Ragoo said:
eric76 said:
MouthBQ98 said:
It will slow transmission rates which will protract the epidemic by months or even years but will keep hospitalizations manageable. The question is what are the opportunity costs of a protracted epidemic.
Also, it may reduce the viral load you get if someone else has it.
The woman I was exposed to ended up in the ICU for quite a while. I was wearing a mask at the time and had a very minimal case.
I don't know if wearing the mask helped minimize my case, but I'm sure happy that I didn't spend a month or so in the ICU like she did.
i think of you get the virus in your body the viral losing is strictly based on how your body responds to attack it versus how quickly it can replicate itself.
It's more complicated than that.
Only some fraction of the viral load will likely end up at a cell in which it can replicate. The higher the viral load, the more viruses will likely find cells in which to replicate. I don't know what the rate is for covid-19, but it can take several hours to a couple of days or so for a virus to replicate. It seems likely that a higher viral load will result in more viruses infecting cells and replicating before the body can ramp up its defenses.
I asked a question a couple of months ago about whether it makes much difference how a virus is brought into the body. I know that for some bacteria, it can make a big difference.
For example, with the yersinia pestis if you are bitten by an infected flea, you get bubonic plague with a mortality of around 50% or so while if you breathe it in you get pneumonic plague with a mortality rate of 90% of so. There is also septicemic plague with a mortality rate of nearly 100%. All from the same yersinia pestis. Thus, during the Black Plague, the first person in a household to get the plague had a better chance of surviving it than did the rest of the household.
Anthrax, too, can make a big difference with, I think, four different routes of infection. Hint: you'd much rather get it by contact with the skin than by breathing it in.
I once read that there are several routes of exposure to hantavirus with the most common by breathing in aerosolized mouse urine containing the virus, but I don't know if the mortality differs between them.
It's just speculation on my part, but for covid-19, if you deliver the virus directly to the cells where it can best infect and replicate, it seems reasonable that the infection will likely be much worse than if it is first delivered to cells that don't replicate it as well.