It seems to my newb layman understanding is that the drop of gold, along with other assets, is moving inverse of the strengthening dollar which began with the March FF hike. The fed is telling us they will continue to use their blunt tool to kill demand with another hike at the end of the month. So by that logic, until the fed pivots gold and other assets are going to continue to fall in dollar terms.
This is screaming recession, if not depression, and the feds dual mandate tells us that until we unemployment get bad they will continue to hike. The current job market has a lot of room to fall before we get there. The problem is that this is all backward looking and they obviously have a history of misreading the situation and overshooting. This seems to indicate were going to have stagflation with falling asset prices and wages combined with high Consumer Price Lie (CPI) for the next year at least.
Of course I also believe that when the pivot finally happens, you will see the largest stimmy package ever conceived and once that happens you better have hard assets like gold and real estate. The bright side here is if my thoughts are correct we are entering the best buying opportunity for those two you could ask for.
I am, and will continue to DCA 10% into physical silver and PM and Uranium ETFs (just started this with a small SDIRA) and I want to put 10% into some miners as pure speculation. Those all seem like super bargains to me right now.