Cleveland's magic number for eliminating the Astros from 2 seed contention is at 5. So 6-4 while Cleveland goes 0-9 against the Twins (1), Cardinals (3), and Reds (2) would result in a tie. The Astros would have the tie breaker. Seems highly unlikely, but crazier things have happened.LincolnBorglum79 said:
With a Magic number of 6 to clinch the AL West, the Astros have a chance to end this race by Sunday. If we sweep the Angels like we did last weekend in LA, we just need Seattle to go 2-2 with today's game with NYY and a 3 game trip to Arlington. That would give us a 7 game lead with 6 to play.
If we fall short we just need a win ot two at home vs Seattle next week.
Catching Cleveland or NY for a bye would require a 10-0 finish I think if it's even possible.
I have seen the team by team rankings of umpire bias, but I would love to see a statcast level breakdown by player of who gets victimized the most by balls that are erroneously called strikes. It may just be perception, but it seems like it is at least once a game that Bregman watches a ball get called a strike early in an at bat. Would not be the least bit surprised if the umps are still trying to penalize him (and the astros as a whole) for 2017.Prosperdick said:
If Breggy's walk rate hadn't declined I was going to make the point that if they do adopt a player challenge system in MLB he would definitely benefit from it. I still think it would help him as he does have a great eye at the plate.
I got you.txags92 said:I have seen the team by team rankings of umpire bias, but I would love to see a statcast level breakdown by player of who gets victimized the most by balls that are erroneously called strikes. It may just be perception, but it seems like it is at least once a game that Bregman watches a ball get called a strike early in an at bat. Would not be the least bit surprised if the umps are still trying to penalize him (and the astros as a whole) for 2017.Prosperdick said:
If Breggy's walk rate hadn't declined I was going to make the point that if they do adopt a player challenge system in MLB he would definitely benefit from it. I still think it would help him as he does have a great eye at the plate.
That is pretty cool. Not surprised to see 3 Astros on the top 50. Shocked to see us where we are at 24th on the team rank given how the umpire scorecards show us consistently at the bottom. Can you do the same analysis for pitches in the zone that get called balls. Is it our pitchers getting screwed that is driving our umpire scorecards disadvantage?Farmer1906 said:I got you.txags92 said:I have seen the team by team rankings of umpire bias, but I would love to see a statcast level breakdown by player of who gets victimized the most by balls that are erroneously called strikes. It may just be perception, but it seems like it is at least once a game that Bregman watches a ball get called a strike early in an at bat. Would not be the least bit surprised if the umps are still trying to penalize him (and the astros as a whole) for 2017.Prosperdick said:
If Breggy's walk rate hadn't declined I was going to make the point that if they do adopt a player challenge system in MLB he would definitely benefit from it. I still think it would help him as he does have a great eye at the plate.
The filters:
Team Ranks
1. TOR - 550 pitches out of 21,953 - 2.5%
24. HOU - 442 pitches out of 20,971 - 2.1%
30. WSH - 416 pitches out of 21,310 - 2.0%
Player Ranks
1. Isaac Paredes - 87/2713 - 3.2%
2. Seiya Suzuki - 82/2388 - 3.4%
33. Alex Bregman - 57/2259 - 2.5%
50. Jose Altuve - 51/2329 - 2.2%
50. Jeremy Pena - 51/2166 - 2.4%
82. Jake Meyers - 46/1709 - 2.7%
no one else in the top 100
Random thing I noticed - Will Wagner is getting screwed. He's already at 17 in only 364 pitches - 4.7%
This is probably fire a few of yall up, but while looking at this you can see just how few pitches we see. We rank dead load with 20,971 pitches seen. 255 pitches fewer than CWS and 2,415 fewer than MIL.
This is the genius of Alex Cintron. He knows we are getting hosed by bad calls. So the solution is to stop taking so many pitches.Quote:
This is probably fire a few of yall up, but while looking at this you can see just how few pitches we see. We rank dead load with 20,971 pitches seen. 255 pitches fewer than CWS and 2,415 fewer than MIL.
I feel for him. I stopped on my most beloved thread (Star Wars and its subsidiaries) for the exact same reason about a month or so ago. While I miss it, it definitely was a good idea.agproducer said:I think he said a while back that he couldn't stand the negativity on this thread during the games, so he was going to take time away.The Porkchop Express said:How odd, first I thought he got a ban, but I remember seeing him on the Texans' thread right before the first game.All I do is Nguyen said:
Anyone heard from 2015? He kind of disappeared after the trade deadline
he's only posted 4-5 times in the last month. He doesn't have stars so can't PM him unfortunately.
I miss his takes and insider info.
The stat showing us 24th out of 30 on a percentage basis would suggest we are not getting hosed as a team. Would be interesting to where we rank at swing and miss strikes and foul balls on pitches outside the strike zone. I think that is where you will see the impact of Cintron's incompetence as much as or more than the lack of walks.Mathguy64 said:This is the genius of Alex Cintron. He knows we are getting hosed by bad calls. So the solution is to stop taking so many pitches.Quote:
This is probably fire a few of yall up, but while looking at this you can see just how few pitches we see. We rank dead load with 20,971 pitches seen. 255 pitches fewer than CWS and 2,415 fewer than MIL.
Mathguy64 said:This is the genius of Alex Cintron. He knows we are getting hosed by bad calls. So the solution is to stop taking so many pitches.Quote:
This is probably fire a few of yall up, but while looking at this you can see just how few pitches we see. We rank dead load with 20,971 pitches seen. 255 pitches fewer than CWS and 2,415 fewer than MIL.
texasaggie2015 said:
I'm alive.
So we're going all in on Soto to force NY to pay 500 M. Is that what I am reading in between the lines?texasaggie2015 said:
I'm alive.
Finally came across a good replay of this; at about the 0:30 mark.The Porkchop Express said:
Just wanted to add on to the thanks to Julio Rodriguez for not only going through a season-long downgrade of his skill set that takes him from "I'm terrified of this guy" to "who cares if he's up" but also being a total moron and dropping our magic number to 6. Kudos to the NY Post for this great shot, which looks like someone reversed the image of a guy getting picked off first.
This call from the Mariners broadcast will make your morning better I guarantee it pic.twitter.com/al6lZjmv2x
— Houston Central (@HoustonCentral_) September 19, 2024
Thanks for looking at that and posting it for me. I suspect there are certain guys from the 2017 team that get squeezed more than others based on seeing Bregman and Altuve high up on the list. But I also wonder how much of it has to do with how each player gets pitched. Guys where the book says they can't lay off outside pitches with movement or high heat might get squeezed more just because of pitch selection and location by the pitcher.Farmer1906 said:
Astros Pitching
10th in balls called strikes
5th in strikes called balls
Astros Hitting
29th in strikes called balls
24th in balls called strikes
But since we're so aggressive we should be low when we bat. If we look at % it changes.
Astros Hitting
29th in strikes called balls
13th in balls called strikes
All are sorted from high to low regardless if high is favorable or unfavorable.
The only thing that stands out is that our hitters don't get breaks regarding borderline strikes. They're usually called strikes. And our pitches get squeezed too often.
Watching that replay - is there a certain distance a baserunner can go off the base during the game and not be called out? He's more than halfway to the dugout.jkag89 said:Finally came across a good replay of this; at about the 0:30 mark.The Porkchop Express said:
Just wanted to add on to the thanks to Julio Rodriguez for not only going through a season-long downgrade of his skill set that takes him from "I'm terrified of this guy" to "who cares if he's up" but also being a total moron and dropping our magic number to 6. Kudos to the NY Post for this great shot, which looks like someone reversed the image of a guy getting picked off first.This call from the Mariners broadcast will make your morning better I guarantee it pic.twitter.com/al6lZjmv2x
— Houston Central (@HoustonCentral_) September 19, 2024
The Porkchop Express said:
where?
OF Luis Baez, who currently ranked as the Astros' No. 4 prospect, underwent surgery on his left thumb yesterday. He'll be fine for start of next season, team says.
— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) September 19, 2024
You'll have to say goodbye to the Houston Astros' Nike City Connect Space City uniforms after Monday night's game against the Mariners. https://t.co/pP1Erk4TCT via @houstonchron
— Matt Young (@Chron_MattYoung) September 19, 2024
Im also alive, not that anyone asked.texasaggie2015 said:
I'm alive.
I would think they would give leeway for avoiding a flying bat initially, but he reacted like it was a foul ball instead of a foul bat.The Porkchop Express said:Watching that replay - is there a certain distance a baserunner can go off the base during the game and not be called out? He's more than halfway to the dugout.jkag89 said:Finally came across a good replay of this; at about the 0:30 mark.The Porkchop Express said:
Just wanted to add on to the thanks to Julio Rodriguez for not only going through a season-long downgrade of his skill set that takes him from "I'm terrified of this guy" to "who cares if he's up" but also being a total moron and dropping our magic number to 6. Kudos to the NY Post for this great shot, which looks like someone reversed the image of a guy getting picked off first.This call from the Mariners broadcast will make your morning better I guarantee it pic.twitter.com/al6lZjmv2x
— Houston Central (@HoustonCentral_) September 19, 2024
Ag_07 said:
I think he thought it was 3rd out.
Looks like initially he was avoiding the bat but he keeps going toward the dugout after the bats is well clear of him.
I think he lost track of the outs.
Didn't necessarily look like he was going back to the dugout to me as much as just thinking it was a dead ball and goofing off. Like he just completely forgot a game was going on.Ag_07 said:
I think he thought it was 3rd out.
Looks like initially he was avoiding the bat but he keeps going toward the dugout after the bats is well clear of him.
I think he lost track of the outs.
dcaggie04 said:Ag_07 said:
I think he thought it was 3rd out.
Looks like initially he was avoiding the bat but he keeps going toward the dugout after the bats is well clear of him.
I think he lost track of the outs.
They asked him about it after the game and he said that he thought the play was dead when the bat left the batter's hands.
EastCoastAgNc said:You'll have to say goodbye to the Houston Astros' Nike City Connect Space City uniforms after Monday night's game against the Mariners. https://t.co/pP1Erk4TCT via @houstonchron
— Matt Young (@Chron_MattYoung) September 19, 2024
EastCoastAgNc said:OF Luis Baez, who currently ranked as the Astros' No. 4 prospect, underwent surgery on his left thumb yesterday. He'll be fine for start of next season, team says.
— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) September 19, 2024
NY won't let him get away, but I'd love him to land at any other franchise so the Yankees can cry about Steinbrenner being cheap.Farmer1906 said:So we're going all in on Soto to force NY to pay 500 M. Is that what I am reading in between the lines?texasaggie2015 said:
I'm alive.
I thought he thought it was a foul ball and avoiding the flying bat and it would be a dead ball obviously in that situation. Maybe that's what he meant to say and it came out wrong because I can't believe a player would think the bat leaving a hitter's hand after a strike-out would result in a dead ball.txags92 said:I would think they would give leeway for avoiding a flying bat initially, but he reacted like it was a foul ball instead of a foul bat.The Porkchop Express said:Watching that replay - is there a certain distance a baserunner can go off the base during the game and not be called out? He's more than halfway to the dugout.jkag89 said:Finally came across a good replay of this; at about the 0:30 mark.The Porkchop Express said:
Just wanted to add on to the thanks to Julio Rodriguez for not only going through a season-long downgrade of his skill set that takes him from "I'm terrified of this guy" to "who cares if he's up" but also being a total moron and dropping our magic number to 6. Kudos to the NY Post for this great shot, which looks like someone reversed the image of a guy getting picked off first.This call from the Mariners broadcast will make your morning better I guarantee it pic.twitter.com/al6lZjmv2x
— Houston Central (@HoustonCentral_) September 19, 2024
The thread is still free even without a paid membership, but glad you're still alive!Lonestar_Ag09 said:Im also alive, not that anyone asked.texasaggie2015 said:
I'm alive.
I dont know how you guys have done it without a paid sub and keeping up on here. I dropped my when renewal came up because this thread was the only reason i paid and with a recent job change it wasnt financially practical.
I still read here occasionally when moves were happening but this whole site gets more annoying without a paid membership to keep track of stuff and use of the app
Thanks for coming to my Ted Talk
