Method Man said:
What kind of odds you giving on that?
GrayMatter said:
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that sure looks like a DAWG response to me
LukeDuke said:
With 3 games left against #3 Florida, #1 Auburn and LSU...
I predict we win 1 of the next 2 and beat LSU in the last game going 2-3 to close out the season!
Let's go AGS!!
The problem is that there are no really reliable predictive statistics for basketball. Having one lottery player and one other draftable player (preferably first round) is indicative of the typical NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament Champion, but some teams coach up less talented players and make them a unit that wins over more talented teams.TombstoneTex said:Method Man said:
What kind of odds you giving on that?
We have a 1/4, 1/3 and 2/3 chance to win our remaining games per the (poor) ESPN game predictor. That's gives us a crude version of expected value at 1.25 wins.
Let's say, for conversation sake, we give us the LSU game - the probability of stealing one of the first two games with those odds is… about 42%
Probability of winning the first game and losing the second: Probability of winning first game (1/4) multiplied by the probability of losing the second game (2/3) = (1/4) * (2/3) = 2/12.
Probability of losing the first game and winning the second: Probability of losing the first game (3/4) multiplied by the probability of winning the second game (1/3) = (3/4) * (1/3) = 3/12.
Combined probability of winning one game out of two:
Add the probabilities from both scenarios: (2/12) + (3/12) = 5/12
Rec said:
1/4 x 1/3 x 2/3 =0.0556 or 5.56% to win all 3
MarcAg said:
I think we beat Auburn. Yeah on paper it makes no sense, but I think they find a way. But I can easily see them losing at LSU after that.
LukeDuke said:
With 3 games left against #3 Florida, #1 Auburn and LSU...
I predict we win 1 of the next 2 and beat LSU in the last game going 2-3 to close out the season!
Let's go AGS!!
LukeDuke said:
With 3 games left against #3 Florida, #1 Auburn and LSU...
I predict we win 1 of the next 2 and beat LSU in the last game going 2-3 to close out the season!
Let's go AGS!!
Yet we will lose all 3TombstoneTex said:Method Man said:
What kind of odds you giving on that?
We have a 1/4, 1/3 and 2/3 chance to win our remaining games per the (poor) ESPN game predictor. That's gives us a crude version of expected value at 1.25 wins.
Let's say, for conversation sake, we give us the LSU game - the probability of stealing one of the first two games with those odds is… about 42%
Probability of winning the first game and losing the second: Probability of winning first game (1/4) multiplied by the probability of losing the second game (2/3) = (1/4) * (2/3) = 2/12.
Probability of losing the first game and winning the second: Probability of losing the first game (3/4) multiplied by the probability of winning the second game (1/3) = (3/4) * (1/3) = 3/12.
Combined probability of winning one game out of two:
Add the probabilities from both scenarios: (2/12) + (3/12) = 5/12
AssmydudeCapstone said:
Good chance to beat LSU, but the folks saying we will pull out a win against AU are straight up living in fantasyland.
It was obvious to anyone looking that we are only good at one thing and we are really good at it - rebounding. We literally bulled over the teams in the lower half of the conference and won games on second/third chance tries. We're at/near the bottom of the league in ft%, 3pt%, fg%. That seems an impossible hole to climb out of.
The upper half of the league could somewhat negate our rebounding edge and that puts us in a bind from the jump.
I'm skeptical that there will be some magical shift that will allow us to go on run in MM.
Off topic, with the majority of the team being seniors, what does next year look like roster-wise?
