Aggie97 said:

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Gaeilge said:

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New @hobbyschooluh poll on two GOP runoffs shows:#TXSen@KenPaxtonTX-48%@JohnCornyn-45%#TXAG@mayes_middleton-48%@chiproytx-39%https://t.co/D05tgg1Meq pic.twitter.com/KQoLiUI6CS

— Brad Johnson (@bradj_TX) May 5, 2026

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Did alot of polls before the primary show Paxton coming in first and suprisingly Cornyn was the one.

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Because they didn't expect Hunt to take so much in the Primary. Hunt voters overwhelmingly side with Paxton in the runoff.

Ellis Wyatt said:

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Not a chance I'll vote for "MAGA Mayes Middleton." Clownish commercials. Roy is a known commodity, and conservative.

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Same here.

The fools entire campaign is "vote for me, I'm MAGA" and "vote for me, I love Trump."

If he is the nominee, I'll leave the AG race blank in the general or vote for the Libertarian if there is one.

He also looks like he could be Talaico's twin.

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Hunt voters overwhelmingly side with Paxton in the runoff.

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Have you seen polling that supports this? Really hope its true!

https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/cornyn-is-looking-to-congressman-hunt-and-president-trump-for-support-against-paxton/

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Hunt came in third during the March 3 primary. A new poll by Quantus Insights showed nearly 58% of those who voted for Hunt are now backing Paxton.

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Thanks! Thats promising!

Gaeilge said:

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https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/cornyn-is-looking-to-congressman-hunt-and-president-trump-for-support-against-paxton/

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Hunt came in third during the March 3 primary. A new poll by Quantus Insights showed nearly 58% of those who voted for Hunt are now backing Paxton.

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Surprised it's that low. Seems like there are alot that are buying the lib narrative that "Paxton can't beat Talarico".

I seriously doubt Hunt will back Cornyn. I'm rather surprised he's not backed Paxton and I think as the race gets closer to the end, he will.

So much of this mirrors the DeSantis / Trump threads. I am sure there will be some never-Paxton voters just as the never-trumpers, but Cornyn (1) doesn't have near the level of of love for him as DeSantis, and (2) I am not buying Texas republicans will abstain from voting republican anywhere near the levels of a national election.

Rapier108 said:

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Ellis Wyatt said:

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Not a chance I'll vote for "MAGA Mayes Middleton." Clownish commercials. Roy is a known commodity, and conservative.

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Same here.

The fools entire campaign is "vote for me, I'm MAGA" and "vote for me, I love Trump."

If he is the nominee, I'll leave the AG race blank in the general or vote for the Libertarian if there is one.

He also looks like he could be Talaico's twin.

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Just don't bet on him to lose. Mayes has represented his district well as a state rep and then senator. He is well liked by those that know him and from a very large ranching family which has hundreds of years of history there. On both of his parents side of the family tree. The Middleton Ranch and Oil Company are both very successful. Same with the Edward's family. Good people, good to their employees, neighbors, and community.

The commercials are just a part of politics. What specifically do you not like about Mayes and his voting record in the Tx house and senate?

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What specifically do you not like about Mayes

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I'm pretty sure they already told you that in the comments you used on your post.

Quit running on coattails and talk about issues that actually affect your constituents. I learned more about him on your post than nearly all the mailers and commercials that he's spent millions on.

Maybe I'm old school but your views ought to get you votes.

Science Denier said:

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Gaeilge said:

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https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/cornyn-is-looking-to-congressman-hunt-and-president-trump-for-support-against-paxton/

Quote:

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Hunt came in third during the March 3 primary. A new poll by Quantus Insights showed nearly 58% of those who voted for Hunt are now backing Paxton.

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Surprised it's that low. Seems like there are alot that are buying the lib narrative that "Paxton can't beat Talarico".

I seriously doubt Hunt will back Cornyn. I'm rather surprised he's not backed Paxton and I think as the race gets closer to the end, he will.

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Hunt can't campaign on his character then back Paxton. Best for his future to stay out of it on both sides.

Hunt also raised very little money in his campaign. He's not as influential as people think.

As someone who's working on Texas campaigns at the moment, a lot of the feedback we are hearing is if Paxton wins the runoff, the most active local people in our districts plan to vote for Talarico over Paxton and encourage that over supporting Paxton.

Paxton winning the runoff would also result in another flood of Democrat money into campaigns in Texas (just like in 2018 when they lost the senate race but cleaned up down ballot - like judge state and local races).

No perfect candidates but if you're wanting what's best for the party, Cornyn is the choice.

I'll take my chances. They said the same thing about Beto and he got beat by 2.5pts by a Cruz (arguably one of the most unlikable people in Congress to everyone but Texans) that didn't campaign and Abbott four years later by 11pts.

Anyone that voted for Trump won't vote for a guy that thinks there are 8+ genders that should all get to play in girls sports and the guy that's taken everything Trump has asked him to to court.

Trump will put a full force endorsement behind Paxton if he wins the runoff.

My opinion, you're not chancing the senate seat. Your chancing down ballot in state and local elections. It's why Dan Patrick got up at the TPPF forum last month.

Going to be a sporty fall election cycle regardless who wins the runoff.


https://www.texastribune.org/2026/04/08/texas-house-dan-patrick-gop-majority-2026-midterms-cornyn-paxton/

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Your chancing down ballot in state and local elections.

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This post makes no sense. Sorry!

I'm openly and happily chancing it. Cornyn has ****ed us long enough.

I'm voting for Paxton this month. But if that RINO POS is on the ballot come November, I'll hold my nose and vote for the ****stick.

Paxton has openly stated that if he loses, he'll back Cornyn. Haven't seen Cornyn say that.

mattyd383 said:

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Science Denier said:

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Gaeilge said:

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https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/cornyn-is-looking-to-congressman-hunt-and-president-trump-for-support-against-paxton/

Quote:

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Hunt came in third during the March 3 primary. A new poll by Quantus Insights showed nearly 58% of those who voted for Hunt are now backing Paxton.

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Surprised it's that low. Seems like there are alot that are buying the lib narrative that "Paxton can't beat Talarico".

I seriously doubt Hunt will back Cornyn. I'm rather surprised he's not backed Paxton and I think as the race gets closer to the end, he will.

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Hunt can't campaign on his character then back Paxton. Best for his future to stay out of it on both sides.

Hunt also raised very little money in his campaign. He's not as influential as people think.

As someone who's working on Texas campaigns at the moment, a lot of the feedback we are hearing is if Paxton wins the runoff, the most active local people in our districts plan to vote for Talarico over Paxton and encourage that over supporting Paxton.

Paxton winning the runoff would also result in another flood of Democrat money into campaigns in Texas (just like in 2018 when they lost the senate race but cleaned up down ballot - like judge state and local races).

No perfect candidates but if you're wanting what's best for the party, Cornyn is the choice.

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I don't know what districts you work, but it doesn't matter. Talarico isn't winning unless libs outnumber conservatives. If libs support the lib Cornyn, let them vote for him.

Zero actual conservatives will vote for Talarico. Especially for the reason he divorced his wife. lol.

Science Denier said:

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mattyd383 said:

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Science Denier said:

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Gaeilge said:

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https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/cornyn-is-looking-to-congressman-hunt-and-president-trump-for-support-against-paxton/

Quote:

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Hunt came in third during the March 3 primary. A new poll by Quantus Insights showed nearly 58% of those who voted for Hunt are now backing Paxton.

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Surprised it's that low. Seems like there are alot that are buying the lib narrative that "Paxton can't beat Talarico".

I seriously doubt Hunt will back Cornyn. I'm rather surprised he's not backed Paxton and I think as the race gets closer to the end, he will.

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Hunt can't campaign on his character then back Paxton. Best for his future to stay out of it on both sides.

Hunt also raised very little money in his campaign. He's not as influential as people think.

As someone who's working on Texas campaigns at the moment, a lot of the feedback we are hearing is if Paxton wins the runoff, the most active local people in our districts plan to vote for Talarico over Paxton and encourage that over supporting Paxton.

Paxton winning the runoff would also result in another flood of Democrat money into campaigns in Texas (just like in 2018 when they lost the senate race but cleaned up down ballot - like judge state and local races).

No perfect candidates but if you're wanting what's best for the party, Cornyn is the choice.

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I don't know what districts you work, but it doesn't matter. Talarico isn't winning unless libs outnumber conservatives. If libs support the lib Cornyn, let them vote for him.

Zero actual conservatives will vote for Talarico. Especially for the reason he divorced his wife. lol.

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What are you talking about?

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As someone who's working on Texas campaigns at the moment, a lot of the feedback we are hearing is if Paxton wins the runoff, the most active local people in our districts plan to vote for Talarico over Paxton and encourage that over supporting Paxton.

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None of this makes any sense unless you're talking to closet democrats or highly emotional children who didn't get their way. They sure as hell aren't conservatives.

Clownish. Sounds like concerned moderate fantasy.

John Cornyn is a piece of ***** All he's done is earn my vote for someone else.

94chem said:

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Science Denier said:

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mattyd383 said:

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Science Denier said:

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Gaeilge said:

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https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/cornyn-is-looking-to-congressman-hunt-and-president-trump-for-support-against-paxton/

Quote:

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Hunt came in third during the March 3 primary. A new poll by Quantus Insights showed nearly 58% of those who voted for Hunt are now backing Paxton.

---

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Surprised it's that low. Seems like there are alot that are buying the lib narrative that "Paxton can't beat Talarico".

I seriously doubt Hunt will back Cornyn. I'm rather surprised he's not backed Paxton and I think as the race gets closer to the end, he will.

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Hunt can't campaign on his character then back Paxton. Best for his future to stay out of it on both sides.

Hunt also raised very little money in his campaign. He's not as influential as people think.

As someone who's working on Texas campaigns at the moment, a lot of the feedback we are hearing is if Paxton wins the runoff, the most active local people in our districts plan to vote for Talarico over Paxton and encourage that over supporting Paxton.

Paxton winning the runoff would also result in another flood of Democrat money into campaigns in Texas (just like in 2018 when they lost the senate race but cleaned up down ballot - like judge state and local races).

No perfect candidates but if you're wanting what's best for the party, Cornyn is the choice.

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I don't know what districts you work, but it doesn't matter. Talarico isn't winning unless libs outnumber conservatives. If libs support the lib Cornyn, let them vote for him.

Zero actual conservatives will vote for Talarico. Especially for the reason he divorced his wife. lol.

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What are you talking about?

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Talking about this narrative put out by libs that Paxton has some sort of baggage that folks won't vote for him.

The only baggage is he's divorced his wife.

That's not going to turn conservatives to vote for Cornyn.

Hope that helps.

Im Gipper said:

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Quote:

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Your chancing down ballot in state and local elections.

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This post makes no sense. Sorry!

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Take a look at 2018. Beto lost despite Cruz having a poor favorability rating (similar to both Cornyn and Paxton)

Democrats gained 2 seats in the U.S. House, 12 seats in the Texas house, and 2 in the Texas senate.

At the county and district court level, you saw more than 100 state wide judicial seats flip from republican to democrat. A ton of school board seats flipped too.

So yes, Beto lost and Cruz won and there was significant down ballot damage at the state and local level.

Democrats have clearly messaged they will surge money into the Texas race if it's Paxton - just like they did in 2018.

It's why Dan Patrick gave the TPPF speech I linked above. I think we can agree the last thing we need are more liberal judges and school board members.

Are you saying that they won't surge money into the TX race if it's Cornyn? Because that makes no sense either given how displeased ~50% of conservatives are with Cornyn. Cornyn is just as weak, if not weaker, against Talarico. They're already surging money into TX! Look how much that MadTV lookalike has already put on his books!

Your arguments are nonsensical. If Dems think the seat is weak, they'll dump money into Texas REGARDLESS of who the GOP runner is.

There's going to be money surged regardless but less if Cornyn is at the top of the ticket. To Democrats, he's is not as easy to attack as Paxton is.

There are 9 (of 38) house districts in Texas with a R+9 or less margin (with the new districts). If republicans choose not to show up because the party isn't unified, that's a lot of districts at risk.

I'm working on this stuff 6 and often 7 days a week. Just sharing insight and opinion. Half the time this stuff is "nonsensical" but … true. Look at the special election to backfill Hancock's state senate district 9 seat. A democrat won the state senate seat in an R+17… by 14 points. Want another nonsensical example of politics… after that beat down, republicans are running the same candidate for that senate seat in November.

Wild times.

Because Republicans are notorious for not showing up for special elections. That's been demonstrated in turnout for elections since I've been alive. 15% of registered voter turnout.

I'll bet $100 to charity of winner's choice that that D9 goes back to Republican after the November election. I've been offering up bets since January to several people on this board regarding this US Senate seat, so why not toss in a state seat.

No one has taken me up on the bet.

mattyd383 said:

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Science Denier said:

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Gaeilge said:

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https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/cornyn-is-looking-to-congressman-hunt-and-president-trump-for-support-against-paxton/

Quote:

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Hunt came in third during the March 3 primary. A new poll by Quantus Insights showed nearly 58% of those who voted for Hunt are now backing Paxton.

---

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Surprised it's that low. Seems like there are alot that are buying the lib narrative that "Paxton can't beat Talarico".

I seriously doubt Hunt will back Cornyn. I'm rather surprised he's not backed Paxton and I think as the race gets closer to the end, he will.

---

Hunt can't campaign on his character then back Paxton. Best for his future to stay out of it on both sides.

Hunt also raised very little money in his campaign. He's not as influential as people think.

As someone who's working on Texas campaigns at the moment, a lot of the feedback we are hearing is if Paxton wins the runoff, the most active local people in our districts plan to vote for Talarico over Paxton and encourage that over supporting Paxton.

Paxton winning the runoff would also result in another flood of Democrat money into campaigns in Texas (just like in 2018 when they lost the senate race but cleaned up down ballot - like judge state and local races).

No perfect candidates but if you're wanting what's best for the party, Cornyn is the choice.

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This is exactly why I am voting for Cornyn in the runoff after voting for Hunt in the primary because Paxton is too much of a risk against Talarico. That risk comes from not only a loss of independent voters but even some Cornyn supporters. We must keep this seat red, and Cornyn is the much better choice to do that.

If Paxton beats Cornyn, how will you vote in November? That's the differentiator here. Paxton and his supporters, like me, have said we'll hold our noses and vote for Cornyn in November. We're not hearing the same from Cornyn and his.

Iraq2xVeteran said:

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mattyd383 said:

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Science Denier said:

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Gaeilge said:

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https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/cornyn-is-looking-to-congressman-hunt-and-president-trump-for-support-against-paxton/

Quote:

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Hunt came in third during the March 3 primary. A new poll by Quantus Insights showed nearly 58% of those who voted for Hunt are now backing Paxton.

---

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Surprised it's that low. Seems like there are alot that are buying the lib narrative that "Paxton can't beat Talarico".

I seriously doubt Hunt will back Cornyn. I'm rather surprised he's not backed Paxton and I think as the race gets closer to the end, he will.

---

Hunt can't campaign on his character then back Paxton. Best for his future to stay out of it on both sides.

Hunt also raised very little money in his campaign. He's not as influential as people think.

As someone who's working on Texas campaigns at the moment, a lot of the feedback we are hearing is if Paxton wins the runoff, the most active local people in our districts plan to vote for Talarico over Paxton and encourage that over supporting Paxton.

Paxton winning the runoff would also result in another flood of Democrat money into campaigns in Texas (just like in 2018 when they lost the senate race but cleaned up down ballot - like judge state and local races).

No perfect candidates but if you're wanting what's best for the party, Cornyn is the choice.

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This is exactly why I am voting for Cornyn in the runoff after voting for Hunt in the primary because Paxton is too much of a risk against Talarico. That risk comes from not only a loss of independent voters but even some Cornyn supporters. We must keep this seat red, and Cornyn is the much better choice to do that.

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Ah yes, the party over policy trope that has enabled the RINO's to continue their march leading the GOP to the left. And fear that a challenger won't have as much success in the general as an incumbent RINO would. Incumbent advantage in the past doesn't apply this time when Cornyn has been called out for the RINO he is and Texans are paying attention more than in the past.

Hard pass on that status quo tactic that has been tried for the past several decades and failed every time.

No, he's not. Talarico is a radical degenerate leftist.

Gaeilge said:

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If Paxton beats Cornyn, how will you vote in November? That's the differentiator here. Paxton and his supporters, like me, have said we'll hold our noses and vote for Cornyn in November. We're not hearing the same from Cornyn and his.

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Paxton supporter here, not because he is a great candidate but because he's more conservative than Cornyn which is very low bar to beat AND Paxton has high likelihood of winning the general. I will not be voting for Cornyn in the general if the squishy RINO's vote for him in the runoff.

Those voters clearly have not learned their lesson that their vote is advocating for zero or one step right at best when in power and two steps left when out. And the pendulum is undefeated at a national scale, therefore we need to stop playing to not lose and start playing to win when there's a chance.

Gaeilge said:

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If Paxton beats Cornyn, how will you vote in November? That's the differentiator here. Paxton and his supporters, like me, have said we'll hold our noses and vote for Cornyn in November. We're not hearing the same from Cornyn and his.

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If Paxton beats Cornyn, I will vote for Paxton. I will never vote for a Democrat.

To be fair here…Username 100% checks out!

But in this instance, a Cornyn is still better than a Talarico by 100 miles. I won't be happy doing it, but I'll bubble in Cornyn's ******ed ass if it's his name on the ticket in November.

Gaeilge said:

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If Paxton beats Cornyn, how will you vote in November? That's the differentiator here. Paxton and his supporters, like me, have said we'll hold our noses and vote for Cornyn in November. We're not hearing the same from Cornyn and his.

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I will vote for whoever wins the primary.

I'm not a fan of Cornyn, but he'd be light years better than Talarico.

However, I worry that Paxton's baggage will make the race a nail-biter if he wins.

Ag with kids said:

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Gaeilge said:

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If Paxton beats Cornyn, how will you vote in November? That's the differentiator here. Paxton and his supporters, like me, have said we'll hold our noses and vote for Cornyn in November. We're not hearing the same from Cornyn and his.

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I will vote for whoever wins the primary.

I'm not a fan of Cornyn, but he'd be light years better than Talarico.

However, I worry that Paxton's baggage will make the race a nail-biter if he wins.

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I get the trepidations about Paxton because of his personal life. But neither Cornyn nor Paxton has gone on the offensive against Talarico yet because they're too busy beating the **** out of each other. If Paxton wins in a few weeks, there's really nothing else Talarico can say about him, because Cornyn and his ilk have already run the smear campaign and exposed all the 'skeletons'.

But once ads containing this type of stuff start running in the Bible Belt, I think the minds of many will be changed. The 'Never Paxton' people will have to make up their minds on which is the lesser of two evils.

🚨 Texas Democrat U.S. Senate candidate James Talarico just nuked his own campaign.

Interviewer: “Something you love that’s not family or friends?”
Talarico: “Trans children.”

Not God.
Not his faith.
Not Texas values.
Not the Constitution.
“Trans children.”
There is no such… pic.twitter.com/eVooLNbQ6J

— Reverend Jordan Wells (@WellsJorda89710) May 6, 2026

SICK!

Texas Democrat Senate nominee James Talarico — who's allegedly a devout Christian — is now talking about "God's sausage" and defends saying "God is nonbinary."

What is wrong with this sick freak? pic.twitter.com/1ZZC6kAdIL

— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) March 20, 2026

Just remember that the same people who are telling you Talarico will beat Paxton are the ones who told you all the allegations against Paxton would be proven at his impeachment trial.

They were lying then and they're lying now. They just think they're smarter than you are. Right Brad Buckley?

Iraq2xVeteran said:

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mattyd383 said:

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Science Denier said:

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Gaeilge said:

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https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/cornyn-is-looking-to-congressman-hunt-and-president-trump-for-support-against-paxton/

Quote:

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Hunt came in third during the March 3 primary. A new poll by Quantus Insights showed nearly 58% of those who voted for Hunt are now backing Paxton.

---

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Surprised it's that low. Seems like there are alot that are buying the lib narrative that "Paxton can't beat Talarico".

I seriously doubt Hunt will back Cornyn. I'm rather surprised he's not backed Paxton and I think as the race gets closer to the end, he will.

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Hunt can't campaign on his character then back Paxton. Best for his future to stay out of it on both sides.

Hunt also raised very little money in his campaign. He's not as influential as people think.

As someone who's working on Texas campaigns at the moment, a lot of the feedback we are hearing is if Paxton wins the runoff, the most active local people in our districts plan to vote for Talarico over Paxton and encourage that over supporting Paxton.

Paxton winning the runoff would also result in another flood of Democrat money into campaigns in Texas (just like in 2018 when they lost the senate race but cleaned up down ballot - like judge state and local races).

No perfect candidates but if you're wanting what's best for the party, Cornyn is the choice.

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This is exactly why I am voting for Cornyn in the runoff after voting for Hunt in the primary because Paxton is too much of a risk against Talarico. That risk comes from not only a loss of independent voters but even some Cornyn supporters. We must keep this seat red, and Cornyn is the much better choice to do that.

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Wrong. The Republican nominee will win in November. Time to get rid of RINO Cornyn and finally have two conservative Senators from Texas.