The Original Houston 1836 said:
AggieEP said:
There is nothing gerrymandered about this.
https://www.espn.com/mlb/player/gamelog/_/id/32796/year/2021/category/pitching
Healthy deGrom is the best starting pitcher of his era, but he had bad luck with injuries. His first TJ surgery made it to where he didn't debut until he was 26 years old, and his second one cost him basically 2 full seasons.
Now he's back healthy and dominating just like the old deGrom.
There was a 3 month period in there where deGrom gave up 6 ERs total.
Earlier a poster said that he wasn't Koufax, but really it's an apt comparison. He should have won 20 games a year but his team let him down consistently. If deGrom had 175 wins right now, maybe some of you would view this differently.
You're making my points for me.
He doesn't have 175 wins. He doesn't even have 100. He's just as likely to get hurt tomorrow and miss 2 more years as he is to go 16-5 this year and win the Cy Young. He's had a great career, if you can't stay healthy, you're not making the HoF. There are literally dozens of examples across time including a few below.
Does JR Richard belong in the Hall of Fame? He had 5 straight years of 18-20 wins and was having his best season ever in 1980 when he had a stroke and never pitched again. More than 300 strikeouts twice, 107-71 record, 3.15 ERA.
I'm an Astro die-hard, but I don't think he's in the HOF because his career ended too soon because of injuries. He got 1.6% of the vote in 1986 for the Hall.
How about Don Mattingly? Easily the best offensive player in baseball from 1984-1987, and had a couple more good years, then injuries destroyed him. He's got 2,153 hits and 222 career HR. Hall of Fame? He peeked at 28.2% of the vote in 2001.
How about Nomar Garciaparra? As good as Jeter or A-Rod from 1997-2003, then injuries took over and he as a shell of his former self from 2004-2009. Didn't even get to 2,000 hits. .321 batting average in the post-season. Got 5.5% and 1.8% of the HOF vote.
How about Thurman Munson? Won an MVP, won Rookie of the Year, .292 career hitter, won 3 Gold Glove, made the All-Star team 7 times, hit .373 in 3 WS appearances, won 2 titles, and died in a plane crash at age 32. Hall of Fame? Peaked at 15.5% of the vote in 1981.
What about Fernando? Won the Cy-Young as a rookie in 1981, had 111 wins by age 26, finished top 5 for Cy Young 4 time, was a national phenomenon the likes of which baseball has rarely seen since, and had a 1.98 career post-season ERA. Then fell off from injuries from 1988-1997 and limped to a 173-153 record HOF?
What about Orel Hershisher? From 84-89, his ERAs were 2.66, 2.03, 3.85, 3.06, 2.26, 2.31. Had a 19-3 seaso with a 2.03 ERA, won the Cy Young going 23-8 with 15 complete games and 8 shutouts, and owns one of the most improbably records of all time for consective scoreless innings, won a Cy Young and was MVP of the NLCS and the World Series the same year. But also threw his arm out by leading the NL in innings pitched 3 straight years from 1987-1989. Missed almost all of 1990 and was OK, but not great the rest of his career. 204-150 record. Hall of Fame? Never got higher than 11.2%.
What about Bret Saberhagen? Two Cy Youngs by age 25. Two 20+ win seasons by age 25, a legendary 1989 season - 23-6, 2.16 ERA, 12 complete games, 262 innings pitched. Had an 18-10 season on there as well. At age 25 he was 92-61 he had more wins at age 25 than deGrom has now. Then he got hurt in 1990 at age 26 and never won more than 14 games again but still finished 50 games over .500 for his career (167-117) . Ws also World Series MVP at age 21. He got 1.3% of the vote in 2007.
Do they all get in? If not, how come?
IF the bolded above is true (and you guys are going to have to argue that; I'm not able to make a determination), the players you mentioned aren't all that relevant. Even you admit they all got injured and tailed off, disappearing essentially. Plus, they weren't the best players of their era -- heck 3 of the ones you mentioned were in the same era, and Richard wasn't far off. They couldn't have all been the best. Not to mention Jack Morris, Nolan, and arguably Dave Steib and Dwight Gooden. I think Munson's career would have ended anyway in '80 or '81, or he would have been traded to somewhere like Cleveland.
Besides, all the pitchers you mentioned had a lifetime ERA of almost a run more. Only Saberhagen was within a run and he was still well over 3. deGrom is around 2.5. You mentioned a lot of post-season accolades. I think the voters dismiss a lot of that. Ichiro was the second highest vote-getter of all time and only played in 19 post-season games (over 2 seasons) in roughly the same number of years' career (although he did play fairly well in them).
While it is certainly open for discussion, looking at who was left out requires a total look and not the absence of important stats.