Depending on your definition for a lock you could have made this statement a week ago. My definition is - you can lose every game and still 100% be in the tournament. That is the case here. This resume is strong enough to withstand losing all of the remaining 8 games.

6 quad 1A wins, 9 quad 1 wins. Those won't go away. LOCK.

I will still do a bubble watch as we approach March, but I'll primarily support adding in tidbits into Bobinators seed watch posts.

My thoughts on how many wins are required for each seed line (+/- 1 seed line based on everyone else)

8-0 = #1 overall seed
7-1 = 1 seed
6-2 = 2 seed
5-3 = 3 seed
4-4 = 4 seed
3-5 = 5 seed
2-6 = 7 seed
1-7 = 9 seed
0-8 = 10 seed

With Auburn and Duke both losing today I am not sure anyone is truly "uncatchable", some we will just need more help than others

Quick ranking of top 5 seed lines as of Saturday evening:

1 seeds
1- Auburn (yes still- but the margin shrinks)
2- Alabama
3- Duke
4- Florida

2 seeds
5- Tennessee
6- Texas A&M - the top 5 profiles are still clearly better than A&M imo. I give the edge to A&M over Purdue based on H2H and also over Houston based on their lack of quality wins (sub .500 vs quad 1).
7- Purdue
8-Houston

3 seeds
9- St. John's
10- Iowa State
11- Arizona
12- Wisconsin

4 Seeds
13- Texas Tech
14- Kansas
15- Michigan State
16- Marquette

5 Seeds
17- Kentucky
18- Ole Miss
19 - Michigan
20- UCLA

Michael Cera Palin said:

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What are people referring to as Quad 1A wins vs just a standard Quad 1? This is the first year I've seen people mention it and a quick internet search didn't pull anything up

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Absolutely unprecedented stuff could be coming in a month.

In the updated NET WAB, the top five teams are all SEC teams.

1 - Auburn
2 - Alabama
3 - Tennessee
4 - Florida
5 - A&M

If Duke or Houston stumble a couple more times could we really see an SEC sweep of the 1 seeds?

There's some bracketing principles that should keep them from loading them up too much. They also can't just load most of the SEC into two brackets or they'll end up loading the others with Big Ten and Big 12 teams.

We're talking about the committees problems with the high end SEC teams but the harder challenge is actually going to be slotting all the Big Ten and Big 12 teams into the middle seeds.

TjgtAg08 said:

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AggiesinNC said:

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I don't think a 1 seed is in play without Alabama or Auburn stumbling bad.

Finish at least 5-3 and get a 2/3 seed (really not much of a difference). Five games most likely to win: Georgia, Arkansas, Vanderbilt, @LSU, and then ???? (@Miss State or Tennessee).

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We would need some help, but it's not crazy. Bama and Auburn play each other twice, so if one team sweeps the other, that's 3 conference losses for that team right there. And we play Auburn at home, so we have a chance to gain a tiny bit of ground on them by beating them.

Realistically though, it's probably UT/UF/A&M competing for a 1 seed, as I do agree that Auburn and Bama probably lock 2 of them up unless something crazy happens.

We play both UT and UF to finish, so you could argue we "control our own destiny" as it pertains to those two teams - beat them both and we would be in/near the drivers seat for a 1-seed.

Not likely, just considering how good they both are and who else we have to play, but I would say we have a large bit of control over whether we get a 1-seed or not. Not complete control, but a large portion of it.

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If we win out we will 100% be a 1 seed no matter what. And likely will be if we only lose 1 more, depending on how Duke, Houston, etc fare.

ColleyvilleAg06 said:

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TjgtAg08 said:

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AggiesinNC said:

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I don't think a 1 seed is in play without Alabama or Auburn stumbling bad.

Finish at least 5-3 and get a 2/3 seed (really not much of a difference). Five games most likely to win: Georgia, Arkansas, Vanderbilt, @LSU, and then ???? (@Miss State or Tennessee).

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We would need some help, but it's not crazy. Bama and Auburn play each other twice, so if one team sweeps the other, that's 3 conference losses for that team right there. And we play Auburn at home, so we have a chance to gain a tiny bit of ground on them by beating them.

Realistically though, it's probably UT/UF/A&M competing for a 1 seed, as I do agree that Auburn and Bama probably lock 2 of them up unless something crazy happens.

We play both UT and UF to finish, so you could argue we "control our own destiny" as it pertains to those two teams - beat them both and we would be in/near the drivers seat for a 1-seed.

Not likely, just considering how good they both are and who else we have to play, but I would say we have a large bit of control over whether we get a 1-seed or not. Not complete control, but a large portion of it.

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If we win out we will 100% be a 1 seed no matter what. And likely will be if we only lose 1 more, depending on how Duke, Houston, etc fare.

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Yeah, it's not crazy to think we can play our way into a 1 seed.

Heck, had we beaten UCF and tu on the road we'd probably already be a 1 seed

The best seeding A&M basketball has ever received is a 3 seed.