Political fallout and arguments regarding the US-Israeli action against Iran 022824

453,547 Views | 4815 Replies | Last: 2 hrs ago by DeschutesAg
flown-the-coop
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AG
bobbranco said:

DeschutesAg said:

Im Gipper said:

This is a good sign.

Early reports about the deal framework appear to be false (thank goodness).

What early reports are you referring to?

The guy from Axios has been reporting the details for three weeks. His sources were Trump, Rubio, and their direct subordinates. He was given a copy of the MOA that was sent to Iran ten days before the China trip, and he has now been given verbally a detailed outline of what the current MOA draft contains.

What's MOA???

Also, if the 'reporter' had the the 'MOA' he would have published it.

Shhhh. Remember to leave logic and reasonableness at the door when it comes to reporting on the Trump Iran disaster.
bobbranco
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The boy that cried wolf mentality is tiresome.
flown-the-coop
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Hopefully this starts to put to bed the idea that Axios has Rubio as a "source" on Iran.



https://instagr.am/p/DYuZOj1ETz9
DeschutesAg
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flown-the-coop said:

Hopefully this starts to put to bed the idea that Axios has Rubio as a "source" on Iran.



https://instagr.am/p/DYuZOj1ETz9



Do you have a point? Nothing you posted contradicts Axios reporting. What you posted confirmed it.
flown-the-coop
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Sure.

Folks can come to their own conclusions.
BMX Bandit
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whytho987654
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This whole situation has been a master cluster
flown-the-coop
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The Hormuz Letter.

Though probably more reliable than Axios and Reuters and Bloomberg (Walter)…
AGHouston11
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Who knew Iran didn't need a Navy or Air Force to control the strait? Well apparently Trump and the people he was choosing to listen to. Even the people he was choosing to listen to likely knew this was the case they just didn't care as their goal was to get him to attack.

I think at this point it finally can be said this is no longer ahead of schedule.
Rockdoc
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Feel better?
Kansas Kid
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whytho987654 said:

This whole situation has been a master cluster

More like a MOAB
5Amp
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SOH crude oil is being replaced by American and Venezuela crude. The longer it stays closed, the richer our country becomes.

People whining in the USA about the SOH being closed need to look around and realize how blessed they are to be living in the western hemisphere, specifically the good ol USA.

nortex97
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There is no honor in any agreement with the IRGC.
YouBet
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Seems like an overextension that could endanger everything, but I'm not in the room.
Haleyscomet50
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So these other countries are punished because the US and our greatest friend attacked Iran. The Isreal conspiracies just keep writing new chapters. These other nations have done nothing yet to achieve peace they have to sign on to the Abraham Accords.

This does the opposite of helping the United States. These middle eastern countries are way more important to us then Isreal. When the war started Tucker said it would only benefit Isreal. Was he right? TheTrumpkins will tell us this only makes the middle east safer but it makes it more unsafe. It shows again we put Isreal above our oil producing friends. I only care about helping Americans I'll take cheap plentiful oil over another anything other then our safety every time.

If Epstein wasn't enough proof if this war wasn't enough proof surely the fact we are making middle eastern countries sign the Abraham Accords should be enough to convince everyone Trump is bought or being blackmailed by our greatest friend.
Who?mikejones!
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You were at least making a decent argument(in the traditional sense) all the way until the last paragraph.

Then the Jewish space lasers kicked in
YouBet
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This is a no go if I'm Israel:

Quote:

Saudi Arabia was close to joining the [Abraham] accords before the war in Gaza, but has since insisted Israel first commit to a path to a Palestinian state.
nortex97
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The saudi's have millions of acres of empty space they could give to create a 'palestinian state.' And all the money in the world to make it another 'islamic paradise.'
flown-the-coop
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Who?mikejones! said:

You were at least making a decent argument(in the traditional sense) all the way until the last paragraph.

Then the Jewish space lasers kicked in

I think it got off rails at the beginning. Evidently some think the Abraham Accords are an Arab surrender to the Zionists. I don't think they understand much about them. Here is a start for folks.

DeschutesAg
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Since Trump's war and his deal making are in temporary limbo while Trump waits for an answer from the Iran mullahs and IRGC, now is a good time for a quick status check on where things were and where things stand now.

March 6, 2026:

"There will be NO DEAL with Iran except UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER!" -- Trump

It feels like it was years ago when our President Trump declared that to the world. But it was just 11 weeks ago.

May 25, 2026:

There will be no deal? Lol.

Iran must unconditionally surrender? Lol.

Trump's "unconditional surrender" is no longer the red line. Trump's "no deal" is off the table.

For the past 45 days Trump and Rubio have been desperately trying to get Iran to agree to a deal.

Trump wants and needs a deal so badly, he may have even secretly agreed to rescind the USA's $11B arms sale and commitment to Taiwan in a trade to Xi in return for the PRC Communist leader's help in pressuring Iran to make a deal.

How do the American people feel about Trump's war? 65% of Americans oppose it.

Americans didn't want the war. They were never consulted about it. They know it was unnecessary.

Even worse, the American people's elected representatives in Congress were not consulted nor informed about the war.

Think about that. Our U.S. Congress was not informed nor consulted nor even allowed to weigh in on the Trump Administration's plan and decision to take our nation into a risky, costly, 100-percent unnecessary war.

A war that could last for years.

A war the Trump Administration knew would have enormous economic consequences here at home and in every nation on Earth.

Will there be political and electoral consequences in the November 2026 elections? Yes.

If Trump's dealmaking attempt fails and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed and Trump restarts the war, that will have political and economic consequences.

And if the deal Trump is pursuing doesn't get everything he and Rubio have forcefully declared to be their current red line, it means they have tactically won the military objectives yet strategically lost the war.

That too will have political and economic consequences.
nortex97
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I don't really agree with all of this but it's an informed/rational pro-Abraham Accords talking points take, fwiw.
Keyno
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nortex97 said:

I don't really agree with all of this but it's an informed/rational pro-Abraham Accords talking points take, fwiw.


Wait. So now we are doing all of this so that ALL of Israel's regional enemies/competitors are compelled to make peace with them? And this is America First somehow?
Ag with kids
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bobbranco said:

DeschutesAg said:

Im Gipper said:

This is a good sign.

Early reports about the deal framework appear to be false (thank goodness).

What early reports are you referring to?

The guy from Axios has been reporting the details for three weeks. His sources were Trump, Rubio, and their direct subordinates. He was given a copy of the MOA that was sent to Iran ten days before the China trip, and he has now been given verbally a detailed outline of what the current MOA draft contains.

What's MOA???

Also, if the 'reporter' had the the 'MOA' he would have published it.

Memorandum of Agreement...
You can turn off signatures, btw
Ag with kids
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DeschutesAg said:

flown-the-coop said:

Hopefully this starts to put to bed the idea that Axios has Rubio as a "source" on Iran.



https://instagr.am/p/DYuZOj1ETz9



Do you have a point? Nothing you posted contradicts Axios reporting. What you posted confirmed it.

You've been claiming that the deal Axios reported would STRENGTHEN Iran.

Rubio LITERALLY said that whatever deal is signed will NOT strengthen Iran.

That is the opposite of confirmation...
You can turn off signatures, btw
nortex97
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Not sure when peace in the middle east became anti-American to the left. Even notorious race communist despicable human Jimmy Carter seemed to favor the arabs making peace with Israel (until he was out of office). Clinton, Obama, and Potatus all claimed to champion this.

Economic and military cooperation/integration with the state of Israel might really appeal for not just a counter to Iran, but for pipelines/ports outside of the Arabian gulf for the ME3 states. It's a positive political outcome of the conflict (secondary but significant vs. the de-nuclearification of the mullahs).
flown-the-coop
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Ag with kids said:

DeschutesAg said:

flown-the-coop said:

Hopefully this starts to put to bed the idea that Axios has Rubio as a "source" on Iran.



https://instagr.am/p/DYuZOj1ETz9



Do you have a point? Nothing you posted contradicts Axios reporting. What you posted confirmed it.

You've been claiming that the deal Axios reported would STRENGTHEN Iran.

Rubio LITERALLY said that whatever deal is signed will NOT strengthen Iran.

That is the opposite of confirmation...

Evidently pointing out their continual falsehoods and misinformation is not welcomed.

In the lengthy post above they are wrong on every point. Starting with the first. Trump is posting THIS MORNING that is a great deal (unconditional surrender i.e. agreeing to all of Trump's terms) or no deal.
flown-the-coop
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nortex97 said:

Not sure when peace in the middle east became anti-American to the left. Even notorious race communist despicable human Jimmy Carter seemed to favor the arabs making peace with Israel (until he was out of office). Clinton, Obama, and Potatus all claimed to champion this.

Economic and military cooperation/integration with the state of Israel might really appeal for not just a counter to Iran, but for pipelines/ports outside of the Arabian gulf for the ME3 states. It's a positive political outcome of the conflict (secondary but significant vs. the de-nuclearification of the mullahs).

Its become a very tenuous line for folks to walk. They have to be careful in criticizing Israel to keep it just about the political angle. From a political angle, peace in the middle east is good for America, the Arab states, and the entire world. But since it includes the Jewish State of Israel, then we must only consider it from that angle in order to further the grand conspiracy.

Meanwhile... this from Trump just a bit ago.
Keyno
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[We have already warned you against trying to turn this thread or others into an anti-Israel agenda. You are free to start a thread of your own that is critical of Israel from a political perspective as long it complies with posting polices, but we are not going to let you hijack other threads with it -- Staff]
DeschutesAg
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An observation made today by the widely-followed and well-respected policy analyst and political commentator Ian Bremer:
Quote:

If it is concluded, the Trump-Iran deal is arguably the least worst outcome available to President Trump.

Except for: 1) agreeing to those terms months ago, or 2) not having gone to war in the first place, or 3) not having withdrawn from the Iranian nuclear deal.


Jmho, Bremer is correct. Trump has put himself -- and tens of millions of American voters who are struggling to pay their bills or operate a business or farm -- into a Kobiyashi Maru no-win situation because of his own decisions.

The least-bad path forward is a deal with Iran. If Trump can get that, gasoline and LNG / natural gas and diesel and fertilizer prices will decrease a little. The world and U.S. economy will have been damaged but might yet avoid a major recession.

Voters, business owners, and farmers know why gasoline, diesel, fertilizer, and grocery prices have increased substantially the past 16 months. It is because of Trump's war and Trump's tariffs.

The November election will be a referendum on Trump's war, tariffs, and his high gasoline, diesel, and grocery prices.
flown-the-coop
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Ian Bremer, Columbia professor, Times columnist with a consulting firm focused on Europe and Asia.

He's probably not the best on assessing Trump's intentions, progress and ME strategy.

The JCPOA and its 2nd version allowed Iran to pursue its nuclear ambitions. Trump' plan does not. HTH.
ProgN
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Haleyscomet50 said:

So these other countries are punished because the US and our greatest friend attacked Iran. The Isreal conspiracies just keep writing new chapters. These other nations have done nothing yet to achieve peace they have to sign on to the Abraham Accords.

This does the opposite of helping the United States. These middle eastern countries are way more important to us then Isreal. When the war started Tucker said it would only benefit Isreal. Was he right? TheTrumpkins will tell us this only makes the middle east safer but it makes it more unsafe. It shows again we put Isreal above our oil producing friends. I only care about helping Americans I'll take cheap plentiful oil over another anything other then our safety every time.

If Epstein wasn't enough proof if this war wasn't enough proof surely the fact we are making middle eastern countries sign the Abraham Accords should be enough to convince everyone Trump is bought or being blackmailed by our greatest friend.


You might want to loosen your keffiyeh while you're posting your anti-Semitic tripe so you can learn to spell Israel correctly. Misspelling the name of a country 4 times only helps others dismiss your ignorant opinions.
AGHouston11
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DeschutesAg said:

An observation made today by the widely-followed and well-respected policy analyst and political commentator Ian Bremer:
Quote:

If it is concluded, the Trump-Iran deal is arguably the least worst outcome available to President Trump.

Except for: 1) agreeing to those terms months ago, or 2) not having gone to war in the first place, or 3) not having withdrawn from the Iranian nuclear deal.


Jmho, Bremer is correct. Trump has put himself -- and tens of millions of American voters who are struggling to pay their bills or operate a business or farm -- into a Kobiyashi Maru no-win situation because of his own decisions.

The least-bad path forward is a deal with Iran. If Trump can get that, gasoline and LNG / natural gas and diesel and fertilizer prices will decrease a little. The world and U.S. economy will have been damaged but might yet avoid a major recession.

Voters, business owners, and farmers know why gasoline, diesel, fertilizer, and grocery prices have increased substantially the past 16 months. It is because of Trump's war and Trump's tariffs.

The November election will be a referendum on Trump's war, tariffs, and his high gasoline, diesel, and grocery prices.


The goaltenders everywhere for Trump on this never get tired no matter how many times he moves the goalposts! You have to admire that about Trump.

One of my favorites is how Biden $4 gas was bad but Trump $4 gas is not bad it's a sacrifice. Not only that it's not near as bad as we thought the sacrifice was going to be as we thought it was going to be much higher so we should be appreciative.

The same people who raved about how great the Biden I Did That stickers were now shun anyone that brings up the fuel prices.

Even if they voted Republican and they say anything negative about the guy who campaigned on high gas prices being bad they get called a leftist and not America First.

DeschutesAg
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You're right.

Economic analysts are saying the first three months of Trump's war have cost U.S. households an additional $48,000,000,000 for gasoline and diesel.

The additional input fuel cost to American businesses, American industry, U.S. federal - state - & - local governments, and American farmers has probably been another $45B-$50B.

Most of those costs get passed on to American households via higher bills, higher prices, and higher taxes. But some of it can't be passed on. It must be absorbed by farmers and businesses and government employers.

All for an unnecessary war.

I don't think most American voters view this as "winning" or a "golden age". That is just from the first 90 days. The higher costs are going to continue for months to come.
japantiger
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K2-HMFIC
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