Do we have enough time? - Page 3

AgFan1974

Joined: Jun 1, 2024

Posts: 564

User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring

How long do you want to ignore this user?

24 hours One week Permanently Cancel

Just a quick AI search and not sure how accurate. That said, a run would almost certainly be without the aid of home field so the point is valid.

Home-field advantage: Teams that host a regional tournament have a substantial advantage.
16 regional hosts: The 16 teams that host a regional annually claim roughly 6 of the 8 CWS spots.
Other 48 teams: The remaining 48 teams claim just 2 CWS spots, according to NCAA.com.
Super Regional: 48.1% of teams that host a regional advance to the Super Regional.
Elimination: Only 3.2% of teams that host a regional are eliminated without winning a game.

Tough road but if we play like we have been of late, absolutely they can get in.

1

Agryan00

Joined: May 31, 2015

Posts: 1,079

User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring

How long do you want to ignore this user?

24 hours One week Permanently Cancel

9:09a, 4/14/25

So if I am interpreting this correctly goal is to be seed 9-16 as the Super Regional host seeds only wins 48% of the time.

Also I think top 8 national seeds have only one the tournament twice since 2004.

Sean98

Joined: Aug 30, 2000

Posts: 39,929

User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring

How long do you want to ignore this user?

24 hours One week Permanently Cancel

In reply to Agryan00 • 9:17a, 4/14/25

AG

Agryan00 said:

Also I think top 8 national seeds have only one the tournament twice since 2004.

This is inaccurate by a factor of at least 4x

2

tjack16

Joined: Jul 14, 2014

Posts: 34,829

User Profile

Private Message

Ignore User Stop Ignoring

How long do you want to ignore this user?

24 hours One week Permanently Cancel

In reply to Agryan00 • 9:18a, 4/14/25

AG

Agryan00 said:
So if I am interpreting this correctly goal is to be seed 9-16 as the Super Regional host seeds only wins 48% of the time.

Also I think top 8 national seeds have only one the tournament twice since 2004.

That definitely can't be accurate (the last part)

2024 Tennessee, 2023 LSU, 2019 Vanderbilt, 2018 Oregon state and 2017 Florida all off the top were national seeds and I'm sure there were more in the 2010s

1 edit

Sean98

Joined: Aug 30, 2000

Posts: 39,929

User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring

How long do you want to ignore this user?

24 hours One week Permanently Cancel

In reply to tjack16 • 9:22a, 4/14/25

AG

2009 LSU, 2011 S. Carolina, 2021 State as well

VegasAg86

Joined: Oct 30, 2010

Posts: 10,852

User Profile

Private Message

Ignore User Stop Ignoring

How long do you want to ignore this user?

24 hours One week Permanently Cancel

In reply to Agryan00 • 9:56a, 4/14/25

AG

Agryan00 said:
So if I am interpreting this correctly goal is to be seed 9-16 as the Super Regional host seeds only wins 48% of the time.

Also I think top 8 national seeds have only one the tournament twice since 2004.

It says 48% of teams that host a regional. That includes super hosts.

I think you're thinking of #1 overall seeds for the 2 wins.