I could be wrong here, and please help me where I'm off.
The whole point of stay home and social distancing is to slow the spread so we don't overwhelm the health care system. Obviously NYC, Nola, LA, and some bigger cities are already teetering or over that threshold, but it seems like most hospitals are currently under full and this is working.
The other point of slowing the spread was to allow time for people to get infected, recover, and HOPEFULLY, develop immunity. I understand that's still up for debate.
How do we know when we've reached a point that the biggest wave of hospitalizations should have passed? How do we know when enough people should (hopefully) be immune that we can all get rolling again safely?
Seems that's what's at issue.