1,464 cases, 42 deaths, 71 in hospital.

Thanks for these updates.

1,539 cases, 42 deaths, 77 hospitalized

Hays County now has more recovered than active.

Total confirmed cases: 165
Recovered: 91
Active: 73
Total hospitalized: 15
Currently hospitalized: 5
Deaths: 1

1,591 cases, 44 deaths, 82 hospitalized.

As of 4/29



Source Data

I really like the data presented that way, Fitch. Do you have an automated way of pulling it, or are you entering it day by day to make your graphs?

It's published by the state every day, but it's a manual pull into Excel to update. I have some fancy formulas that cut down a lot of the labor.

1,654 cases, 47 deaths, 89 inpatients

Williamson county spike was a result of an outbreak in a nursing home. 50 patients and staff tested positive.

The good news is as of a day or two ago, they were all asymptomatic. Wilco's current hospitalization number is 10.

I did see that our positive test rate had dropped from 10% down to 6%.

Is the increase in new cases simply due to broader testing or increased spread? We shall see.

Frozen Concoction said:

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The good news is as of a day or two ago, they were all asymptomatic. Wilco's current hospitalization number is 10.

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I think they had one symptomatic patient and ended up testing everyone. Looks like they caught them early in the infection. Hopefully we don't end up with a spike in hospitalizations next week.

1683, 51 deaths
83 hospitalizations
497 recoveries

1714, 51 deaths
83 hospitalizations
512 recoveries

Hopefully on downard slide

1,756 cases, 52 deaths

84 hospitalized, 516 recovered.

Data are as of 5/3/20, as published by the Texas DSHS. One point to note, it takes at least a day for the counties to report their stats and for those to be posted to the state website

1,816 cases, 53 dead, 85 hospitalized, 542 recovered.

Do these numbers now include antibody tests or just active infections?

aggielax48 said:

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Do these numbers now include antibody tests or just active infections?

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Not sure, it's just from the website in the OP. I will see if they give the info.

Not seeing anything either way.

1876, 58 deaths
88 hospitalizations
579 recoveries

Cases: 1946
Inpatients: 94
Deaths: 57
Recoveries: 617

2002, 59 deaths
91 hospitalizations
659 recoveries

aggielax48 said:

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2002, 59 deaths
91 hospitalizations
659 recoveries

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I think it's got to be active testing. If it were antibody tests included, you would think the rate would be jumping up much higher, if the NY studies are comparable. They were seeing 55x the amount of cases.

My son who is 18, was around people in Jan skiing that have tested positive. We tried to get him in for antibody test and they instructed him to "wait until his well check this summer because we don't feel the antibody test we have now are that great".

Hays County results still looking not too bad.

202 confirmed cases.
127 recovered
2 fatalities.

Total of 20 hospitalized. Currently 5 hospitalized.

Currenty 73 active cases.

Fear-mongering headline: "100% increase in fatalities in one day".

Positive headline: "Peak active cases was 10 days ago"
Alternative Positive headline: "Doubling rate > 20 days"

2071, 60 deaths
92 hospitalizations
678 recoveries

Texas has started publishing estimated active case data, i.e. confirmed cases less estimated recovered and deaths. In theory this should be a more real-time look than just the total case data.

Per the State health department website, the formula for estimates is as follows:

• Total Confirmed Cases
• Less: Any Deaths
• Of the remaining, estimate 20% will require hospitalization / 80% will not
• Hospitalized case recovery time is ~32 days
• Non-hospitalized case recovery time is ~14 days

State & Metro-Level Data:




County-Level Data






Source: https://dshs.texas.gov/coronavirus/additionaldata/

Interesting to see the two humps in the Texas new cases are dominated by first Houston peaking and now DFW on the upswing.

So many people look at the date for too large an area. USA was dominated by NYC for a long time until they peaked. I saw an article the other day that recognized that the USA data was confusing and took out the NYC data, which showed a clear peak. But the author failed to look at the multihumped peak for USA-NYC and break it down further into the urban centers that likely each had peaks at different times contributing the "confusing pattern".

What's going on in Dallas? Salon-lady empowerment?

Well put. The US will have a bunch of noise in the data from slightly different timing of each state and metro's peak, as compared with other countries that may only have one or two major population centers. Same principle may apply to Texas simply given the scale of our geography and mix of major cities and rural population.

One head scratcher for me is some Texas rural counties have more active cases than tests performed in the county, with more than a few counties only having administered a single-digit number of tests.

5/9
2095, 60 deaths

5/10
2127, 60 deaths
91 hospitalizations
713 recoveries

2,171 cases, 65 deaths, 87 hospitalized.

Can Someone expain why Adler was taking about a dunned spike in cases when the number of new cases is essentally flat for weeks.