***** Official Houston Astros 2026 Season Thread *****

682,467 Views | 10641 Replies | Last: 33 min ago by txags92
tjack16
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AG
10 game road trip

5-5 or 6-4 should be the hope
txags11
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If there was ever a time to turn it on and say "we're not selling" you have to take 2/3 and 3/4 from Minneosta and Texas respectively, and in the same sentence can't get swept by the Cubs.

6-4 or 7-3 has to be the goal..5-5 or less and you start talking to buyers.

Pena is apparently going to play in 2 of the 3 in Minnesota so that is a start.
Beau Holder
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All three of our pitchers against the Twins have WHIPs above 1.50 and ERAs of 9.24, 6.86, and 5.72. So, there's that.
tjack16
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txags11 said:

If there was ever a time to turn it on and say "we're not selling" you have to take 2/3 and 3/4 from Minneosta and Texas respectively, and in the same sentence can't get swept by the Cubs.

6-4 or 7-3 has to be the goal..5-5 or less and you start talking to buyers.

Pena is apparently going to play in 2 of the 3 in Minnesota so that is a start.


I'm just thinking realistically

3-3 against Minnesota and Chicago
2-2 against Texas

Then you maybe put together a few home series wins against milwaukee, pirates and A's (5-4 or 6-3 homestand)

To me that's at least keeping you in striking distance when reinforcements arrive (Hader, Brown, Pearson, Loperfido)
CharleyKerfeld
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Astros Bingo Update 5-17-2026

Reason to Smile:
We are no longer last in run differential! The Angels were swept by the Dodgers and outscored 31-3 this weekend. We are -51, but they are -60.
It's 47 games into the season and the Dodgers have 8 total homers from the combined $82 million salary of Kyle Tucker and Freddie Freeman.
Braden Shewmake's slugging percentage is 200 points higher than Alex Bregman's.

Reasons to Barf:
It's pretty embarrassing when the other team scores 8 runs and your team ERA only goes up 0.06 because you're already so terrible.
The first 3 innings of tonight's game are going to take 2 hours. Imai has 14 walks in 12.2 innings pitched. Minnesota's guy has 8 walks in 7.1 innings pitched.


Terrible but True AL West Headline of the Day: Rangers lose 2 of 3 in Houston, lower A's division lead to 1 game.


And now, the newest sensation, sweeping the nation.

Better Know a Poster
Day 7 spotlight: RED AG 98



Current Bingo Score: 1
Place: Tied for 4th with 50 other people
Squares Achieved: Rangers suck and that's it
Predicted Astros record: 85-77. Just need to finish the year 66-48 (.579)


Squares that look like future wins:
Rockies > 52 wins. I think that pace is 63 right now.
Altuve < 22 HR. Unfortunately, this is a lock.
Walker > 85 RBI. Captain Mustache looks good.
Yordan > 80 RBI. Cruising towards it.
Loperfido < 100 G. Astros' medical staff probably harvesting his organs as we speak.
Trout > 100 G played. He's almost halfway there.


Squares that are technically still humanly possible:
<700 runs scored. That number is nosediving lately. Pace down to 716.
Pena team stolen base lead. He's missed the last games and he's only trailing Cam Smith by 5 steals.
Tucker > 90 RBI. He had 3 yesterday; pace is 79.


Squares that haven't aged so well:
85-89 wins
6+ game win streak. How about a 6+ weekend win streak, like if we win a game each weekend it counts?
Pena > 20 stolen bases. Actually playing a game is unfortunately required for this.
Bregman > 80 RBI. He had 2 yesterday. His pace is a whopping 55.
Hunter Brown: All-Star





MaxPower
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We love the Cubans so maybe?

SECcess12
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Had to do a double take. Looked like a young Sammy Sosa.
RED AG 98
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YAAAAASSSSS! Incredibly Gen X of me I know but Hulk was absolutely my favorite as a kid and I'm about 98% sure that's not something I've ever posted on TA.
RED AG 98
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Also, Walker hitting >85 HR would be fun. We'd probably sign him to extension, only for him to permanently damage his shoulder and neck in a weird offseason incident with a pillow.
Mr.Ackar07
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You should have put the severed hand back on the bingo table for added humor.
CharleyKerfeld
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RED AG 98 said:

YAAAAASSSSS! Incredibly Gen X of me I know but Hulk was absolutely my favorite as a kid and I'm about 98% sure that's not something I've ever posted on TA.

I just randomly though of Red Hulk this morning being furious at yesterday's whipping.
The funny thing is the prompt kept on getting rejected and it kept saying "third-party infringement" and I assumed it meant Marvel/The Hulk, but it was actually depicting "ESPADA" on an Astros jersey because apparently sports coaches/managers are some sensitivity scale with AI that doesn't let you depict them.
Mathguy64
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tjack16 said:

txags11 said:

If there was ever a time to turn it on and say "we're not selling" you have to take 2/3 and 3/4 from Minneosta and Texas respectively, and in the same sentence can't get swept by the Cubs.

6-4 or 7-3 has to be the goal..5-5 or less and you start talking to buyers.

Pena is apparently going to play in 2 of the 3 in Minnesota so that is a start.


I'm just thinking realistically

3-3 against Minnesota and Chicago
2-2 against Texas

Then you maybe put together a few home series wins against milwaukee, pirates and A's (5-4 or 6-3 homestand)

To me that's at least keeping you in striking distance when reinforcements arrive (Hader, Brown, Pearson, Loperfido)


If there is any hope that this thing gets turned around this needs to be a 6-4 trip at a minimum. They have to stop the bleeding and chip away at the deficit.

I don't expect that. I'll be shocked if it's even 5-5. It's just not a good team.
RED AG 98
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this is legit hilarious
MaxPower
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This is the way. Give me Ritchie and Hartman, who is a huge HH upside lefty bat that can play CF and let's roll. I don't see that as a "rebuild" trade either because Ritchie might be your #2 next year.

agproducer
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Thoughts?



Vox Clamantis
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Look at how they massacred my boy

Jackal99
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She looks exhausting.
CharleyKerfeld
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agproducer said:

Thoughts?





Long blonde hair, loves baseball, taunting a Cub. I mean she checks some boxes.

And PCA does suck: he's hitting ..234 with a .688 OPS and has 48 strikeouts in 47 games.


I drafted him in fantasy baseball this year and some guy was obsessed with him and wanted to trade for him within 30 minutes of the draft ending. I asked for Bobby Witt Jr in return. He bristled and fumed. Two weeks later I got Witt for PCA

MaxPower
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My thoughts are….did he get her digits? Sounds like they have some things to work out
agproducer
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Pathetic Arlington fan is pathetic.

Dr. Doctor
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agproducer said:

Pathetic Arlington fan is pathetic.



Ally is incorrect in her statement. Dallas* person has seen boobs.


Just not ones he didn't have to PAY to see....

~egon
MaxPower
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He's crushing high A and is old for the level so this makes sense but the interesting thing is Janek is there. I can't help but think this kid has passed him on the brass' pecking order.

linkdude
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probably also trying to get better evals on his in-game power. Asheville plays in an offensive league it seems, while CC suppresses power in the home ballpark.

it'll be interesting to watch his OPS and see how it tracks (also facing more polished prospects, etc.)
texasaggie2015
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I would be pretty surprised if Janek is ever anything besides a backup catcher in the big leagues.

Unfortunate. Things can change but that's where I'm at with him.

That was a really odd draft pick looking back. I know Crane has wanted high ceiling/low floor prospects but I never thought his ceiling was very high.
SpaceCityAg05
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Quote:

I know Crane has wanted high ceiling/low floor prospects but I never thought his ceiling was very high.


So is that mode of thinking coming from Crane? I have been criticizing that constant mode of thinking but was attributing the strategy to Dana Brown.
texasaggie2015
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Dana has always been a fan of players with high ceilings and loud tools. A part of the reason Crane hired Dana was because of his eye for those kinds of players.

Crane wanted those types of players in the last few drafts. I'm not sure if Brown was told to draft them or if that was Dana's plan regardless but I know Crane wanted those types of guys.
Mathguy64
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What am I missing. Shouldn't every GM be looking for guys with high ceilings? That's not exactly an unusual strategy.
texasaggie2015
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High ceiling/low floor.

Guys like Brice Matthews for example who have very loud tools but are very raw and have a wider range of outcomes than others.

Other guys may have a lower ceiling but much less bust potential and are seen as a "safer pick".
CharleyKerfeld
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Mathguy64 said:

What am I missing. Shouldn't every GM be looking for guys with high ceilings? That's not exactly an unusual strategy.

Think: Eric Anthony or Daryle Ward. if he figures it out, he's the next superstar. if he doesn't, well, he doesn't.

MaxPower
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linkdude said:

probably also trying to get better evals on his in-game power. Asheville plays in an offensive league it seems, while CC suppresses power in the home ballpark.

it'll be interesting to watch his OPS and see how it tracks (also facing more polished prospects, etc.)
Yes Asheville is a hitter's park whereas CC is more neutral. The Atlantic League overall isn't necessarily a big hitter's league. Basically 3 parks are big hitters parks and everything else is neutral or pitcher friendly.
texasaggie2015
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Man I really liked Daryle Ward. Wish it would have clicked for him. Dude had serious power.

My dad and I met him before the first ever game at Enron Field. The exhibition against the Yankees. My dad told him he's going to be the first Astro to hit a homer at Enron. Daryle laughed and said he just hopes to get a hit.

Sure enough Ward went deep and was the first Astro to do it. He saw us a few months later and gave my dad a big handshake and remembered the conversation. Really nice guy.
SpaceCityAg05
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The issue is that if you don't hit, not only do ypu not get superstars, but you don't even have servicable players.

Look at our position players at AAA right now. It is a waste land.
CharleyKerfeld
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texasaggie2015 said:

Man I really liked Daryle Ward. Wish it would have clicked for him. Dude had serious power.

A long time ago I had two employees i used to compare to Berkman and Ward - one was a natural talent but only delivered in flashes; the other seemed to have less raw talent, but worked hard every day and delivered nonstop for years.
linkdude
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Would a Haco pick have a high enough ceiling? Not sure how much his power plays vs pure bat to ball skills, but wonder if this would be a steal if he drops to us.
Ag_07
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For me the bigger issue is a GM drafting players at the owner's request.

Sounds to me like Dana is just a yes man and that's why he was hired.

Crane wasn't happy when Click didn't fall in line so he went and got someone who would.
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