Pichael Thompson said:
Maybe I'm in denial but I just keep thinking there is no way Trump will make this big a fool of himself with such a terrible deal
Is he sitting on a closed strait to drive the petro dollar? Yea for sure
But making a deal where Iran controls the strait & they keep nukes? It would undo everything great he's done up to this point
He's trying to thread the political needle at this point. He's going to claim victory from standpoint of destroying the vast majority of their military infrastructure and getting the strait reopened while punting the nuclear football into negotiations. What he had to give to do this will be hand waved.
From a domestic standpoint, markets will go up and oil will drop which most people here will celebrate. Overall, it will be a "win" and it helps get Republicans out of some hot water for mid-terms.
His ultimate get on the nuke front will be some agreed upon cap like this that Iran will start breaking by year 2:
Quote:
Trump had repeatedly promised to deliver an agreement which would impose stricter controls on Iran's nuclear program than the 2015 nuclear deal he pulled the U.S. out of in 2018. That included at least 15-year caps on the amount and purity of enriched uranium Tehran could produce.
I would bet a ton of money we aren't getting their existing uranium or dust or whatever it is we are calling it. Too costly from multiple angles.