Ragoo said:aggieforester05 said:Ragoo said:Proposition Joe said:Ragoo said:Proposition Joe said:NoahAg said:AggieFrog said:FishrCoAg said:Charismatic Megafauna said:
Wow what if artists end up being the only workers that ai can't replace!?
And the world's oldest profession, of course
Plumbers, HVAC, etc. etc.
If the AI predictions are accurate (I'm highly skeptical) then even those jobs won't be safe long term. And if we see significant layoffs just in white collar we're likely headed for a severe recession. The top 10% of income earners drive 50% of all spending in the US these days.
Yeah, I don't see robo-plumbers or android HVAC technicians being a thing in my lifetime. Or my future grandchildren's lifetime. They will always require a human element.
But that doesn't mean they are shielded from impacts of AI in industry as a whole.
If you've got 10,000 computer programmers and 1,000 HVAC installers and 9,000 of the programmer jobs go away, a percentage of those people are going to start training to be HVAC installers -- bringing up the amount of supply of those laborers and in turn putting a ceiling on their pay.
It's like when you look at the McDonalds employees and how they will all be pretty easily replaced by robotics and kiosks... That's a problem for everyone, because that's an enormous number of workers that will now be looking elsewhere for work.
there will be new jobs currently unknown to us.
The tractor took jobs away from crop planters and pickers but created a need for lubricants, fuels, and mechanics, etc.
Jobs dont vanish, they become something new.
The idea that jobs always evolve or X new industry jobs are created for every X is comforting, but it's built on a relatively small sample size.
Right now there are 3.8 million fast food workers. We are not that far away from roughly 80% of them being rendered obsolete. Kiosk or AI order taking, robotic creation. You'll need 1, maybe 2 people around to make sure things don't go haywire.
So what industry would 3 million people enter into tomorrow?
you assume 100% adoption and 80% utilization.
There are fast food companies like CFA that I would highly doubt they adopt any type of robotic interface that subtracts from the hospitality of the experience. Someplace like Taco Bell, sure.
They'll have to to a certain extent or they won't be able to remain cost competitive. Maybe they can give a slightly more humanized experience than Taco Bell at the customer interface, but behind the scenes they will need to automate to keep up with their competitors. CFA is a little more upscale than Taco Bell, so that will help.
be honest, when was the last time you considered price when going to CFA? You went to CFA because you wanted their food, or someone else in your family wanted their food.
You're right, but I'm fat and make bad decisions. Not everyone is the same. If Taco Bell automates and CFA doesn't the valley between their prices will grow even further. It will have real consequences on their bottom end. It's basic supply and demand. Taco Bell is surprisingly expensive these days, btw.
What if GM hand built all of their trucks and Ford automates and undercuts GM's prices by 20%. How many of the GM faithful will go out a buy a GM poverty pony when they can get a Lariat Ford for the same price?
