Normal being, school starts again and people can start going back to work...what say you?

jopatura said:

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School doesn't go back this semester.

Large events are capped at 50 until the Fourth of July. Football starts in fall. Baseball (maybe) starts after the All-Star Break.

Businesses and restaurants can open up with reduced capacity to help manage social distancing after Easter.

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This is my guess as well.

I think by end of April people will be going back to work and school, although probably still with some heavy restrictions such as limited groups/gatherings and such. Impossible to know at the moment, but I think what we're all waiting for is to see the disease spread slow down to a point where we have the testing capacity to do contact tracing and isolation to track down all of the potential cases and isolate them to limit community spread.

Seems like a lot depends on how successful all the shelter at home and social isolation policies are at slowing infection rates. The more effective they are at slowing the disease, the longer it will take for us to get to a point of herd immunity. The further we are away from herd immunity, the higher the peak if the goal is to "flatten the curve" below what our medical system can handle.

Getting some proven treatments would help a lot but not sure you can count on it anytime soon on a wide scale basis.

we are assuming a lot of infrastructure that is not in place being in place within three-four weeks

testing, masks, temperature checks, adherence to self isolation

this is magical thinking

define " normal "

January 2022....

This virus is going to float around the globe for a couple years causing outbreaks and issues. We won't be locked down that entire time but things will be far from what we considered normal at the end of 2019.

Got to remember there is no natural immunity to this. It will take some time to discover cost effective viral treatments and/or a vaccine.

Masks will likely be a mandatory item for everyone in public for at least a year once we come out of this initial quarantine. There maybe temperature taking stations during large gatherings, in offices, in shopping centers, etc. The economy is going to go through all sorts of transition with layoffs/massive unemployment, business bankruptcies, and shifting of consumer demand.


We will adjust but I'm considering normal the public not having to wear masks while traveling/in public, the economy functioning normally, and people able to doing normal things without worrying about getting infected or infecting others.

GCRanger said:

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May - start to lift shelter in place protocols and allow restaurants, bars, retailers to re-open with restrictions
June - Continued lifting of bans but still no large public gatherings (concerts, fans at sporting events), but some sports start to come back
July - Almost back to normal as far as work goes but elderly and high risk still should quarantine. Some public gatherings allowed but not at full capacity
August - back to school
October - start to see flu and C19 coming back and everyone freaks out again just in time for election
November- public gatherings and protocols go back in place but not as bad as March-April. Impacts holiday shopping season and football will have no fans in stadiums. Schools don't close. Trump wins.

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agree with all of this except oct/nov

I think most of us go back to work May 4th. I'm hopeful we see the curve start to flatten next week after the initial two weeks. That will give people more pause to watch it and then send us back on the first Monday in May.

I think schools are interesting. If the e-learning is going ok, then sure finish out the semester and come back in August. If not, I could see them restarting school around May 15 and staying until end of June.

I think baseball opening day happens June 1 with fans back after the All Star break. NBA starts mid May with playoffs only. They may let fans in for the Finals.

There will be a new normal. People slowly start back to work mid-May or so. I can see sports starting up mid-May to June, but without fans in attendance.

I'm not convinced yet that we even have fans in attendance at football games this fall unless there is a treatment, or we have a huge spike between now and then.

Will be a year or more before we return to life as we knew it just a month ago.

My wishful thinking aggressive prediction is May 4 as well to start getting kids back in school. Obviously will be different based on cities and states. I wouldn't be shocked though if kids don't get back to school this year.

We'll know a lot more in 1-2 weeks. I just think the news has been more positive last couple days.

I'm confident most of the schools in my area are done for the school year. There has been some notifications going out to construction teams that it's likely they'll have full access to any buildings under construction until fall.

AggieFrog said:

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HotardAg07 said:

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TexasAggie008 said:

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It just isn't going to happen

Accept it and move on

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That's a very close minded attitude.

If our leaders said that this was the fastest way to get back to "normal" and if the masks were readily available, I bet there would be rapid adoption.

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I have yet to see where wearing a non-N95 mask prevents anyone from become infected. It would be more for morale and social signaling than public health.

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If it had mass adoption, like in Japan/Korea, then it would help to prevent asymptomatic people from spreading it.

User name checks out!

Gosh - I've always wanted to be able to post and say that on one of the forums...

HotardAg07 said:

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AggieFrog said:

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HotardAg07 said:

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TexasAggie008 said:

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It just isn't going to happen

Accept it and move on

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That's a very close minded attitude.

If our leaders said that this was the fastest way to get back to "normal" and if the masks were readily available, I bet there would be rapid adoption.

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I have yet to see where wearing a non-N95 mask prevents anyone from become infected. It would be more for morale and social signaling than public health.

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If it had mass adoption, like in Japan/Korea, then it would help to prevent asymptomatic people from spreading it.

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Marginally. High availability, rapid testing would be much more helpful.

Zero chance you are going to have mass gatherings allowed in church at what many people predict will be the peak of the virus here.