesis that human caused CO2 additions in the atmosphere has something to do with that, as models and science predicted it would, shouldn't cause thoughtful people to erupt in a deep belly laughter for being absurd liberal propaganda.

Yes, someone selling a fatalistic picture of Florida being underwater in 10 years was selling something or trying to increase their personal power. Sensationalism and doom attracts more eyeballs than a more balanced approach. We should be skeptical of worst case scenario claims.



The emboldened is based on falsified data.

I go outside and I've been on the planet awhile. It's hotter here than it was when I was a kid. Maybe I'm in on the conspiracy too.


In the entire history of the world has it ever been hotter than it is now? The answer is yes, and it has also been cooler. Climate has always changed over time. If you are older , yes, you might notice a small difference within your lifetime.
Pacifico
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Man I would love me some Al Gore or John Kerry scratch on this gift
captkirk
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The current periods were not warming enough, so they just made the historical temps cooler:




ts5641
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And yet the left will never let it go. It's one of the great boondoggles of our time. The money is never ending.
ts5641
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LarryLayman said:

Malibu said:

bobbranco said:

Malibu said:

A more nuanced take:
Burning fossil fuels at the scale we are doing so is releasing quantities of CO2 at the scale massively more than the Earth would naturally release on its own. CO2 is not the one magical molecule we can put in the atmosphere at whatever quantities we want with no second and third order consequences. Current average temperatures are being exceeded year over year for recorded history, and declaring the hypothesis that human caused CO2 additions in the atmosphere has something to do with that, as models and science predicted it would, shouldn't cause thoughtful people to erupt in a deep belly laughter for being absurd liberal propaganda.

Yes, someone selling a fatalistic picture of Florida being underwater in 10 years was selling something or trying to increase their personal power. Sensationalism and doom attracts more eyeballs than a more balanced approach. We should be skeptical of worst case scenario claims.



The emboldened is based on falsified data.

I go outside and I've been on the planet awhile. It's hotter here than it was when I was a kid. Maybe I'm in on the conspiracy too.


In the entire history of the world has it ever been hotter than it is now? The answer is yes, and it has also been cooler. Climate has always changed over time. If you are older , yes, you might notice a small difference within your lifetime.

Common sense and facts have no business in the discussion of global warm..er uh...climate change.
IslanderAg04
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Malibu said:

YouBet said:

Malibu said:

A more nuanced take:
Burning fossil fuels at the scale we are doing so is releasing quantities of CO2 at the scale massively more than the Earth would naturally release on its own. CO2 is not the one magical molecule we can put in the atmosphere at whatever quantities we want with no second and third order consequences. Current average temperatures are being exceeded year over year for recorded history, and declaring the hypothesis that human caused CO2 additions in the atmosphere has something to do with that, as models and science predicted it would, shouldn't cause thoughtful people to erupt in a deep belly laughter for being absurd liberal propaganda.

Yes, someone selling a fatalistic picture of Florida being underwater in 10 years was selling something or trying to increase their personal power. Sensationalism and doom attracts more eyeballs than a more balanced approach. We should be skeptical of worst case scenario claims.



I just don't care about CO2. Besides, it's already solved if everyone believes China's latest investment in green energy. That would just leave India as the world's biggest polluter. We bent our emissions downwards 20 years ago. We are good here.

Regardless, no amount of wealth redistribution to the UN is going to solve such a nebulous problem as CO2. It's a total boogeyman.

What we should be focused on is water access. Arbitrary temperature goals in the Paris Accords mean nothing.

This argument seems to be conceding the main point of climate activists, which is that through massive state action to reinvest in green and renewable technologies, we could change the trajectory of CO2 output and worst case global warming scenarios. That is probably happening, and it's a good thing, but happened because China is smart enough to know that oil barges traveling through the Straight of Malacca is it's biggest strategic risk and needed energy independence via renewables.

CO2 doesn't care about you either, nor does it care about wealth distribution and the UN. Molecules are indifferent to ideology. Its occurrence will have atmospheric consequences independent of how deeply felt concerns are or ignored. Yes, we should focus on water access, but declaring AGW as a giant hoax we can now safely ignore seems irresponsible too.


China's grid relies 58% on coal coming out of majority North Korea, and 88% of their total energy supply comes from fossil fuels. So i'm not sure where you' get your numbers.
Law-Apt_3G
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So many lies spoonfed to the lemmings. They gonna starve before getting to the cliff. No worries, assistance gets them over the cliff.
Jbob04
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AG
Climate change is alive and well on KBTX with all Aggie meteorologists. Constantly spewing this nonsense. It's embarrassing that they are Aggies
VP at Pierce and Pierce
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Jbob04 said:

Climate change is alive and well on KBTX with all Aggie meteorologists. Constantly spewing this nonsense. It's embarrassing that they are Aggies


Plenty of sheep wear the ring.
YouBet
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The other real world application of this is how temps are color graded now on weather newscasts. We've all seen the examples (especially from Europe) where they now use yellows and reds for the same temps that used to be color coded blues and greens. And sometimes the temps now are even lower yet they get the red death treatment.

Because somehow the same temps from 30 years ago are now hotter.
87IE
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one safe place said:

Malibu said:

I go outside and I've been on the planet awhile. It's hotter here than it was when I was a kid. Maybe I'm in on the conspiracy too.

I go outside too and I've been on the planet awhile. Neither of us can tell the difference between 98 degrees temp and 96 degrees,

You are arguing with a leftist from California who, in their mind, is never wrong.

You'd have the same luck trying to teach Mandarin to a roach.

Don't waste your time.
bobbranco
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VP at Pierce and Pierce said:

Jbob04 said:

Climate change is alive and well on KBTX with all Aggie meteorologists. Constantly spewing this nonsense. It's embarrassing that they are Aggies


Plenty of sheep wear the ring.


Actually they have more college than you or me. LOL. And relish each others body odor.

Quote:

Liberals by and large were a little more educated, a little more upwardly mobile, and frankly a little faster & funnier. They embraced snark & sarcasm much quicker and with much more success. And their condescension & arrogance became a feature rather than a bug.

DallasAg 94
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Heineken-Ashi said:


Why then are they admitting it now? They've never been ashamed before to push out garbage that is easily proven wrong. What could the motivation be?
.


Bill Gates has abandoned his Climate Change drum beat and has said "we can adapt. No big deal." My paraphrase.

Why? Because there is more Gov money in AI than there will ever be in CC.

Follow the money. Whatever energy we need for AI... we will create. Coal? Nuclear? NG? He doesnt6care because he will make tons in AI.

And the message has been propagated. AI >>>> CC.
Ag with kids
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MelvinUdall said:

Malibu said:

bobbranco said:

Malibu said:

A more nuanced take:
Burning fossil fuels at the scale we are doing so is releasing quantities of CO2 at the scale massively more than the Earth would naturally release on its own. CO2 is not the one magical molecule we can put in the atmosphere at whatever quantities we want with no second and third order consequences. Current average temperatures are being exceeded year over year for recorded history, and declaring the hypothesis that human caused CO2 additions in the atmosphere has something to do with that, as models and science predicted it would, shouldn't cause thoughtful people to erupt in a deep belly laughter for being absurd liberal propaganda.

Yes, someone selling a fatalistic picture of Florida being underwater in 10 years was selling something or trying to increase their personal power. Sensationalism and doom attracts more eyeballs than a more balanced approach. We should be skeptical of worst case scenario claims.



The emboldened is based on falsified data.

I go outside and I've been on the planet awhile. It's hotter here than it was when I was a kid. Maybe I'm in on the conspiracy too.


You can feel 1-2 degrees that dramatically? My guess is that you are older, and when you're older you feel changes of temp more so than when you were younger…I definitely feel the cold more than when I was a kid running around outside with a tshirt on and jeans…

There's also the phenomenon known as recency bias...
You can turn off signatures, btw
Ag with kids
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YouBet said:

Malibu said:

YouBet said:

Malibu said:

A more nuanced take:
Burning fossil fuels at the scale we are doing so is releasing quantities of CO2 at the scale massively more than the Earth would naturally release on its own. CO2 is not the one magical molecule we can put in the atmosphere at whatever quantities we want with no second and third order consequences. Current average temperatures are being exceeded year over year for recorded history, and declaring the hypothesis that human caused CO2 additions in the atmosphere has something to do with that, as models and science predicted it would, shouldn't cause thoughtful people to erupt in a deep belly laughter for being absurd liberal propaganda.

Yes, someone selling a fatalistic picture of Florida being underwater in 10 years was selling something or trying to increase their personal power. Sensationalism and doom attracts more eyeballs than a more balanced approach. We should be skeptical of worst case scenario claims.



I just don't care about CO2. Besides, it's already solved if everyone believes China's latest investment in green energy. That would just leave India as the world's biggest polluter. We bent our emissions downwards 20 years ago. We are good here.

Regardless, no amount of wealth redistribution to the UN is going to solve such a nebulous problem as CO2. It's a total boogeyman.

What we should be focused on is water access. Arbitrary temperature goals in the Paris Accords mean nothing.

This argument seems to be conceding the main point of climate activists, which is that through massive state action to reinvest in green and renewable technologies, we could change the trajectory of CO2 output and worst case global warming scenarios. That is probably happening, and it's a good thing, but happened because China is smart enough to know that oil barges traveling through the Straight of Malacca is it's biggest strategic risk and needed energy independence via renewables.

CO2 doesn't care about you either, nor does it care about wealth distribution and the UN. Molecules are indifferent to ideology. Its occurrence will have atmospheric consequences independent of how deeply felt concerns are or ignored. Yes, we should focus on water access, but declaring AGW as a giant hoax we can now safely ignore seems irresponsible too.


Tell that to the left whose solution for solving this is Marxism. When the green movement can no longer be referred to as "watermelons" then maybe we can talk. Basing this entire movement on an arbitrary temperature increase in the Paris Accords is laughable.

I'm fairly pro-environment in reality; I'm just not going to concede anything to the left while they let Marxism rule the topic. Water is an issue right now; hitting some temperature goal years from now is make believe stuff. It's completely arbitrary based on a combination of pseudo science and lies. We had the hockey puck lie, the 97% of scientists lie, multiple faked studies, the carbon credit scam in South America (this one was awesome btw), and now this RCP 8.5 propaganda.

Let's focus on real world stuff like water and how we solve that and quit with the fake temp talks.

If it really was as bad as claimed, they wouldn't have to lie to put out the information...
You can turn off signatures, btw
YouBet
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It's what they do though. Followed same strategy with COVID. Fauci admitted after the fact that he lied about herd immunity and the 6ft distance policy in order to shape the public's perception.
Ag with kids
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Malibu said:

Your framing of the argument seems a bit off to me. If global warming, therefore Marxism and since Marxism is a bad idea, therefore we should ignore any potential global warming. The concentration of CO2 and its environmental impacts are independent of any policy solution, it's just a physics problem. I think we should start there. I also think dismissing a few degrees change as no big deal is probably unwise in a system as complex as global climate.

I am with you with a 'and therefore, tax oil companies and immediately switch to unreliable solutions' is peak idiocy and will do more to make the problem worse than better, but a sober look at a nuclear future and a grid with a renewable mix is not liberal alarmism and lunacy.

If you look at the Vostok ice core data, CO2 LAGS temperature increases. This is hundreds of thousands of years of data, consistently showing that.

Not only that...if you'll look at the chart, you'll notice something far scarier...the end of our current glaciation period is on its way soon...

You can turn off signatures, btw
Ag with kids
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Malibu said:

YouBet said:

Malibu said:

bobbranco said:

Malibu said:

A more nuanced take:
Burning fossil fuels at the scale we are doing so is releasing quantities of CO2 at the scale massively more than the Earth would naturally release on its own. CO2 is not the one magical molecule we can put in the atmosphere at whatever quantities we want with no second and third order consequences. Current average temperatures are being exceeded year over year for recorded history, and declaring the hypothesis that human caused CO2 additions in the atmosphere has something to do with that, as models and science predicted it would, shouldn't cause thoughtful people to erupt in a deep belly laughter for being absurd liberal propaganda.

Yes, someone selling a fatalistic picture of Florida being underwater in 10 years was selling something or trying to increase their personal power. Sensationalism and doom attracts more eyeballs than a more balanced approach. We should be skeptical of worst case scenario claims.



The emboldened is based on falsified data.

I go outside and I've been on the planet awhile. It's hotter here than it was when I was a kid. Maybe I'm in on the conspiracy too.

This comment is about as data driven as the climate movement.

I can't be the only person on in the US that is seeing repeatedly higher temperatures in my locale than when I was kid and noticing that the AC is on more and being outside in the summer sucks more. Global temperatures = giant hoax. My lived experience = pshhh, you're imaging things. ETA: TexAgs courtesy, will be offline for awhile. Happy Sunday.

I remember the summer of 1980.

Nice and cool, unlike recent years.
You can turn off signatures, btw
 
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