$APP down 14% today to $587. This is why I sold it all at $95 I knew this day was coming pic.twitter.com/qCX29qKQkC
— Nick Schmidt (@NickSchmidt_) October 6, 2025
Stock Markets
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Last: 1 min ago by Hill08
Heineken-Ashi said:Apache said:Quote:
This ain't your grandaddy's market.
It may be your great-grandaddy's market soon! The current roaring 20's feature low interest rates, a declining jobs market & plenty of overly optimistic speculation. Seriously thinking about cashing out on some of the positions I have in RGTI, OKLO, SMR, etc.
As long as OKLO holds $100, it has serious upside expansion potential. My next target is $175 range and it could legitimately see mid $300's in this cycle
Anyone have targets on SMCI? Been on a good run lately.
I do, but it's from pre-disaster buy. Still in the hole on it and looking for a good exit point.
El Chupacabra said:
Anyone have targets on SMCI? Been on a good run lately.
I could easily see $70 with the fervor of this speculative call buying...bulls are just being paid out week after week...until there is a negative catalyst, why would you go against this insane trend?!?
(coming from someone underweight)
The combined weighting of the mag-7 accounts for over 40% of the Nasdaq 100 and about 33% of the S&P 500.
Essentially, a dozen or so mega-cap stocks are dictating the markets, their benchmarks, and the headlines. There are plenty of short opportunities out there - consumer staples, restaurants, certain retailers, and healthcare names - but you have to do your work. A meaningful pullback likely will need some sort of catalyst, and if earnings are your trigger, it would likely require weakness from the dozen or so stocks that dominate index weightings, a concentration we haven't seen since the 1970s (I haven't double-checked that last part)..
We've had like 25 or 30 ATHs this year, and yet the VIX is yawning. A large number of investors continue to buy expensive protection (through puts and covered calls) that essentially expire worthless or are covered, which drives the market higher. It's as if the weeklies are being squeezed into every expiration and then reset on Monday mornings.
Essentially, a dozen or so mega-cap stocks are dictating the markets, their benchmarks, and the headlines. There are plenty of short opportunities out there - consumer staples, restaurants, certain retailers, and healthcare names - but you have to do your work. A meaningful pullback likely will need some sort of catalyst, and if earnings are your trigger, it would likely require weakness from the dozen or so stocks that dominate index weightings, a concentration we haven't seen since the 1970s (I haven't double-checked that last part)..
We've had like 25 or 30 ATHs this year, and yet the VIX is yawning. A large number of investors continue to buy expensive protection (through puts and covered calls) that essentially expire worthless or are covered, which drives the market higher. It's as if the weeklies are being squeezed into every expiration and then reset on Monday mornings.
tysker said:
The combined weighting of the mag-7 accounts for over 40% of the Nasdaq 100 and about 33% of the S&P 500.
Essentially, a dozen or so mega-cap stocks are dictating the markets, their benchmarks, and the headlines. There are plenty of short opportunities out there - consumer staples, restaurants, certain retailers, and healthcare names - but you have to do your work. A meaningful pullback likely will need some sort of catalyst, and if earnings are your trigger, it would likely require weakness from the dozen or so stocks that dominate index weightings, a concentration we haven't seen since the 1970s (I haven't double-checked that last part)..
We've had like 25 or 30 ATHs this year, and yet the VIX is yawning. A large number of investors continue to buy expensive protection (through puts and covered calls) that essentially expire worthless or are covered, which drives the market higher. It's as if the weeklies are being squeezed into every expiration and then reset on Monday mornings.
from everything I'm hearing, the put protection has been very cheap...oddly too cheap, per the fast money guys...
and the put/call ratio is extremely low...in extreme greed territory...there are way more call buyers out there from resources that I read/hear...and they are getting paid out in droves...
EnronAg said:tysker said:
The combined weighting of the mag-7 accounts for over 40% of the Nasdaq 100 and about 33% of the S&P 500.
Essentially, a dozen or so mega-cap stocks are dictating the markets, their benchmarks, and the headlines. There are plenty of short opportunities out there - consumer staples, restaurants, certain retailers, and healthcare names - but you have to do your work. A meaningful pullback likely will need some sort of catalyst, and if earnings are your trigger, it would likely require weakness from the dozen or so stocks that dominate index weightings, a concentration we haven't seen since the 1970s (I haven't double-checked that last part)..
We've had like 25 or 30 ATHs this year, and yet the VIX is yawning. A large number of investors continue to buy expensive protection (through puts and covered calls) that essentially expire worthless or are covered, which drives the market higher. It's as if the weeklies are being squeezed into every expiration and then reset on Monday mornings.
from everything I'm hearing, the put protection has been very cheap...oddly too cheap, per the fast money guys...
and the put/call ratio is extremely low...in extreme greed territory...there are way more call buyers out there from resources that I read/hear...and they are getting paid out in droves...
Relative to VIX and relative vol, yes. But not based on skew. There's a constant supply of short-dated options and systematic vol selling (zero-day options, covered calls, yield enhancement trades) has kept implied vol suppressed.
However, most retail investors typically buy put protection that only pays off if the market drops by a few percent or more, and this costs more because everyone wants insurance against a significant drop. It's this skew that is expensive. The counterparty of these higher skew trades is the institutions that are pushing the stock price in the opposite direction of the protection.
All this and BRKB still can't get over 505.
GPHOF is up about 20% today, but I couldn't buy it yesterday because my brokerages wouldn't let me. Not that I was gonna put a ton of money in it, but still.
With the government buying stakes in companies, the insider trading going on has to be insane.
outside bar day on both SPY and QQQ...me thinks OA and 30k are rounding up the troops to even up that lopsided put/call ratio
CNBC saying Oracle reportedly lost $100M renting Nvidia chips last quarter.
Brian Earl Spilner said:
Taking BBAI profits and looking for reentry.
Good thing I sold...
Rolled my WWR covered calls, never expected a run like this! 10/17 $1.5C to 11/21 $3C for the same price. This baby is JUICED
Ag CPA said:
CNBC saying Oracle reportedly lost $100M renting Nvidia chips last quarter.
lol
ProgN said:trip98 said:
Prog catch a ban?
Nope, the risk in this market has me bearish. I've been selling winners and offsetting gains with losers to build cash. I've built up a significant cash pile that I'll sit on for the time being. I'm not shorting the market, just building up cash because right now it feels like playing musical chairs on the Titanic.
I'm getting spooked too. These gainz are crazy.
cgh1999 said:
If you're invested/interested in regional banks, be on the lookout for some action in the coming months. I met with a couple of investment bankers and bank attorneys earlier this week and while no specifics were discussed, there was a strong implication that there were 10+ deals in process. Not yet at announcement stage, but well past "flirting".
Rumors are that Huntington Bank has a large acquisition teed up to be announced as soon as they close the Veritex deal (which just got pushed to mid October as they're still pending Fed approval).
Two of the rumored targets are IBOC and CMA. Both have increased activity in Q1 options.
Hearing some new rumors -
Cadence (CADE)
First Horizon (FHN)
Hancock-Whitney (HWC)
Stellar (STEL)
Each of these are potential targets for different reasons - I'm heavily invested in the first two and have been nibbling at STEL. Which means HWC is likely going to get the biggest pop!
Bought AST Space Mobile at 25 and its up to 75 today.
jamey said:
What percent do you have in cash?
I moved 10% to cash last week and probably do another 5 or 10 this week
70ish
I love making my monthly paycheck on 5-character ticker symbols. What could go wrong?
Meanwhile, BRKB kicks into high gear with a 0.40% day.
Meanwhile, BRKB kicks into high gear with a 0.40% day.
I bought 10% more ORCL when it hit the mid 270s today. Timing of this report citing internal documents seems suspect to me when they have an event next week that could help push them higher. Hopefully that will be the case. Around the 330s-340s I will be looking to reduce position assuming no significant developements between now and then.
Chef Elko said:
Rolled my WWR covered calls, never expected a run like this! 10/17 $1.5C to 11/21 $3C for the same price. This baby is JUICED
I bought a bit today...just for fun...not enough to matter...you can see on today's chart EXACTLY where I bought in.
El Chupacabra said:Chef Elko said:
Rolled my WWR covered calls, never expected a run like this! 10/17 $1.5C to 11/21 $3C for the same price. This baby is JUICED
I bought a bit today...just for fun...not enough to matter...you can see on today's chart EXACTLY where I bought in.
Thanks for helping me get out at 1.59
I got out of FIG this morning, in the high 66's, but the way it's run the last several days I will not be shocked when it's at $78 soon. I just think it might hit some sell pressure between now and then with some people who got in early in the 70s and are looking to exit. And there's not much volume to support the price until it gets back down to 60, and I am not willing to take that ride on this one for now.
Taking a chance here selling Dell hoping that it hits its head at 164 and goes back down to about the mid 140s before I think about buying back in heavily. It does have a chance to run to 180 soon but again one with not much to support it if it drops from the 160s until 150.
Buying BULL here. It may still go lower here but I like the chances for a bounce off of these levels to the 13-14 area over the next month.
flashplayer said:
I got out of FIG this morning, in the high 66's, but the way it's run the last several days I will not be shocked when it's at $78 soon. I just think it might hit some sell pressure between now and then with some people who got in early in the 70s and are looking to exit. And there's not much volume to support the price until it gets back down to 60, and I am not willing to take that ride on this one for now.
Typical, I got out at 61 yesterday
flashplayer said:
Buying BULL here. It may still go lower here but I like the chances for a bounce off of these levels to the 13-14 area over the next month.
Will take that ride with you. I've traded it on run ups a few times now for nice gains
flashplayer said:
Taking a chance here selling Dell hoping that it hits its head at 164 and goes back down to about the mid 140s before I think about buying back in heavily. It does have a chance to run to 180 soon but again one with not much to support it if it drops from the 160s until 150.
I hated to do it, but I rolled my covered calls from Dec. $160s to Jan $180s. Not quite ready to let the shares go...
TSM is unstoppable.
New to this, but I went heavy on UAMY at 8.7 yesterday and dumped it at 9.98 early this morning.
Juan Solo said:
New to this, but I went heavy on UAMY at 8.7 yesterday and dumped it at 9.98 early this morning.
You're doing it right
TAMU ‘98 Ole Miss ‘21
Brian Earl Spilner said:
TSM is unstoppable.
Up 50% YTD no biggie
TAMU ‘98 Ole Miss ‘21
flashplayer said:
I got out of FIG this morning, in the high 66's, but the way it's run the last several days I will not be shocked when it's at $78 soon. I just think it might hit some sell pressure between now and then with some people who got in early in the 70s and are looking to exit. And there's not much volume to support the price until it gets back down to 60, and I am not willing to take that ride on this one for now.
Finally almost back to breakeven. Sporting my fig leaf skibbies today to celebrate the rally.
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