Keyno said:
YouBet said:
Keyno said:
YouBet said:
Keyno said:
YouBet said:
Keyno said:
YouBet said:
Keyno said:
LMCane said:
Keyno said:
This is shaping up very similarly to last year's hit on Iran. We are in "negotiations". We have given an ultimatum (a much shorter time frame this time). We are deploying strike packages. Basically nobody is going to back down.
The concerning difference this time is that Trump seems to want to do "regime change" now. Whether that is due to the wishes of Netanyahu or Trump's stubbornness to not make a deal after ripping up the JCPOA , we may never know. What we do know is that a "regime change" would need boots on the ground (Iraq), or many years of air strikes and backing insurgents until the government collapses (Syria). Both of these options are the standard characteristics of the so called Forever War Trump used to oppose.
I would say we hit Iran in some way before summer.
LMAO as if the TWO options you presented are the only possible reasons Trump wants Regime Change.
not that Iran has been at war with the United States for 47 years
not that Iran took Americans hostage for 444 days
not that Iran blew up 243 Marines in Beirut in 1983
not that Iran supplied VBIEDs in Iraq which killed hundreds of American personnel
not that Iran has lied about the Missile Technology Control Regime and NPT and JCPOA
not that Iran threatens the USA literally every day with destruction
I could literally post another ten valid reasons.
but nope, according to this guy it's only because of 1. The Jews 2. The Stubborness of Trump
I was speaking strictly in terms of now vs last year.
Last year, our negotiations were ONLY about enrichment. The United States has a non proliferation policy. This year, its about enrichment, as well as ICBMs and proxies. And Trump has been suggesting it's a regime change thing. No matter what, Iran is not going to back down. We had a deal with Iran (JCPOA) but Trump tore it up in his first term.
Israel is the main driver of this war. America has no worry about Iranian ICBMs or proxies, but Israel does. So it will probably be war
I think you are conveniently ignoring the larger geopolitical landscape which has already been pointed out numerous times. I'm absolutely not a fan of us getting into wars, but you can't deny the opportunity in front of Trump to topple VZ, Cuba, and Iran who are all intimately connected through resource and intelligence sharing.
Yeah I get it. But Iran is not Iraq or Syria. And we are still in Iraq and Syria 25 years later. And OG 2016 Trump said Iraq was a mistake
Yes, but those wars had boots on the ground. This one will not.
If for some reason we start talking boots on the ground, then I'm square in your camp.
I said it in here earlier, a regime change war is going to take boots on the ground (Iraq) or years of airstrikes and funding insurgent terrorists (Syria). Are you saying you are cool with 10+ years of more Forever War? I didn't vote for that
Absolutely not cool with that.
I'm sure the underlying assumption here is that we are trying to "nudge" the current regime out of power with a combination of air strikes + sanctions + crippling their economy + reliance on their catastrophic water shortage + assets on the inside which are clearly there based on the previous Starlink smuggling campaign.
Will all of this work? Who knows. If it doesn't, then I say we pull stakes and leave. I'm in no way in favor of US troops on the ground. If above doesn't work, then I hope we at least degrade their nuke capabilities even further before leaving.
I know I am younger than you and I can remember the build up to the Iraq War. 2003. It sounded similarly to what you are saying now. And we are STILL in Iraq 25 years later. And Iran is much larger than Iraq with a stronger military. But yea maybe this time it will go like you say
But Operation Iraqi Freedom always had the intent to go in on the ground. We do not here...so far.
Massive difference. Again, if that changes, so does my opinion.
Iran is like 3 times larger than Iraq. With a more advanced military. Use your head. How do you think this is going to go
Doesn't mean squat. Israel already absolutely spanked the ever loving **** out of them without losing a single asset in one of the most lopsided military operations in history.
Use your head. How did we lose GWOT? It had nothing to do with tech. It was our dumbass congress wanting to nation build and then hamstringing our military in every which way possible by turning us into little more than police. Do you know what the tangible, clear, and feasible goal of that war was year after year after year post 2006? If you do, please let me know.
I am confident we are NOT going to be stuck nation building in Iran. That is what our war really was and why we got mired in it for so long. That is the difference you can't seem to understand.