SpaceX IPO for Retail Investors - Page 3

Texaguser17

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In reply to valvemonkey91 • 8:56p, 6/4/26

Thank you

JohnClark929

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In reply to Ducks4brkfast • 8:58p, 6/4/26

Ducks4brkfast said:
Hugely undecided on investing or not at this valuation, however I just can't imagine a scenario where there won't be better buying opportunities in the weeks+ after the IPO.

Agree but my wife wants to buy some immediately. With all the hype, cult of Musk, low float, and Nasdaq indexing; she thinks the price will turn stupid high. She may be right, we will buy with our dumb money (sell some crypto to buy SpaceX).

hph6203

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In reply to I bleed maroon • 9:00p, 6/4/26

AG

Tweet I posted above is about the cancellation of the S&P inclusion adjustments. SpaceX won't be added to the index until June 2027 at the earliest, and likely later than that as a consequence of the profitability requirements.

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JohnClark929

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In reply to I bleed maroon • 9:06p, 6/4/26

I bleed maroon said:
Kenneth_2003 said:
Keep in mind... The indexes have to buy in immediately, or nearly so, since the market cap puts them into the rare category for immediate indexing. Or that's my understand...

Also and equally important, what is the lock out period for insiders and those whose earlier private placements are converting to common? I think they could start a flood on the market when they're free to start realizing some (well earned) gains.

From what I read, both of these are no longer accurate. The S&P, at least, has a formula that considers "free float", which reduces the otherwise 2.4% SPCX allocation down to around 0.2-0.5%, so it won't be as rapid a scale-up as you (and I) initially thought.

Also, I read that the seasoning / waiting period that WAS going to be significantly accelerated is no longer going to be waived (but I may have read that here, so take this with a grain of salt).

My understanding is the S&P isn't happening anytime soon. But I believe inclusion in Nasdaq will be very fast with initial weight at capitalization x float percentage x 3. Once we get to December, when 55% is total float, the Nasdaq will weight it at just the capitalization.

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