The problem isn't losing the old core (springer, Correa, Bregman). Springer has never been close to what he was with us, Correa has been maybe marginally better than Pena, and Bregman was never the cornerstone of a team. Without Yordan and Tucker coming up, we probably don't win in 2022.
We kept arguably the two best cornerstones over the elite years - Altuve and Yordan. We've been able to replace high level pitching with more high level pitching.
What's the difference then? Why does it seem like we've fallen so far?
1. The supporting pieces are nowhere close to as good.
We went from Yuli to Abreu to now a slow starting Christian Walker with some Singleton and Caratini thrown in.
We went from Brantley and Tucker to McCormick and Tucker (sometimes Yordan with Caratini taking DH which is a net downgrade still), to now Altuve and a combo of McCormick, Smith, and Dezenzo (which leaves a combo of Dubon and Rogers at 2B, an overall massive net downgrade).
It pretty much all comes down to 1B and outfield have sucked ass for two years (outside of half a season of Tucker last year).
2. Fire? Intensity? Passion?
One of those things that get scoffed at, but who is the vocal leader? Who holds players accountable? The current group feels like a collection of paycheck collectors with a couple lead by example veterans. As mentioned, not winning and struggling whether win or lose makes things seem worse than they are, but I would still argue the burning passion is gone from this club. And it felt that way last year too. Dusty, for all his faults, wanted to win so damned bad and that seemed to rub off some on the team.
3. Are we better than we think?
You could argue yes. Unless the league has just completely figured out Yainer (Stop ****ing swinging at low outside breaking pitches), Walker never comes around, Smith doesn't improve, Yordan keeps struggling, and we continue to be generally unlucky with ball placement, it's hard to imagine us actually getting worse. As mentioned by someone else, Yordan is struggling from having no protection. But even still, he's missing the sweet spot way more than expected. I truly think he coasted through spring. Will be worried if this keeps up through mid May. It really does come down to Yainer and Walker. If they can't be better, then this is what we are. If they can perform at league average, we probably have 1-2 more wins. If one of them can truly break out, things could be a lot different. Get a breakout from one of those two, which helps Yordan get back to his standard, see improvement from Smith, and then we're hunting for an impact bat at the deadline to make a run.