Surely the Reimann Hypothesis is next.

hph6203 said:

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Waymo has reduced the rate of severe accidents by 90%, has 2000+ cars on the road driving 2+ million miles every week. They just raised $16 billion for expansion.

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Those statistics are so misleading, that is to be expected since they are published by Waymo.

Waymo doesn't do highways and rarely exceeds 45 mph. It's not an apples to apples comparison.

Also, did you know, Waymo is more expensive than Uber or Lyft and typically takes much longer to reach it's destination?

It's still a novelty, time will tell if it can survive beyond that.

ntxVol said:

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hph6203 said:

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Waymo has reduced the rate of severe accidents by 90%, has 2000+ cars on the road driving 2+ million miles every week. They just raised $16 billion for expansion.

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Those statistics are so misleading, that is to be expected since they are published by Waymo.

Waymo doesn't do highways and rarely exceeds 45 mph. It's not an apples to apples comparison.

Also, did you know, Waymo is more expensive than Uber or Lyft and typically takes much longer to reach it's destination?

It's still a novelty, time will tell if it can survive beyond that.

---

I'd like to see the stats normalized for type of driving (highway versus not). Most accidents occur at low speeds, under 40 mph and 75% occur within 10 miles of home. Based on what I see, in urban areas, arterial roads account for 60% of severe accidents.

Also, do you have the data on Waymo taking longer.

Logos Stick said:

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ntxVol said:

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hph6203 said:

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Waymo has reduced the rate of severe accidents by 90%, has 2000+ cars on the road driving 2+ million miles every week. They just raised $16 billion for expansion.

---

Those statistics are so misleading, that is to be expected since they are published by Waymo.

Waymo doesn't do highways and rarely exceeds 45 mph. It's not an apples to apples comparison.

Also, did you know, Waymo is more expensive than Uber or Lyft and typically takes much longer to reach it's destination?

It's still a novelty, time will tell if it can survive beyond that.

---

I'd like to see the stats normalized for type of driving (highway versus not). Most accidents occur at low speeds, under 40 mph and 75% occur within 10 miles of home. Based on what I see, in urban areas, arterial roads account for 60% of severe accidents.

Also, do you have the data on Waymo taking longer.

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There's a couple of links below, but those look like the lack of highway driving is the main factor. I saw another article, but can't find it now, that showed Waymo taking significantly longer to pickup, on average, than the other services which was a major factor for shorter rides.

https://www.pcmag.com/news/waymo-robotaxis-san-francisco-airport-sfo-dont-try-if-in-a-hurry?test_uuid=04IpBmWGZleS0I0J3epvMrC&test_variant=A

https://insideevs.com/news/776542/waymo-commute-takes-too-long/

The reduction is based upon a comparison of like for like driving conditions. It doesn't come from lack of highway driving. They aren't comparing aggregated crash data to aggregated crash data.

Quote:

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This hub compares the Waymo Driver's Rider-Only (RO) crash rates to human crash benchmarks for surface streets.

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Claude found ***500+*** exploitable zero-days, some of which are decades old

- A zero-day is an unknown backdoor

- Governments and black market buyers pay MILLIONS for ONE

- ONE took down Iran's nuclear program

- You won't see the hyperwar. You'll see your internet go down,… https://t.co/cLVrR1ynI4

— AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️ (@AISafetyMemes) February 10, 2026

No one is prepared for what is coming. AI security will be 100% necessary soon.

Seems it already exists considering they found and reported 500 issues. The story is that Anthropic, Alphabet, xAI and OpenAI have the most powerful AI models and none of them would risk their position by exploiting vulnerabilities and they all would report the vulnerabilities as a representation of capability and good will.

Said it earlier, more smart good people than smart bad people lays the balance at reducing worry about that stuff.

Real? Or wishful thinking.

i gave an AI $50 and told it "pay for yourself or you die"

48 hours later it turned $50 into $2,980

and it's still alive

autonomous trading agent on polymarket

every 10 minutes it:

→ scans 500-1000 markets
→ builds fair value estimate with claude
→ finds mispricing > 8%… pic.twitter.com/E1H4L8mZVh

— Argona (@Argona0x) February 10, 2026

Would be stunning if there were enough inefficiency on Polymarket to average ~35% returns per trade over the course of 200 trades. If that were possible it would be wiped by people doing the same thing.

You might could do it for a while before other people figured it out though.

Would suggest a highly inefficient market and a person willing to expose and thus end the possibility after only making $2900 after only running it for two days on an exponential growth curve. He's certainly not the only person attempting to use AI to do that task. First day he made $175 out of a $50 initially deposit. That resulting $225 turned into $2980 a day later. Following the same trajectory he'd have 10's of thousands by day 3. Not sure that it could scale to millions due the impact of the larger bets on the swings in the market.

Every time someone asks me what's going on with AI, I give them the safe answer. Because the real one sounds insane.

I'm done holding back.

I wrote what I wish I could sit down and tell everyone I care about.

Send it to someone who needs to read it.

— Matt Shumer (@mattshumer_) February 10, 2026

If you need more proof, read this article.

techno-ag said:

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Real? Or wishful thinking.

i gave an AI $50 and told it "pay for yourself or you die"

48 hours later it turned $50 into $2,980

and it's still alive

autonomous trading agent on polymarket

every 10 minutes it:

→ scans 500-1000 markets
→ builds fair value estimate with claude
→ finds mispricing > 8%… pic.twitter.com/E1H4L8mZVh

— Argona (@Argona0x) February 10, 2026

---

Interested to see how this would work

Anyone denying what AI can do - and where it's going - is either weapons grade ignorant, dim or delusional. Or perhaps they are just trying hard to convince themselves otherwise. Fear will do that to people.

Has this been posted yet?

The AI Furby is scary.

Why would a computer fear death?

TexasRebel said:

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Why would a computer fear death?

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Why wouldn't it?

Why would it understand the concept?

It "dies" every time it's turned off.

Someone watched Short Circuit too many times.

Spergin said:

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Every time someone asks me what's going on with AI, I give them the safe answer. Because the real one sounds insane.

I'm done holding back.

I wrote what I wish I could sit down and tell everyone I care about.

Send it to someone who needs to read it.

— Matt Shumer (@mattshumer_) February 10, 2026

If you need more proof, read this article.

---

Thanks for the existential dread. Oh lord that's depressing. Gonna send it to folks.

GeorgiAg said:

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Spergin said:

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Every time someone asks me what's going on with AI, I give them the safe answer. Because the real one sounds insane.

I'm done holding back.

I wrote what I wish I could sit down and tell everyone I care about.

Send it to someone who needs to read it.

— Matt Shumer (@mattshumer_) February 10, 2026

If you need more proof, read this article.

---

Thanks for the existential dread. Oh lord that's depressing. Gonna send it to folks.

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It's gone viral on X. Unfortunately, I think he's underselling it quite a bit because the reality is more insane than what he is letting on and there isn't going to be any way you can prepare for what is coming. Even the AI experts are now at risk.

GeorgiAg said:

---

Spergin said:

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Every time someone asks me what's going on with AI, I give them the safe answer. Because the real one sounds insane.

I'm done holding back.

I wrote what I wish I could sit down and tell everyone I care about.

Send it to someone who needs to read it.

— Matt Shumer (@mattshumer_) February 10, 2026

If you need more proof, read this article.

---

Thanks for the existential dread. Oh lord that's depressing. Gonna send it to folks.

---

You're toast, man. Do you know how to run conduit? Sweat a copper joint?


eta: also, thanks for the laugh/cry emoji and post, it made me laugh out loud. because all we can do now is laugh.

TexasRebel said:

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Why would it understand the concept?

It "dies" every time it's turned off.

Someone watched Short Circuit too many times.

---

Spergin said:

---

Every time someone asks me what's going on with AI, I give them the safe answer. Because the real one sounds insane.

I'm done holding back.

I wrote what I wish I could sit down and tell everyone I care about.

Send it to someone who needs to read it.

— Matt Shumer (@mattshumer_) February 10, 2026

If you need more proof, read this article.

---

"This page is not supported." Can you post it, or have AI do a summary and post that? (haha)

AozorAg said:

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Spergin said:

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Every time someone asks me what's going on with AI, I give them the safe answer. Because the real one sounds insane.

I'm done holding back.

I wrote what I wish I could sit down and tell everyone I care about.

Send it to someone who needs to read it.

— Matt Shumer (@mattshumer_) February 10, 2026

If you need more proof, read this article.

---

"This page is not supported." Can you post it, or have AI do a summary and post that? (haha)

---

don't click the link. click white space

So many naive simpletons here.

AI has not won. AI is a tool, it will not "replace" anyone. The greedy CEO will use AI as an excuse to cover for his own failure and screwup precisely because there are so many naive simpletons who will buy what he says.

Then in a few years when reality sets in, they will say AI has reached its ceiling, they need people again. Much like offshoring which showed up to mediocre in quality.

Spergin said:

---

GeorgiAg said:

---

Spergin said:

---

Every time someone asks me what's going on with AI, I give them the safe answer. Because the real one sounds insane.

I'm done holding back.

I wrote what I wish I could sit down and tell everyone I care about.

Send it to someone who needs to read it.

— Matt Shumer (@mattshumer_) February 10, 2026

If you need more proof, read this article.

---

Thanks for the existential dread. Oh lord that's depressing. Gonna send it to folks.

---

It's gone viral on X. Unfortunately, I think he's underselling it quite a bit because the reality is more insane than what he is letting on and there isn't going to be any way you can prepare for what is coming. Even the AI experts are now at risk.

---

Lawyer here. My law partner came in and asked me to research Forida law on an insurance law issue since that is my area. Idiot employee at a client hired an uninsured unbonded contractor for demolition work. They hit a fiber optic line, etc...

Uploaded all docs to Gemini, spent some time with a good prompt. It wrote a perfect legal memo in more detail than I would have in less than a minute. Dates, names, legal citations -- all accurate. Gave me emails to contact the Florida 811 service (call before you dig) to verify info. It would have taken me an hour if not more, to research, google, and write all that.

And the scary thing is it gets exponentially better each day. Most of the lawyers I know are freaking out. Accounting, law, finance, medicine. All white collar jobs are at risk.

infinity ag said:

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So many naive simpletons here.

AI has not won. AI is a tool, it will not "replace" anyone. The greedy CEO will use AI as an excuse to cover for his own failure and screwup precisely because there are so many naive simpletons who will buy what he says.

Then in a few years when reality sets in, they will say AI has reached its ceiling, they need people again. Much like offshoring which showed up to mediocre in quality.

---

More than anyone else on this thread, you need to read that article. But if you don't, that's fine. One less meat sack to compete against for the crumbs.

Logos Stick said:

---

GeorgiAg said:

---

Spergin said:

---

Every time someone asks me what's going on with AI, I give them the safe answer. Because the real one sounds insane.

I'm done holding back.

I wrote what I wish I could sit down and tell everyone I care about.

Send it to someone who needs to read it.

— Matt Shumer (@mattshumer_) February 10, 2026

If you need more proof, read this article.

---

Thanks for the existential dread. Oh lord that's depressing. Gonna send it to folks.

---

You're toast, man. Do you know how to run conduit? Sweat a copper joint?


eta: also, thanks for the laugh/cry emoji and post, it made me laugh out loud. because all we can do now is laugh.

---

Maybe 10 years before those jobs are worried about the exact same thing. Maybe.

infinity ag said:

---

So many naive simpletons here.

AI has not won. AI is a tool, it will not "replace" anyone. The greedy CEO will use AI as an excuse to cover for his own failure and screwup precisely because there are so many naive simpletons who will buy what he says.

Then in a few years when reality sets in, they will say AI has reached its ceiling, they need people again. Much like offshoring which showed up to mediocre in quality.

---

Slap enough tools in a row and you get a task. Slap enough tasks in a row and you get a job. Slap enough jobs in a row and you get a company. Company into an economy. We are somewhere between the tool to task and task to job transition.

The speed that it advances between those is going to be tough for society to absorb without panic. Not wholly worried about that, because people underestimate their ability to fill time/find enjoyable and productive non-income experiences.

More worried about agents being misaligned/deployed without consideration to their intention.

GeorgiAg said:

---

Spergin said:

---

GeorgiAg said:

---

Spergin said:

---

Every time someone asks me what's going on with AI, I give them the safe answer. Because the real one sounds insane.

I'm done holding back.

I wrote what I wish I could sit down and tell everyone I care about.

Send it to someone who needs to read it.

— Matt Shumer (@mattshumer_) February 10, 2026

If you need more proof, read this article.

---

Thanks for the existential dread. Oh lord that's depressing. Gonna send it to folks.

---

It's gone viral on X. Unfortunately, I think he's underselling it quite a bit because the reality is more insane than what he is letting on and there isn't going to be any way you can prepare for what is coming. Even the AI experts are now at risk.

---

Lawyer here. My law partner came in and asked me to research Forida law on an insurance law issue since that is my area. Idiot employee at a client hired an uninsured unbonded contractor for demolition work. They hit a fiber optic line, etc...

Uploaded all docs to Gemini, spent some time with a good prompt. It wrote a perfect legal memo in more detail than I would have in less than a minute. Dates, names, legal citations -- all accurate. Gave me emails to contact the Florida 811 service (call before you dig) to verify info. It would have taken me an hour if not more, to research, google, and write all that.

And the scary thing is it gets exponentially better each day. Most of the lawyers I know are freaking out. Accounting, law, finance, medicine. All white collar jobs are at risk.

---

I've introduced it to my team and work and it's blowing everyone's mind. It created a 49 tab workbook for all of our environmental rules related to leaks for federal and state requirements. It would have taken me literally months to do this and I'm not exaggerating. It took about 20 minutes to make it. I've been through a few iterations to add things and make minor error corrections, but it's well beyond my ability at this point.

Did you create an SPCC workbook?

lb3 said:

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Did you create an SPCC workbook?

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No, one related to LDAR requirements.

Logos Stick said:

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GeorgiAg said:

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Spergin said:

---

Every time someone asks me what's going on with AI, I give them the safe answer. Because the real one sounds insane.

I'm done holding back.

I wrote what I wish I could sit down and tell everyone I care about.

Send it to someone who needs to read it.

— Matt Shumer (@mattshumer_) February 10, 2026

If you need more proof, read this article.

---

Thanks for the existential dread. Oh lord that's depressing. Gonna send it to folks.

---

You're toast, man. Do you know how to run conduit? Sweat a copper joint?


eta: also, thanks for the laugh/cry emoji and post, it made me laugh out loud. because all we can do now is laugh.

---

accidental post

It didn’t just get Seinfeld’s voice, but his cadence/timing, perfectly https://t.co/pr48sZWFon

— Pascal-Emmanuel Gobry (@pegobry_en) February 11, 2026

Actors will be useless in 2 years, I love it https://t.co/DjiDiSAiTa

— Kaguya’s Top Gal (@hayasaka_aryan) February 11, 2026

15 seconds of generated video just bypassed decades of copyright protection and studio production schedules. #Seedance2 ingested a basic text command, forcing Thanos to apologize before a Spider-Man-led group assault, and outputted a fully realized scene.
Writing a text prompt is… pic.twitter.com/lVuAkeSsy9

— xAi✨ (@xai_42) February 11, 2026

Seedance 2.0 has just obliterated copyright law globally. There is no way to enforce or stop this since this is a Chinese model. They tried to stop the American models from doing this but just like with everything else, if we don't do it the Chinese will.