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Hollywood Posts Worst Summer Since 1981

16,004 Views | 270 Replies | Last: 2 mo ago by Faustus
Squadron7
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I blame:
1) Super Hero Fatigue
2) Unnecessary and Unimaginative Sequel/Re-boot Fatigue
3) Social Media Driven Celebrity Fatigue in General
4) Prices
5) Better Home Theatre

Woke content and deliberate to the point of insane race swapping is in there somewhere. Rank where you see fit.

Brian Earl Spilner
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https://texags.com/forums/13/topics/3551309

Called it.
Wicked Good Ag
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I think streaming will have to be a part of whatever system is used going forward

Less and less people can sit for 3 hours anymore without being on phone because of the way society is with social media

So people tend to watch a month later via streaming and talking to friends take two plus days sometimes to watch a movie for them
Quad Dog
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Casual spending on entertainment is down across the board. Rising prices, stagnant wages, tariff uncertainty, etc.
Madmarttigan
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While I never care to go to the theater anymore I think there are a number of factors going on to influence this besides disinterest. Spending is slowing down for a lot of people right now and movie tickets just don't make sense compared to paying for a month of a streaming service.
YouBet
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Weak summer for movies didn't help.
The Collective
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It is never coming back, and I'm a bit sad about it from a nostalgia perspective.
AggieOO
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

https://texags.com/forums/13/topics/3551309

Called it.

but you didn't blame it on woke liberals. That's the texags way.
FL_Ag1998
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

https://texags.com/forums/13/topics/3551309

Called it.


Doesn't matter because henceforth no E-board predictions are valid unless you bet TCTTS $100 on the outcome then relentlessly hound him for months on the outcome.
TCTTS
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And yet, as was pointed out when this same stat was posted in the box office thread a couple days ago, 2025 box office overall is still up year-to-date 4% over 2024, with that percentage only set to increase by the end of the year (via the release of Avatar: Fire and Ash, Zootopia 2, Wicked: For Good, and one of the most packed awards seasons we've had in years).

2026 will be even higher than 2025, very likely significantly so, considering next year's incredible slate.

And 2027 has a legit shot at breaking the 2018 all-time box office record, considering that slate, which is one of the most bonkers we've ever seen in terms of blockbusters.

Yes, superhero/sequel/reboot fatigue is real. That, and movies will never be as popular again as they once were. But it was bad four months and nothing more. It happens. Movies in general are still more popular now than they've been all decade, and over the next two years that popularity/trend is only going to soar. In other words, this is a non-story, certainly not indicative of a larger trend.
Pichael Thompson
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TCTTS
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The numbers don't lie. While the projections going forward are obvious to anyone who can read.
Fenrir
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TCTTS said:

And yet, as was pointed out when this same stat was posted in the box office thread a couple days ago, 2025 box office overall is still up year-to-date 4% over 2024, with that percentage only set to increase by the end of the year (via the release of Avatar: Fire and Ash, Zootopia 2, Wicked: For Good, and one of the most packed awards seasons we've had in years).

2026 will be even higher than 2025, very likely significantly so, considering next year's incredible slate.

And 2027 has a legit shot at breaking the 2018 all-time box office record, considering that slate, which is one of the most bonkers we've ever seen in terms of blockbusters.

Yes, superhero/sequel/reboot fatigue is real. That, and movies will never be as popular again as they once were. But it was bad four months and nothing more. It happens. Movies in general are still more popular now than they've been all decade, and over the next two years that popularity/trend is only going to soar. In other words, this is a non-story, certainly not indicative of a larger trend.

Tickets sold are half of the peak from the early 2000s and there was a noticeable dropoff from covid that simply has not fully recovered yet. 2019 had 1.2 billion tickets sold and the highest since covid is 2/3 of that.

I don't think relying on box office revenue as the sole arbiter of the health of the industry is particularly accurate given the overall inflation that we've seen accompanied with the fact that staying afloat in terms of revenue has required ticket prices to sharply increase which may very well not be a great thing long term.
Fenrir
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TCTTS said:

The numbers don't lie. While the projections going forward are obvious to anyone who can read.

lol.
Mucho austin
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It is 100% prices for me.

Family if 4 is about $50-60 minimum just for tickets. Then another $60+ for crappy food & snacks

We would much rather spend the $120-140 on a nice dinner.

The value for the price is just not there anymore. Plus I can get an icee and 2 hot dogs at my local shell for $5
TCTTS
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Fenrir said:

TCTTS said:

And yet, as was pointed out when this same stat was posted in the box office thread a couple days ago, 2025 box office overall is still up year-to-date 4% over 2024, with that percentage only set to increase by the end of the year (via the release of Avatar: Fire and Ash, Zootopia 2, Wicked: For Good, and one of the most packed awards seasons we've had in years).

2026 will be even higher than 2025, very likely significantly so, considering next year's incredible slate.

And 2027 has a legit shot at breaking the 2018 all-time box office record, considering that slate, which is one of the most bonkers we've ever seen in terms of blockbusters.

Yes, superhero/sequel/reboot fatigue is real. That, and movies will never be as popular again as they once were. But it was bad four months and nothing more. It happens. Movies in general are still more popular now than they've been all decade, and over the next two years that popularity/trend is only going to soar. In other words, this is a non-story, certainly not indicative of a larger trend.

Tickets sold are half of the peak from the early 2000s and there was a noticeable dropoff from covid that simply has not fully recovered yet. 2019 had 1.2 billion tickets sold and the highest since covid is 2/3 of that.

I don't think relying on box office revenue as the sole arbiter of the health of the industry is particularly accurate given the overall inflation that we've seen accompanied with the fact that staying afloat in terms of revenue has required ticket prices to sharply increase which may very well not be a great thing long term.


I straight up said movies will never be as popular again as they once were, no one is disputing the number of tickets sold, and of course Covid irrevocably changed the industry forever, negatively/drastically so. Thank you, Captain Obvious. I realize the point you're trying to make - that increased box office doesn't equal increased popularity, big picture. And that's fair. But I never said anything to the contrary. I merely pointed out that "bad summer" does not equal "bad year" or an increasingly downward trend going forward.
Quad Dog
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I read somewhere too that China lost interest in American movies so some of if those huge numbers from the 2010s were Chinese box office that isn't a part of the revenue stream anymore.
Fenrir
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TCTTS said:

Fenrir said:

TCTTS said:

And yet, as was pointed out when this same stat was posted in the box office thread a couple days ago, 2025 box office overall is still up year-to-date 4% over 2024, with that percentage only set to increase by the end of the year (via the release of Avatar: Fire and Ash, Zootopia 2, Wicked: For Good, and one of the most packed awards seasons we've had in years).

2026 will be even higher than 2025, very likely significantly so, considering next year's incredible slate.

And 2027 has a legit shot at breaking the 2018 all-time box office record, considering that slate, which is one of the most bonkers we've ever seen in terms of blockbusters.

Yes, superhero/sequel/reboot fatigue is real. That, and movies will never be as popular again as they once were. But it was bad four months and nothing more. It happens. Movies in general are still more popular now than they've been all decade, and over the next two years that popularity/trend is only going to soar. In other words, this is a non-story, certainly not indicative of a larger trend.

Tickets sold are half of the peak from the early 2000s and there was a noticeable dropoff from covid that simply has not fully recovered yet. 2019 had 1.2 billion tickets sold and the highest since covid is 2/3 of that.

I don't think relying on box office revenue as the sole arbiter of the health of the industry is particularly accurate given the overall inflation that we've seen accompanied with the fact that staying afloat in terms of revenue has required ticket prices to sharply increase which may very well not be a great thing long term.


I straight up said movies will never be as popular again as they once were, no one is disputing the number of tickets sold, and of course Covid irrevocably changed the industry forever, negatively/drastically so. Thank you, Captain Obvious. I realize the point you're trying to make - that increased box office doesn't equal increased popularity, big picture. And that's fair. But I never said anything to the contrary. I merely pointed out that "bad summer" does not equal "bad year" or an increasingly downward trend going forward.

It's impossible for you to argue without trying to resort to some weird ad hom isn't it?

My point is you ignore context in some attempt to defend a billion dollar industry from criticism and it seems weird. Unless things improve considerably in the final 4 months, we are potentially looking at a reality where ticket sales actually decrease two consecutive years YOY and your argument is that isn't a possible indication of a downward trend? You're arguing like what I said is highly obvious but you seem to be ignoring it because it's not convenient.
Mega Lops
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TCTTS said:

The numbers don't lie. While the projections going forward are obvious to anyone who can read.

Ag87H2O
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Mucho austin said:

It is 100% prices for me.

Family if 4 is about $50-60 minimum just for tickets. Then another $60+ for crappy food & snacks

We would much rather spend the $120-140 on a nice dinner.

The value for the price is just not there anymore. Plus I can get an icee and 2 hot dogs at my local shell for $5

This is a lot of it for me. Why pay a ridiculously high price when I can wait a couple of months and stream it in my nice clean, comfortable living room on my 85" with surround sound, when I'm already paying for the streaming service anyway? Watch it with family or invite some friends over and have a party.

Movie theaters just don't hold the allure they did even ten years ago. Seems like a rapidly dying shell of a business model from a bygone era.
YouBet
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I still prefer to see the big blockbuster AAA titles at the theater - Ex: F1 this year; Dune 2 last year

So that means we go to the theater 1-2 times per year and that's it. Otherwise, we stream.
TCTTS
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Fenrir said:

TCTTS said:

Fenrir said:

TCTTS said:

And yet, as was pointed out when this same stat was posted in the box office thread a couple days ago, 2025 box office overall is still up year-to-date 4% over 2024, with that percentage only set to increase by the end of the year (via the release of Avatar: Fire and Ash, Zootopia 2, Wicked: For Good, and one of the most packed awards seasons we've had in years).

2026 will be even higher than 2025, very likely significantly so, considering next year's incredible slate.

And 2027 has a legit shot at breaking the 2018 all-time box office record, considering that slate, which is one of the most bonkers we've ever seen in terms of blockbusters.

Yes, superhero/sequel/reboot fatigue is real. That, and movies will never be as popular again as they once were. But it was bad four months and nothing more. It happens. Movies in general are still more popular now than they've been all decade, and over the next two years that popularity/trend is only going to soar. In other words, this is a non-story, certainly not indicative of a larger trend.

Tickets sold are half of the peak from the early 2000s and there was a noticeable dropoff from covid that simply has not fully recovered yet. 2019 had 1.2 billion tickets sold and the highest since covid is 2/3 of that.

I don't think relying on box office revenue as the sole arbiter of the health of the industry is particularly accurate given the overall inflation that we've seen accompanied with the fact that staying afloat in terms of revenue has required ticket prices to sharply increase which may very well not be a great thing long term.


I straight up said movies will never be as popular again as they once were, no one is disputing the number of tickets sold, and of course Covid irrevocably changed the industry forever, negatively/drastically so. Thank you, Captain Obvious. I realize the point you're trying to make - that increased box office doesn't equal increased popularity, big picture. And that's fair. But I never said anything to the contrary. I merely pointed out that "bad summer" does not equal "bad year" or an increasingly downward trend going forward.

It's impossible for you to argue without trying to resort to some weird ad hom isn't it?

My point is you ignore context in some attempt to defend a billion dollar industry from criticism and it seems weird. Unless things improve considerably in the final 4 months, we are potentially looking at a reality where ticket sales actually decrease two consecutive years YOY and your argument is that isn't a possible indication of a downward trend? You're arguing like what I said is highly obvious but you seem to be ignoring it because it's not convenient.


A) You're "lol" was just as sarcastic/"insulting" as my "Captain Obvious."

B) I'm not ignoring anything - I've literally acknowledged your larger point twice now, before and after you responded to me - and no where did I "defend the industry from criticism." Hollywood *does* rely too much on bad superhero movies, reboots, and sequels. Ticket prices *are* too high. Celebrities *do* suck now more than ever. Etc, etc. These are all things I've echoed numerous times on this board.

C) AGAIN, I'm not arguing that everything is rainbows and puppy dogs. AGAIN, I was simply making the point that "bad summer" does not equal "bad year," seeing as box office this year will be higher than box office last year, and that box office will only continue to increase - significantly so - over the next two years. I never said that the number of tickets sold will also increase over that time.

D) As much of a denier-of-reality as you're accusing me of being, you're doing the same thing, just in the opposite direction. You're just as hellbent in trying to paint a picture of doom and gloom. When all I'm simply trying to say is it's not as bad as the OP headline indicates, we're not anywhere close to disaster territory, and that it's going to be okay - not as goods it used to be - but we're reaching a new equilibrium, people are still going to the movies in droves, and the next two years look incredibly promising.

That's it and that's all.

Chill.
FL_Ag1998
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I agree that it's premature to call movie theaters a dying industry. And I for one would take the quality of movies we've been treated to this year over the "quantity" of the box office revenue from pre-Covid years where a few Marvel movies per year would inflate the overall industry's revenue.

But I do recall stating during the early stages of the COVID shutdown that the movie theater industry would never fully recover, because too many people would get too used to streaming movies from home just months if not weeks after they were released in the theater. I know that's not some mind blowing revelation now, because it seems to be bearing out. But at the time, the majority of this board shouted me down and told me there is no way that would happen.
fig96
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I made an observation on another thread a while back that a huge percentage of the highest grossing animated films are pre-2019, and that's not at all surprising.

Covid/streaming services have made it really easy to wait a couple extra weeks for a film to drop onto D+ or wherever, given the choice of a short wait or paying 100 bucks plus for a family movie trip a whole lot of folks are just going to wait.

Add to that the straight to streaming films that are really good (K-Pop Demon Hunters literally went INTO theaters because it was so popular) and there no need for many to go see something in the theater.

I personally really enjoy the theater experience, but with little ones at home don't get to go as often as I'd like.
Fenrir
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TCTTS said:

Fenrir said:

TCTTS said:

Fenrir said:

TCTTS said:

And yet, as was pointed out when this same stat was posted in the box office thread a couple days ago, 2025 box office overall is still up year-to-date 4% over 2024, with that percentage only set to increase by the end of the year (via the release of Avatar: Fire and Ash, Zootopia 2, Wicked: For Good, and one of the most packed awards seasons we've had in years).

2026 will be even higher than 2025, very likely significantly so, considering next year's incredible slate.

And 2027 has a legit shot at breaking the 2018 all-time box office record, considering that slate, which is one of the most bonkers we've ever seen in terms of blockbusters.

Yes, superhero/sequel/reboot fatigue is real. That, and movies will never be as popular again as they once were. But it was bad four months and nothing more. It happens. Movies in general are still more popular now than they've been all decade, and over the next two years that popularity/trend is only going to soar. In other words, this is a non-story, certainly not indicative of a larger trend.

Tickets sold are half of the peak from the early 2000s and there was a noticeable dropoff from covid that simply has not fully recovered yet. 2019 had 1.2 billion tickets sold and the highest since covid is 2/3 of that.

I don't think relying on box office revenue as the sole arbiter of the health of the industry is particularly accurate given the overall inflation that we've seen accompanied with the fact that staying afloat in terms of revenue has required ticket prices to sharply increase which may very well not be a great thing long term.


I straight up said movies will never be as popular again as they once were, no one is disputing the number of tickets sold, and of course Covid irrevocably changed the industry forever, negatively/drastically so. Thank you, Captain Obvious. I realize the point you're trying to make - that increased box office doesn't equal increased popularity, big picture. And that's fair. But I never said anything to the contrary. I merely pointed out that "bad summer" does not equal "bad year" or an increasingly downward trend going forward.

It's impossible for you to argue without trying to resort to some weird ad hom isn't it?

My point is you ignore context in some attempt to defend a billion dollar industry from criticism and it seems weird. Unless things improve considerably in the final 4 months, we are potentially looking at a reality where ticket sales actually decrease two consecutive years YOY and your argument is that isn't a possible indication of a downward trend? You're arguing like what I said is highly obvious but you seem to be ignoring it because it's not convenient.


A) You're "lol" was just as sarcastic/"insulting" as my "Captain Obvious."

My lol was in response to you saying anybody who can read would see the obvious implication you're claiming. It's just you being you and constantly having to attack anyone who disagrees with you. Meanwhile there are projections out there for the year that have box office and tickets sold as down YOY.
https://www.the-numbers.com/market/

Quote:

C) AGAIN, I'm not arguing that everything is rainbows and puppy dogs. AGAIN, I was simply making the point that "bad summer" does not equal "bad year," seeing as box office this year will be higher than box office last year, and that box office will only continue to increase - significantly so - over the next two years. I never said that ticket sold will also increase over that time.

I'm not seeing anything for certain on box office numbers being higher than last year and tickets sold may very well be down as well. Even if revenue is up, that's just revenue and is not indicative of a healthy industry despite your protestations.

Quote:

D) As much of a denier-of-reality as you're accusing me of being, you're doing the same thing, just in the opposite direction. You're just as hellbent in trying to paint a picture of doom and gloom. When all I'm simply trying to say is it's not as bad as the OP headline indicates, we're not anywhere close to disaster territory, and that it's going to be okay - not as goods it used to be - but we're reaching a new equilibrium, people are still going to the movies in droves, and the next two years look incredibly promising.

I'm gonna need you to go ahead and link me to my post where I was dealing in doom and gloom and not just pointing out that you're focusing on revenue (which doesn't really tell you about the health of any corporation or industry in and of itself without adequate context) and ignoring the downward trend of actual consumer sales. And before you hysterically try to twist anything, I'm saying it's a possible downward trend and not the total collapse of an industry.

Quote:

That's it and that's all.

Chill.

You've claimed that people who don't agree with your assertion can't read and called me Captain Obvious, all because people disagreed with you.
TCTTS
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FL_Ag1998 said:

I agree that it's premature to call movie theaters a dying industry. And I for one would take the quality of movies we've been treated to this year over the "quantity" of the box office revenue from pre-Covid years where a few Marvel movies per year would inflate the overall industry's revenue.

But I do recall stating during the early stages of the COVID shutdown that the movie theater industry would never fully recover, because too many people would get too used to streaming movies from home just months if not weeks after they were released in the theater. I know that's not some mind blowing revelation now, because it seems to be bearing out. But at the time, the majority of this board shouted me down and told me there is no way that would happen.


To be fair, there was also a not-insignificant amount of posters on this board (who spend most of their time on another board) dancing on the grave of Hollywood during that time, gleefully claiming that the movie industry was dead for good, will never recover, etc. So, personally speaking, apologies if you ever got caught in the crossfire of me combating their nonsense.
Trajan88
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Way too much CGI these days.

Squadron7
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Trajan88 said:

Way too much CGI these days.




And no stakes plot armor for almost everyone.

Did anyone...anywhere...in any state of drunkenness or sobriety really think while walking out of Infinity Wars that anyone was gone for good?

TCTTS
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Right here, as factual as can be, year-to-date, 2025 box office is up over 2024 box office 3.9%...

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/ytd/

Then, when you look at the rest of last year (September to December) compared to the rest of this year, it's obvious that 2025 will continue to outpace 2024, increasingly so.

Granted, year-to-date, neither year compares to 2023 (because of Barbenheimer), but the rest of 2023 (September to December) pales in comparison to the rest of 2025, so that gap will narrow.

So, considering those trends, and given the undeniably insane slate over the next two years, in terms of box office reality/potential, I'm sorry but the industry is doing just fine. It *is* healthy and it's only going to get healthier. Studios are making money, while the number of movies bought/greenlit continues to increase as well. Now, because I apparently have to be crystal clear with you, OBVIOUSLY none of that means we're anywhere close to the glory days of last decade and prior. And yes, there are PLENTY of theatrical/movie-going issues that could be made way better. My only points are that, overall, it's not the doom and gloom you or the news in the OP are alluding to, and that audiences are still going to theaters in droves.

We're simply entering a new normal/equilibrium.
maroon barchetta
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Squadron7 said:

Trajan88 said:

Way too much CGI these days.




And no stakes plot armor for almost everyone.

Did anyone...anywhere...in any state of drunkenness or sobriety really think while walking out of Infinity Wars that anyone was gone for good?




Thanos launched multiple missiles into Avengers Mansion and then personally fought all of them in the field with the most powerful army on the universe behind him, and the only one that died was Tony, and he took one for all of creation to cause that.

At least one Weasley twin bought it fighting against Voldemort. Nobody died in the last battle in Endgame.
YouBet
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AG
Black Widow died.
Captain Winky
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I cannot wait for superhero movies to fade away and die.

Going to the movies has also become a completely unenjoyable experience. Prices are too damn high, and inconsiderate a-holes in the theater make me skip the majority of movies.
maroon barchetta
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YouBet said:

Black Widow died.


Not during the bombing or the battle. She sacrificed herself. Thanos or his army didn't kill her.

Sorry if that point wasn't clear.
oragator
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I made the point a few times here, it wasn't just super hero fatigue. It's that all the big production dollars went into those movies which were for a small subset of the viewing population, year after year. Super hero movies were basically vehicles for 20 and 30 something males. And after a while when they were more or less ignored on big budgets, everyone else realized they didn't need night out movies, they got by just fine without them. So streaming largely took all those potential movie goers and filled the gap. Romances basically are gone from the theaters, comedies generally are all but gone etc…the movie industry basically willingly shed its audience. They tried last year a bit and ithe response should have told them the potential market that was out there. But their answer was to go back to the exact same IP that put them here. Was incredibly short sighted when they were already facing multiple pressures.
Sapper Redux
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Quote:

Woke content and deliberate to the point of insane race swapping is in there somewhere. Rank where you see fit.


The only people *****ing about "woke" at this point are conservatives who have built their identity around being "anti-woke." It's pathetic.
 
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