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CFP Projections as of 7pm Saturday

14,530 Views | 126 Replies | Last: 4 mo ago by Fanatic15...Drs2B!
A. G. Pennypacker
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Who?mikejones! said:

Blows my mind Oregon is that high.

That said, I generally agree except potentially Miami.

I dont think both miami and Notre dame get in over vandy


Blows my mind that Texas Tech ends up being highest ranked team from Texas
Sterling82
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Ag1188 said:

Sterling82 said:

BraxtonW said:

Vepp said:

Tech has a worst loss, worst sos and we are both 11-1. Not sure why they should be ahead.

Pretty early in season and didn't have their qb

You get points for that? How many points are we getting for the games we didn't have our starting RB or LB?

Elsewhere, it's stated that Tech is #4 because of the eyeball test. So we have formed a committee to evaluate analytics and so on but at the end of it, they use the eyeball test.

Good to know it's all on the up and up.

RB and Lb aren't the most important position vs QB.

How so? Techs backup QB is very good and has started games for Tech. It's not a huge drop off. But the problem is simpler than that. You are what your resume says you are. If you start saying, well so-in-so just had a bad game or if it hadn't been for the three interceptions they wouldn't have lost you get to where this committee is now, confused and unable to justify their rankings because they don't follow the criteria that they, themselves set up.

Tech has a good team and deserves to be in the field but nobody else in the B12 should be close. What's Tech's SOR? Is it commiserate with the ranking. Nope.
Who?mikejones!
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They do appear to be pretty solid. Hard to tell, but a lot like Indiana, they destroy the teams on their schedule
Artorias
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Tech will get exposed when they play a decent team in playoffs
Wabs
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Who?mikejones! said:

Wabs said:

DM44 said:

What happens to Alabama if they lose in SEC Championship and have 3 losses? Do they earn playoff spot by being in Championship Game or does 3rd loss drop them out of the top 12?




No, the CG loss will have no impact on either they make the playoff or not.


Rhodes, the former chair, said a loss could impact a teams seeding, depending on how the game goes


Read my post again.
Who?mikejones!
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Most assumptions are bama is in. But, a loss, especially a blow out one in the ccg might actually push them out because they are in competition with 3 or 4 other teams for 1 spot.
Texmexag
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ACC champ has an auto - bid? Will either be SMU or Virginia? Someone in that list won't make it
Who?mikejones!
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No, no conference has an auto bid. The top 5 ranked conference champions get in.
Digital_Java
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I think SOR and SOS will be key for tie-breaker scenarios of 11-1 teams and Ags already led both metrics relative to Ducks and Rebels before this weekend so why would a loss drop us below them?
Maroon Dawn
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Basically you want the ND schedule.

2 (and only two) real games at the start of the season and then 10 cupcakes.

If you beat either of the good teams it boosts your rank but even if you lose both you finish on a 10 game win streak that benefits from recency bias instead of suffering from it. You're in the playoff every year with this formula with a high seeding too usually
Who?mikejones!
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That's why Notre dame wont join a conference. Notre dame shouldn't get in with that **** they call a schedule
Jarrin Jay
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rsf0626 said:

Goat Man said:

How could Tech be that high? They lost to Arizona State.

Texas Tech might be the best team that nobody'a talking about. Theyre dominant on both sides of the ball


Nobody has any idea how good they are as their schedule is terrible. That's why nobody is talking about them.

Will find out in the CFP how good they are.
Sterling82
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Digital_Java said:

I think SOR and SOS will be key for tie-breaker scenarios of 11-1 teams and Ags already led both metrics relative to Ducks and Rebels before this weekend so why would a loss drop us below them?

They say they are but the evidence is sketchy and the rationales are bordering on comedic. I especially get a kick out of the chairman saying our defense is the reason our ranking doesn't mirror SOR and SOS but I haven't heard much about OU's inept offense in the ranking process.
monarch
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S
Doesn't matter; I don't want any part of that group anywhere. We would be hard pressed to beat them.
Peace for Ukraine!
W
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random question...

the Rose Bowl is a quarterfinal game this year

which top 4 seed would be selected to play there? (if Oregon doesn't reach the top 4)

some preference is supposed to be given for geography
AggieBB
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Jbob04 said:

That's the same argument people use against us and the bottom sec teams that we beat up on.

That we're dominant on both sides of the ball? Weird. I haven't heard anybody say that.
DGrimesAg92
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ApachePilot said:

Bama at home.





Tulane gotta by UNT?
DGrimesAg92
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Goat Man said:

How could Tech be that high? They lost to Arizona State.


BigXII champ. Don't worry, that will all work out in the end. They might win one, but they don't have the depth to keep winning.
Who?mikejones!
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Tulane will host unt for their championship game. Winner likely to go to playoffs
fightinag
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Goat Man said:

How could Tech be that high? They lost to Arizona State.

playing with their 2nd and 3rd string qbs as the starting QB was injured!
I have them winning it all !
NEXT YEAR IS HERE.......again
Roman Empire
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AggieOO said:

Goat Man said:

How could Tech be that high? They lost to Arizona State.


Without their starting QB.


Conference champion
Who?mikejones!
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New update assuming bama goes down

1. Osu
2. Uga
3. Indiana
4. Tech

5. Ole miss
6. Oregon
7. Tamu
8. Ou

9. Virginia
10. Notre dame
11. Miami or vandy
12. Tulane/unt
W
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Virginia finished 10-2

winning the ACC title would give UVA 11 wins

I agree...they might be ranked higher than #11
W
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Alabama wins

so the committee will have to choose between Miami (10-2) and Notre Dame (10-2)

there is not room for both

and a 10-2 SEC team will not make the playoff (Vandy)
S.A. Aggie
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As we await the Kiffen announcement.
Who?mikejones!
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S.A. Aggie said:

As we await the Kiffen announcement.


W
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one last question...

OU is absolutely safe -- right?

the ol' eye test won't be used to push Notre Dame above the Sooners
Room40
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W said:

one last question...

OU is absolutely safe -- right?

the ol' eye test won't be used to push Notre Dame above the Sooners


They need to be critical of how bad that offense is. But the committee seems to love good defenses.
Artorias
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Will be interesting to see how Kiffin leaving affects Ole Miss seed. They gotta drop some I would imagine.
Who?mikejones!
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I think ou's wins keep them above dame.
soggybottomboy
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Why are we still doing Miami as the ACC champion? Swap Miami with Virginia
Faustus
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Who?mikejones! said:

Miami cannot be the acc champ.

It will be Virginia, smu or duke(I think at this point). I think miami has been eliminated but its really hard to tell.

This means another team, unless its Duke, will take an auto bid. Miami will be ranked 10 or 11 if they get in.


If Notre Dame gets in over Miami then I guess it's due to quality losses. Miami should have lost to teams like Miami if they wanted to make the playoffs.

Miami has better wins. Notre Dame has a win over 9-3 USC who has a win over 9-3 Michigan who has no ranked wins. That's kind of a quality win for the Irish over 36 games.
soggybottomboy
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Would be surprised if OU holds on to 8, They struggled at home against an unranked opponent.

While Notre Dame, Miami, Vanderbilt, Texas, Alabama all finished strong
Artorias
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Bama struggled to beat 5-7 Auburn, and needed ref help to get there, Not finishing strong.
Who?mikejones!
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How you look onyl matter if your the Aggies. Duh.
 
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