Silicon Valley Bank

21,995 Views | 175 Replies | Last: 7 mo ago by Heineken-Ashi
Stat Monitor Repairman
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Quote:

SVB received a ton of new deposits suddenly.
$7T of covid money and a windfall for big tech during covid.

The technocracy got more money than they know what to do with. FTX comes to mind.

They got so much money they are struggling with where to put it all. I think thats the reality of the situation.
YouBet
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Red Pear Realty said:

I saw an email with my own eyes from a bank headquartered in Dallas asking my contact to withdraw money from the big banks like Chase, BOA, etc and deposit with them. This email was sent Friday afternoon. The person who this email was sent to said they would be withdrawing their money from this bank Monday.
I'm confused. Your contact is withdrawing money from the big banks and moving it to the Dallas bank on Monday?
Dan Scott
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Red Pear Realty said:

It is not TCB. I was hesitant to post what I did because I didn't want to spread panic unnecessarily, but I think it's important for people to understand that this might not be limited to just NorCal.


This is why the deposits need to be protected to reduce panic, otherwise there will be nothing but super banks.
YouBet
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Dan Scott said:

Red Pear Realty said:

It is not TCB. I was hesitant to post what I did because I didn't want to spread panic unnecessarily, but I think it's important for people to understand that this might not be limited to just NorCal.


This is why the deposits need to be protected to reduce panic, otherwise there will be nothing but super banks.
The challenge is that there has to be a line in the sand somewhere. Stuff needs to fail sometimes so people don't get stupid and risk everything knowing the government is just going to step in and save you.
bmks270
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Red Pear Realty said:

I saw an email with my own eyes from a bank headquartered in Dallas asking my contact to withdraw money from the big banks like Chase, BOA, etc and deposit with them. This email was sent Friday afternoon. The person who this email was sent to said they would be withdrawing their money from this bank Monday.


I'm a little confused by the way you've described this.

So Bank A said "take your money out of the big banks and deposit it with us please."

And now this person you mention is withdrawing their money from Bank A?
Stat Monitor Repairman
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Dan Scott said:

Red Pear Realty said:

It is not TCB. I was hesitant to post what I did because I didn't want to spread panic unnecessarily, but I think it's important for people to understand that this might not be limited to just NorCal.
This is why the deposits need to be protected to reduce panic, otherwise there will be nothing but super banks.
Easier to transition to CBDC with a small group of super banks.
SF2004
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The amount of gross misunderstanding about the banking system on this forum is freighting.
SF2004
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Dan Scott said:

Red Pear Realty said:

It is not TCB. I was hesitant to post what I did because I didn't want to spread panic unnecessarily, but I think it's important for people to understand that this might not be limited to just NorCal.


This is why the deposits need to be protected to reduce panic, otherwise there will be nothing but super banks.


No, if you have more that $250,000 then you need to be responsible for the risk you are taking placing money on deposit with a bank. If a bank is paying exorbitant interest then there is a reason. Understand the balance sheet and risks of where your money is deposits.

The amount of posts on here about chasing yield and now forgiving these large depositors is concerning.
Red Pear Realty
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Sponsor
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Thats correct.
Sponsor Message: We Split Commissions. Full Service Agents in Austin, Bryan-College Station, Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio. Red Pear Realty
jwoodmd
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SF2004 said:

The amount of gross misunderstanding about the banking (fill in blank) system on this these forum(s) is freighting frightening.
Fify
FriendlyAg
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Dan Scott said:

Red Pear Realty said:

It is not TCB. I was hesitant to post what I did because I didn't want to spread panic unnecessarily, but I think it's important for people to understand that this might not be limited to just NorCal.


This is why the deposits need to be protected to reduce panic, otherwise there will be nothing but super banks.
There can't be that level of protection and our system to work. Our whole system is interconnected.
Troglodyte
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SF2004 said:

Dan Scott said:

Red Pear Realty said:

It is not TCB. I was hesitant to post what I did because I didn't want to spread panic unnecessarily, but I think it's important for people to understand that this might not be limited to just NorCal.


This is why the deposits need to be protected to reduce panic, otherwise there will be nothing but super banks.


No, if you have more that $250,000 then you need to be responsible for the risk you are taking placing money on deposit with a bank. If a bank is paying exorbitant interest then there is a reason. Understand the balance sheet and risks of where your money is deposits.

The amount of posts on here about chasing yield and now forgiving these large depositors is concerning.
I get the point, but $250,000 is too low. Even medium size companies have payrolls and payables where they transaction millions monthly.

Also, what is Roku supposed to do? Open 2,000 bank accounts with $250k each? Banks/FDIC need some special accounts for those scenarios.
Dan Scott
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A free market solution would be an insurance policy on bank deposits. That would be costly. Big money goes overseas or only with big banks.

Public companies will need to report on their 10K all their banking counterparties for shareholders to assess their risk.
SF2004
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Troglodyte said:

SF2004 said:

Dan Scott said:

Red Pear Realty said:

It is not TCB. I was hesitant to post what I did because I didn't want to spread panic unnecessarily, but I think it's important for people to understand that this might not be limited to just NorCal.


This is why the deposits need to be protected to reduce panic, otherwise there will be nothing but super banks.


No, if you have more that $250,000 then you need to be responsible for the risk you are taking placing money on deposit with a bank. If a bank is paying exorbitant interest then there is a reason. Understand the balance sheet and risks of where your money is deposits.

The amount of posts on here about chasing yield and now forgiving these large depositors is concerning.
I get the point, but $250,000 is too low. Even medium size companies have payrolls and payables where they transaction millions monthly.

Also, what is Roku supposed to do? Open 2,000 bank accounts with $250k each? Banks/FDIC need some special accounts for those scenarios.


No, put your money with a good bank that runs a solid financial institution. No a bank that invest in venture capital or pays dumb interest to capitalize their bad decisions.

For a good all around bank you will receive fair interest, probably pay some fees, and the rate on your loan will be priced accordingly.
YouBet
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SF2004 said:

The amount of gross misunderstanding about the banking system on this forum is freighting.
Whatever dude. What do you think ATMs stand for?

They stand for Any Time Money.

I get to get money and however much I want anytime I want!!!
Troglodyte
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Dan Scott said:

The more I read about SVB, the more I think it's not really their fault, except not having more diversified client base, but it's a regional bank so that's not easy. Texas oil banks had same issue back in 2016. They are a victim of circumstances.

SVB received a ton of new deposits suddenly. They had to invest it somewhere, that's what a bank does. Interest rates were super low so they had to go further out the yield curve. Fast forward to recent months, Capital is tight and deposits aren't growing and securities are underwater. It doesn't appear they made several bad loans and that money is now gone.

Do I have this right? Solution seems simple to me, let the bank fail. Tough break they got rich super fast and they die super fast. Live by the sword die by sword type of thing. But get those depositors their money back. A collapse of Silicon Valley and California economy will be more costly.
I think you have it right. I haven't heard how far they went out of the yield curve. I would agree with you if they were 1-2 years out. If they are buying 10 year treasuries, that pretty severe mismanagement. All banks have asset/liability committees that should be making sure the bank is matching its matching assets and liabilities.
Troglodyte
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SF2004 said:

Troglodyte said:

SF2004 said:

Dan Scott said:

Red Pear Realty said:

It is not TCB. I was hesitant to post what I did because I didn't want to spread panic unnecessarily, but I think it's important for people to understand that this might not be limited to just NorCal.


This is why the deposits need to be protected to reduce panic, otherwise there will be nothing but super banks.


No, if you have more that $250,000 then you need to be responsible for the risk you are taking placing money on deposit with a bank. If a bank is paying exorbitant interest then there is a reason. Understand the balance sheet and risks of where your money is deposits.

The amount of posts on here about chasing yield and now forgiving these large depositors is concerning.
I get the point, but $250,000 is too low. Even medium size companies have payrolls and payables where they transaction millions monthly.

Also, what is Roku supposed to do? Open 2,000 bank accounts with $250k each? Banks/FDIC need some special accounts for those scenarios.


No, put your money with a good bank that runs a solid financial institution. No a bank that invest in venture capital or pays dumb interest to capitalize their bad decisions.

For a good all around bank you will receive fair interest, probably pay some fees, and the rate on your loan will be priced accordingly.
I get the point here too, but now your medium sized construction company needs to have a bank analyst on staff to review bank solvency?? I get that Roku should have that person in their treasury department.

Banks report to regulators quarterly. We definitely need those reports public. However, that will also cause more runs on banks.
SF2004
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YouBet said:

SF2004 said:

The amount of gross misunderstanding about the banking system on this forum is freighting.
Whatever dude. What do you think ATMs stand for?

They stand for Any Time Money.

I get to get money and however much I want anytime I want!!!


Pays out 100% of the time in Vegas… only machine that does that.
YouBet
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SF2004 said:

YouBet said:

SF2004 said:

The amount of gross misunderstanding about the banking system on this forum is freighting.
Whatever dude. What do you think ATMs stand for?

They stand for Any Time Money.

I get to get money and however much I want anytime I want!!!


Pays out 100% of the time in Vegas… only machine that does that.

My former SIL actually thought ATMs stood for Any Time Money.

My ex-wife, in college, would write checks and not even think about it because she thought checks were money.

So pretty.
YouBet
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WSJ: regulators looking for buyers right now. Bids are due today.
Dan Scott
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There will need to be more bank transparency reporting. It'll make everything more expensive. More fees.

US is capitalist economy driven by small business. Small business shouldn't have to jump through hoops to make sure they can sleep at night knowing money is safe.
Tibbers
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What if Elon buys the bank and we see a similar "Twitter files" via bank statements of big time payments via CCP and Soros connections of some bad actors? That'd be pretty funny.
Outdoorag011
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Is the reserve requirement still 0% for banks right now?
Stat Monitor Repairman
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Companies could have privately insured against losses in excess of $250K.

But they didn't.

Somebody decided that T-Bills were an acceptable risk, and they were wrong.

This may well spill over into the insurance / reinsurance industry. We just don't know yet.
Stat Monitor Repairman
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Dan Scott said:

There will need to be more bank transparency reporting. It'll make everything more expensive. More fees.

US is capitalist economy driven by small business. Small business shouldn't have to jump through hoops to make sure they can sleep at night knowing money is safe.
This is also what they will argue when it comes to CBDC.

'the entire system is unsustainable'

'Don't worry, CBDC will promote DEI and make it better for everyone.'
SF2004
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Troglodyte said:

SF2004 said:

Troglodyte said:

SF2004 said:

Dan Scott said:

Red Pear Realty said:

It is not TCB. I was hesitant to post what I did because I didn't want to spread panic unnecessarily, but I think it's important for people to understand that this might not be limited to just NorCal.


This is why the deposits need to be protected to reduce panic, otherwise there will be nothing but super banks.


No, if you have more that $250,000 then you need to be responsible for the risk you are taking placing money on deposit with a bank. If a bank is paying exorbitant interest then there is a reason. Understand the balance sheet and risks of where your money is deposits.

The amount of posts on here about chasing yield and now forgiving these large depositors is concerning.
I get the point, but $250,000 is too low. Even medium size companies have payrolls and payables where they transaction millions monthly.

Also, what is Roku supposed to do? Open 2,000 bank accounts with $250k each? Banks/FDIC need some special accounts for those scenarios.


No, put your money with a good bank that runs a solid financial institution. No a bank that invest in venture capital or pays dumb interest to capitalize their bad decisions.

For a good all around bank you will receive fair interest, probably pay some fees, and the rate on your loan will be priced accordingly.
I get the point here too, but now your medium sized construction company needs to have a bank analyst on staff to review bank solvency?? I get that Roku should have that person in their treasury department.

Banks report to regulators quarterly. We definitely need those reports public. However, that will also cause more runs on banks.


You are not wrong. Bad banks capitalize on people's greed though. If that mid size business owner is looking for yield, low fees, etc the. He/she needs to understand what they are getting.

Your bank relationship is key to running a good business.
Dan Scott
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What do you guys think about making it harder the withdraw money. A bank run happens much faster now with internet banking. Should there be more friction beyond certain amount like having to go to actual branch.

SVB had deposit rates at 1.5% A 1 month is 4.7% Banks gonna have to increase deposit rates to keep deposits
JobSecurity
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For the clueless among us - in a rising interest rate environment why would a bank lock deposits into long term bonds (although I understand many of those may have been purchased pre-rate-hikes in the case of SVB)? I assume with the yield curve inverted banks are now mostly buying shorter term durations?
Comeby!
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Dan Scott said:

What do you guys think about making it harder the withdraw money. A bank run happens much faster now with internet banking. Should there be more friction beyond certain amount like having to go to actual branch.

SVB had deposit rates at 1.5% A 1 month is 4.7% Banks gonna have to increase deposit rates to keep deposits


Many banks do that to us with atm withdrawal limits. The stock market halts trading under certain circumstances. Not saying I agree with it but bank runs can be brutal. Saying, "be a better bank" is idealistic.
cgh1999
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If you're worried about deposits you could always request ICS accounts. Typical cost is 25-30 basis points.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Insured_Cash_Sweep?wprov=sfti1
jh0400
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Commercial treasury pricing is already death by a thousand cuts. Adding another 30 bps for insurance is extremely cost prohibitive for most companies.
mosdefn14
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Most brokerages will have this. Not sure why more don't use it. For $300 a year, I can have unlimited checking activity and somewhere in the neighborhood of $6mm FDIC coverage on a business account, with insured cash earning in the 2.5% range currently.
jh0400
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We're with a TBTF bank and keep around $50MM in cash on hand. Our monthly fees work out to around $10,000 per month. Adding another $10,000 for insurance doubles fees that are already ridiculously expensive IMO.
mosdefn14
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How much would it cost you to pay someone to manage a t bill ladder? That's what our church does.

I know you could pay a broker somewhere in the neighborhood of 50bps a year to do it, and you'd be making what 4% net today?
jh0400
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We've got multiples of that amount invested. The $50MM is two months of cash expenses that has to stay readily available.
 
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