CharleyKerfeld said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Nobody cares about The Conversation.

Spielberg wins that easily.

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Have you watched it?

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Doesn't matter, I'm saying nobody ever talks about that movie like they do Jurassic Park. Talking about people in my age group.

CharleyKerfeld said:

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TCTTS said:

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So damn good. One of my favorites.

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My dad used to talk about it so I finally checked it out in my 30s. A contender for stacked cast of all time

Gene Hackman
Harrison Ford
Robert Duvall
Teri Garr
John Cazale - one of his last few roles before dying of lung cancer
Cindy Williams
Mackenize Phillips

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And Frederic Forrest.

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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CharleyKerfeld said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Nobody cares about The Conversation.

Spielberg wins that easily.

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Have you watched it?

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Doesn't matter, I'm saying nobody ever talks about that movie like they do Jurassic Park. Talking about people in my age group.

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I'm just asking if you'd seen it. Based on what I know of your personality, you'd love it.

EXCLUSIVE: We’re hearing from box office sources that Disney/Pixar’s ‘Toy Story 5’ is in play for a franchise record tonight when it comes to previews, around $13M-$14M, maybe more.

Full details in our box office breakdown here: https://t.co/cdPOMr2NLS pic.twitter.com/HxjHGFc7AT

— Deadline (@DEADLINE) June 19, 2026

$AMC AMC Theatres Enjoys Its Busiest Weekend of 2026 in the United States as Toy Story 5 Debuts With the Biggest Opening Weekend Box Office of the Year #AMC #ToyStory5

•More Than 4.8 Million Moviegoers Attended AMC Theatres in the U.S. and ODEON Cinemas Internationally,… pic.twitter.com/EA0LjT0V83

— Wolf of My Street🏡 (@Ryan__Rigg) June 22, 2026

I saw that opening return number this morning for Toy story 5 and was amazed. Man, was I completely wrong about the public's interest in it. That's absurd for a 30 year old franchise that has been repeating the same basic theme for all 30 of those years. Sadly it certainly doesn't help get the message across to Hollywood that we want new ideas.

https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/movies/articles/disclosure-day-crashes-hard-box-024529837.html

Disclosure Day Crashes Hard at Box Office as Break-Even Point Looks Tough to Reach

...

"Breaking even remains an uphill battle for the sci-fi title. A reported $115 million production budget places the global break-even threshold between $287 million and $300 million. Universal also allocated $80 million toward marketing, further raising the financial bar for profitability."

Looks like I'm not the only one who found this to be a turd sammitch.

The ratings on supergirl are going to be interesting to compare to the box office results because that thing is on pace to start in 2nd place domestically to Toy Story likely having enough legs to stay in 1st for two consecutive weekends.

Also interesting is Moana when you compare the awareness and interest…

Disney First Studio Of 2026 To Cross $3B WW Thanks To ‘Toy Story 5’, ‘Devil Wears Prada 2’, More – Box Officehttps://t.co/GDDVh8715N pic.twitter.com/kicVE6c7dJ

— Deadline (@DEADLINE) June 25, 2026

Given the legs of the second weekend for TS5….it put to bed any guesses if this was going to cross a billion or not….definitely going to hit a billion worldwide give it about 3 more weeks max to do so….

TCTTS said:

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Michael now guaranteed to do a billion as well, while The Super Mario Galaxy Movie crossed a billion earlier this month.

Which will make for three billion-dollar-grossers in the first half of 2026.

Then, next month could MAYBE see three more...

- Minions and Monsters
- The Odyssey
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day

After that?

- Avengers: Doomsday if Marvel actually delivers?
- Dune: Part Three if it's really, really good?

The record for most billion-dollar-grossers in a single year is SEVEN in 2019. We're going to be cutting it close, but the fact that the record is even in play this year is pretty incredible.

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Michael's got 23 million to go but man is it just inching along now….i gotta expect they fight to keep it in theaters to hit that billion mark but it's gonna be close.

I do truly expect TS 5 to hit a billion. Hell at the rate it's going it could hit it before Michael….

Brand New Day is assuredly hitting a billion….would be a massive shock if it didn't (and a cause for major concerns with Marvel about Doomsday)….

Minions and Odyssey though….man….not too sure on those crossing that mark….

Dune 3 is another ??????. It'll do great don't get me wrong….but part 1 did 410m worldwide and part 2 did 750ish-m worldwide….its got the IMAX edge but not sure it hits a billion….

But I think Doomsday is screwed if they don't move the release date….honestly if they don't move it unless this thing is up there with Infinity War (which it could be) I expect Dune 3 to beat it in the box office worldwide….which would be really nuts

Nearly 100% on
Mario - DONE
TS5 - Gonna happen
Michael - little engine that could and likely could
Brand New Day - it dang well better

Cautiosly Optimistic on…
Dune 3

Think it'll be an uphill battle in order
The Odyssey
Doomsday
Minions (I just don't expect this one to move the needle)

Agreed on how the year has turned out there….its cause if films like this was anticipating the domestic box office coming close to if not exceeding 2023….

If Doomsday is even halfway good it'll hit a billion. Especially with Robert Downey Jr and Chris Evans back, it being the end of the Fox X-Men, etc. As long as they don't **** the bed it's going to be massive. Yes, it's opening few weekends will be hindered, of course, due to Dune: Part Three, but both will have legs for weeks if not months, with virtually no other competition until February.

The one-two punch of Marvel having a huge Hall H Comic-Con panel on July 25th (where they'll premiere the new Doomsday trailer and make other big announcements), followed but Spider-Man: Brand New Day less than week later, is going to get everyone amped on Marvel again, I'm predicting.

As for The Odyssey, it just depends on how good it is. Oppenheimer came within 24 million of a billion, and there's no reason The Odyssey can't do more if it resonates just the same.

Re: Minions and Monsters, yeah, I have no clue. It's going to be a hit regardless, it just depends on how big.

The last 5 minions/Despicable me movies all made $937M to $1.15B.

Not a guarantee it'll get to a billion, but that's a pretty good track record and the more people are in theaters seeing Super Mario and Toy Story and the like, the more they keep seeing ads.

Exactly. It's also the last big kids/family/animated movie for six weeks, until Paw Patrol: The Dino Movie in mid-August, so it'll have legs as well.

Part of my reasoning is more of an individual thought that's came over me this weekend….

I wonder if we're going to potentially see a lot bigger peaks and valleys with films now….

Streaming still exists. Hell it's gotten bigger each year. And movies aren't getting any cheaper…

I think about my personal family of 5…we've gone to more movies so far this year than we had planned…and now with half the year remaining we're only planning on 2: doomsday and Spider-Man because dang it's expensive…

And we pay for several streaming services too…

So my thought is, are we going to see certain films get a lot of the audience and other films get less because folks are being more picky about what they see? There's no way we'll know if anything like this is happening this year or next year….

We won't know until we get an actual true ceiling or "resistance line" on the yearly domestic box office…and then see if we're still getting a handful of films making big bucks while others that might've done ok -> good doing considerably less….

I bring all this up because we've had 2 MASSIVE kids films already this year….are families going to show up the same for another kids movie sequel later on in the year? I don't know….they still could….

But it'll be interesting to see….currently it's projecting around 75 - 85 million over the 3 day and 95 - 115 million over the 5 day holiday….a bit less than the prior films.