amercer said:
jokershady said:
amercer said:
So everyone hates the Mando movie, but it's going to turn a profit.
Guess that's better than a movie everyone hates losing 300 million dollars.
If Disney ever wants Star Wars to be successful again they need to stop listening to the fanboys and just try to make good new stories.
what math are you basing that on?
Made its production cost back in the first weekend. The rest of the run probably covers the marketing costs and then it goes to TV and streaming where it will make money for a long time. Not a home run by any stretch, but compared to the last few years of everything Disney has put out? The accountants are a lot happier with this one.
Nah dude….
First let's just pretend the reported budget of 165 million is accurate, even though I posted earlier a few pages ago that this likely doesn't include actor salaries based on how California reporting is required and how this was put out.
Now let's assume marketing, which is likely around 150 million…but we'll go SUPER conservative and say only 100 million…
That's 265 million dollars at a bare minimum this took to make (likely 300+ but I'm being nice to the numbers)….
Now…theaters have to make money….if you think the 160-ish global box office went all to Lucas film this weekend you're way off….
Domestically it's estimated theaters keep 48% and production company gets 52%. Internationally it's more opposite with international theaters getting a tad more and production company getting a tad less (ignoring China which keeps about 80%)….
So it's usually estimated 50/50….
That means for this sucker to break even BARE minimum ManGrok has to gross 530 million dollars with many others estimating it needs 600 million….
And after this weekend…there's no way it hits 530, let alone 600
Regarding tv and streaming…it's going on Disney + where it'll likely get a little spike for a week or two when it debuts on Disney + and then stay in the back where most of other Disney Star Wars stuff lies….
This sucks because if they hadn't screwed the pooch so bad after season 2 and kept Luke around and maybe this moving involving Grogu's training and Mando and them coming together again…and THAT being the next Star Wars film to hit theaters, it would've grossed a billion minimum internationally and maybe a but ton of money….
Now, Disney will be lucky if this thing passes 400 million globally….