***** Official Houston Astros 2026 Season Thread *****

584,350 Views | 9580 Replies | Last: 5 min ago by wangus12
Mr.Ackar07
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What's with the severed hand?
Chef Elko
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AG
CharleyKerfeld said:

texpert68 said:

Going to have to lower ticket prices to help this shift.

You really feel for the businesses around the park; not that it was always going to be the days of wine and roses, but I bet their profit margin drop will be horrifying if the team goes 62-100 this year. I'd be fascinated to know what those places rake in during some of the extensive playoff runs.



I miss slamming beers at Home Plate pre game and walking across the street to MMP
W
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speaking of Pena...wherever he is...

by the end of the current series vs. Seattle, he will have played in 10 of 45 games -- missed 35 already

he won't reach the 130 games played mark in 2026...and probably won't reach 120 either
Beau Holder
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Heineken-Ashi said:

Beau Holder said:

I'm not sure Zach Cole, Cam Smith, Brice Matthews, Braden Shewmake, and Lance McCullers could win two in a row, much less 20.

Don't lump Shewmake in with the other scrubs. He's one of the only RBI producers in the last week.

He's certainly been more useful than Smith, who plays in the middle of the lineup every day despite batting .151 with a 30% K rate over his last 26 games in what's not his first extended stretch of looking like he's overmatched in the bigs.
Wabs
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When Loperfido comes back, they need to send Cam down to SL to figure things out. Or just do it now anyway.
texasaggie2015
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Wabs said:

When Loperfido comes back, they need to send Cam down to SL to figure things out. Or just do it now anyway.

There's frustrations within the organization with the handling of Cam. I'll say that.
linkdude
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the call is coming from inside the house

is this just in terms of him needing seasoning in the minors/burning his pre arb service time, or is he not getting the help he needs adjusting to what pitchers are bringing against him?
W
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Cam has 580 major league at-bats under his belt now
wehnerhigh20
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I am very close to being on the Crane needs to sell wagon
W
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one thing I notice...

Cam's pull % in 2026 is just 18% -- yikes, yikes, and more yikes

that is not the way for a right-handed hitter playing for the Houston Astros
Wabs
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texasaggie2015 said:

Wabs said:

When Loperfido comes back, they need to send Cam down to SL to figure things out. Or just do it now anyway.

There's frustrations within the organization with the handling of Cam. I'll say that.

I'd be concerned if there wasn't frustration. Don't know if it's how Espada handled him or if more blame is directed at Dana. Or both. He needs time in AAA to figure it out at the plate plus get more reps in the OF (if that's where we see him long term).
Mathguy64
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Which is the real Cam? The real world numbers on the left or the guy with the predictive numbers on the right?

If all you saw was the table on the right you would sign that guy up now. The problem is the guy on the left (whose numbers don't reflect his defensive gaffes the last couple of weeks) is not a ML RFer.

tjack16
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Those tickets on seat geek are starting to plummet.

Might be back to 2011-2014 where I got like a $7 upper deck seat and sat behind 1st base dugout
JYDog90
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wehnerhigh20 said:

I am very close to being on the Crane needs to sell wagon


Welcome to the party, pal.
Formerly Willy Wonka
JYDog90
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texasaggie2015 said:

Wabs said:

When Loperfido comes back, they need to send Cam down to SL to figure things out. Or just do it now anyway.

There's frustrations within the organization with the handling of Cam. I'll say that.


Fireable frustrations? Speaking of that, how in the world does Josh Miller still have a job? I would think he would have been a sacrificial lamb at least at this point in time.
Formerly Willy Wonka
JYDog90
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Wabs said:

texasaggie2015 said:

Wabs said:

When Loperfido comes back, they need to send Cam down to SL to figure things out. Or just do it now anyway.

There's frustrations within the organization with the handling of Cam. I'll say that.

I'd be concerned if there wasn't frustration. Don't know if it's how Espada handled him or if more blame is directed at Dana. Or both. He needs time in AAA to figure it out at the plate plus get more reps in the OF (if that's where we see him long term).


His defense has saved him up to this point but it looks like that's gone now too.
Formerly Willy Wonka
W
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how do all the red bars on the right equal .642 OPS?
Mathguy64
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That's the Cam Smith conundrum.

Farmer would tell you he's just had back luck and due to regress upwards to his metrics.
CharleyKerfeld
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Mr.Ackar07 said:

What's with the severed hand?

There initially 2 people in the image. I told it to remove one. I guess I should have put "and their hand" in the prompt
W
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Cam's expected slugging (xSLG) is .460

his actual slugging (SLG) is .338

that's what hitting fly balls to CF does
Mr. Awesome Time
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CharleyKerfeld said:

Mr.Ackar07 said:

What's with the severed hand?

There initially 2 people in the image. I told it to remove one. I guess I should have put "and their hand" in the prompt

It's fitting for this season.
CharleyKerfeld
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tjack16 said:

Those tickets on seat geek are starting to plummet.

Might be back to 2011-2014 where I got like a $7 upper deck seat and sat behind 1st base dugout

I looked last night on TickPick. This is the chart for the Thursday afternoon game.

Farmer1906
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Mathguy64 said:

That's the Cam Smith conundrum.

Farmer would tell you he's just had back luck and due to regress upwards to his metrics.


Yup. Odds are, if he keeps hitting it similarly, the outcomes will be better. His difference in wOBA and xwOBA this year are larger than anyone finished the year last year (qualified).


MaxPower
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Mathguy64 said:

That's the Cam Smith conundrum.

Farmer would tell you he's just had back luck and due to regress upwards to his metrics.
I mean this season is nearly lost anyway so seeing if he's your future RF makes sense anyway, right? It's not like there's some other young stud OF he is blocking.
tjack16
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CharleyKerfeld said:

tjack16 said:

Those tickets on seat geek are starting to plummet.

Might be back to 2011-2014 where I got like a $7 upper deck seat and sat behind 1st base dugout

I looked last night on TickPick. This is the chart for the Thursday afternoon game.




Lower level for $13-25 is a great deal
Ag_07
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But again being paper thin at OF depth I don't think sending Cam down is a viable option.
Beau Holder
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Think he needs to fix the K rate and pull air rate for any of it to ever actually turn into something tangible. And his ABs don't look anywhere close to him being able to do that.
tjack16
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If Jake and Loperfido were healthy then I'd say maybe. But the wind blows the wrong way and all of a sudden somebody is hurt

Odds are we'd send cam down, then the next day somebody goes down and he has to come right back
Farmer1906
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Beau Holder said:

Think he needs to fix the K rate and pull air rate for any of it to ever actually turn into something tangible. And his ABs don't look anywhere close to him being able to do that.

Sure. That would likely take him to an All-Star/MVP candidate. Right now his xwOBA is .351. Look at who had a similar wOBA last year. James Woods (353), Trea Turner (352), Josh Naylor (351), Francisco Lindor (350), Brent Rookie (349), Jacob Wilson (348), and Cody Bellinger (347). I think we'd all gladly lock that in for the next 4+ seasons if we could.
Beau Holder
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I wouldn't lock what we've seen for the last 26 games (which is more than half the season at this point, I think?) in for a dinner date, much less a contract.
Farmer1906
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Beau Holder said:

I wouldn't lock what we've seen for the last 26 games (which is more than half the season at this point, I think?) in for a dinner date, much less a contract.

You missed the point. Without fixing his K rate and pull%, which I agree are areas that he needs to improve, he's still hitting the ball well enough to be a very good player. All the players I listed had results that matched how Cam is hitting it.
MaxPower
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Farmer1906 said:

Beau Holder said:

Think he needs to fix the K rate and pull air rate for any of it to ever actually turn into something tangible. And his ABs don't look anywhere close to him being able to do that.

Sure. That would likely take him to an All-Star/MVP candidate. Right now his xwOBA is .351. Look at who had a similar wOBA last year. James Woods (353), Trea Turner (352), Josh Naylor (351), Francisco Lindor (350), Brent Rookie (349), Jacob Wilson (348), and Cody Bellinger (347). I think we'd all gladly lock that in for the next 4+ seasons if we could.
Yeah, I still believe. The interesting conversation for me is whether you can extend him in the cheap. It's not like we have any other potential candidates so might as well roll the dice to see if you can buy out a year or two of free agency. Could turn those into option years if you want to mitigate risk.
jja79
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You have to get value for something to be a great deal.
MaxPower
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I think the Braves are going to be a potential trade partner. Dana has a connection and has already traded with them once and they shouldn't be in Crane's naughty list. While Dubon has been good so far, I don't think anyone thinks he's a good starting SS (plus he's a free agent), so they are ideal for Pena. While their SP has been good, I don't buy their rotation depth either so HB will also make sense once healthy. I'd love to get my hands on this guy. Wish we could find this kind of talent in the 20th round.

linkdude
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Good trade deadline conversation starters, but the gem is the injury specialist on to talk about CC's repaired/reconstructed (we don't know which) ankle tendon. The real test will be how much range he loses during next spring training, and the quick twitch in movement while balancing/pivoting both during his swing and fielding.
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