The Astros 2014 improbable, inconceivable, unbelievable march to the World Series

467,189 Views | 5515 Replies | Last: 11 yr ago by Ags #1
McGibblets
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AG
quote:
Singleton 3 for 3.

Anyone see his double? Said it was to "deep" right field? Wonder if it almost got out.


It was a straight line drive that hit the fence without bouncing. If it had any elevation, at all, it would've easily been a homer
gougler08
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AG
And we promptly give up 2 after Peacock is pulled for a PH (which resulted in a double play)
shano0603
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I hate Josh Fields. I'm sure we have someone in our farm system we can bring up instead
Sea Gull
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Fields is horrible. When is Crain back?
mazag08
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Bullpen in August..

Crain
Albers
Sipp
Owens
Qualls
Obie (also spot starter)
And someone we get in a trade.
Sea Gull
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You forgot to put

Custodians:
Josh Fields
Paul Clemens
Houston Summit
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Duck, it's been awhile. How ya been?
Sea Gull
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Been good...life's been slow recently. Loving this surge from the Astros. Hopefully it lasts. How's life?
Houston Summit
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Been quite well - very busy but very good. Our Stros are starting to look like a baseball team again. I am liking what I am seeing. Glad to have you back on the Astros thread
bigbass1170
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Irish, very nice article on TCB.
McGibblets
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Didn't realize you wrote for TCB Pete. Good article

[This message has been edited by Mcgibblets (edited 6/11/2014 9:44a).]
irish pete ag06
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Thanks guys! Here's the link if anyone else wants to check it out.

http://www.crawfishboxes.com/2014/6/11/5794274/xbabip-predicts-the-future-astros-have-exploded-offensively
mazag08
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AG
One thing you forget Pete.. is that there is no law saying BABIP has to normalize for every player.

Some players dont make good enough contact to warrant additional hits. It seems they are unlucky.. because they just don't hit the ball well, therefore decreasing their chances or hits on a greater scale than someone like Altuve who makes great contact.

I think we might have another slight uptick, but this is about where our offense is. Castro, Vilar, and Grossman will come up, Altuve and Fowler will settle down.
irish pete ag06
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Agreed. Talent is 1 of the 3 ingredients of BABIP. However, all MLB players have a BABIP that normalizes somewhere. It may be lower than .300 or above, but it will normalize.
irish pete ag06
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And if it does normalize around .260 or so, that means that person probably is slow and makes a lot of weak contact (ie, they suck).
mazag08
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Gotcha. Good stuff
mazag08
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On a related note, what is the single worst BABIP ever for someone who had enough qualified at bats?
mazag08
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Also.. really cool stat from Dave Cameron on FG.

quote:
When a Major League hitter has swung at the first pitch of an at-bat in 2014, the average OPS in that at-bat — not just OPS on first pitch swings, but the OPS for all at-bats in which there was a first pitch swing — is .710. The average OPS for an at-bat in which the batter does not swing is .708. For all intents and purposes, that is a statistical tie, and suggests that there has been no obvious advantage to pursuing either approach this year.
irish pete ag06
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To continue on our BABIP talk... the more homeruns you hit, the lower your BABIP also tends to be. Homeruns do not count towards BABIP since they are not in the field of play.

Take Mark McGwire. His career BABIP was .255. Greg Vaughn, .261.
McGibblets
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Springer is back in the lineup but now altuve is out with a sore oblique
Brennan Huff
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^ It could be worse. MUCH, MUCH worse.

- Rangers Fans
Stros94
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Getting ahead early, 1-0 Stros on the Castro RBI single
shano0603
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Keuchel on the mound... I feel confident
Stros94
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Matty D getting some really bad breaks in the field. Tough plays that haven't gone his way, 7 Errors on the season now
mazag08
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At least 3 of those errors were on plays that less than 5 3Bmen in the league can make.. Matty D being one of them.
McGibblets
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Keuchel is a freaking champ
Ag94Ag17
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SoonerAg01?
McGibblets
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2 pitches, 2 hits for springer
mazag08
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Carter farter to the boxes!

I'm sitting 1st row next to the foul pole tomorrow. I expect some dingers!
shano0603
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Springer isn't waiting at all tonight lol
Stros94
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If Dallas isn't an all-star.....
shano0603
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Altuve and Dallas should be there. Springer would have to get on one of his hot streaks again.
Mr.Bond
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Carter x2
zgood10
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bigbass1170
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