***Iran [Military Action Thread]***[See Staff Note in OP]
1,935,765 Views |
8888 Replies |
Last: 8 hrs ago by docb
ErnestEndeavor said:
Axios is reporting the war may be ending soon based on a one-page memo. Iran has agreed to moratorium on enrichment. Strait will open with no tolls or blockade, gradually over 30 days. US will lift some sanctions.
Details will be ironed out over a 30 day period.
US wants 20 years of zero enrichment, Iran has supposedly agreed to 5.
If it is just five years this was all stupid.
Axios reporting Iran may agree to up to 15. No enrichment at all. Not even low levels for medical radiology needs.
These negotiations are like the one time I tried to negotiate the price of a cab ride in Bahrain. And it's taking just as long.
VDH has a good theory about how it ends.
Synopsis:
Synopsis:
Quote:
So in the next week to month, something's got to give, and that "got to give" will probably be that the United States will take the move to force open the Strait of Hormuz. And when they react to that by sending missiles, then they will finish the job and destroy their ability economically and militarily, for good.
Source Heritage Foundation Daily Signal
San Angelo LIVE!
https://sanangelolive.com/
https://sanangelolive.com/
The Fall Guy said:ErnestEndeavor said:
Axios is reporting the war may be ending soon based on a one-page memo. Iran has agreed to moratorium on enrichment. Strait will open with no tolls or blockade, gradually over 30 days. US will lift some sanctions.
Details will be ironed out over a 30 day period.
US wants 20 years of zero enrichment, Iran has supposedly agreed to 5.
If it is just five years this was all stupid.
Yeah, pretty much the same minus some heads and structures. Still going to be a sharia ****hole.
The Fall Guy said:ErnestEndeavor said:
Axios is reporting the war may be ending soon based on a one-page memo. Iran has agreed to moratorium on enrichment. Strait will open with no tolls or blockade, gradually over 30 days. US will lift some sanctions.
Details will be ironed out over a 30 day period.
US wants 20 years of zero enrichment, Iran has supposedly agreed to 5.
If it is just five years this was all stupid.
This was all stupid. Trump and squad completely miscalculated this whole thing. Iran strengthening grip on the strait.
I think the IRG members have Robinhood accounts and are day trading oil ETFs. It;s open, it's closed, its open...
SAFE PASSAGE RESTORED IN HORMUZ
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) May 6, 2026
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Navy says transit through the Strait of Hormuz is now secure, citing an end to U.S. threats and the introduction of new procedures. In its first response to the U.S. halting assistance for stranded ships, the Guards did…
JB!98 said:YouBet said:
Trump now pausing Project Freedom to try and get a deal finalized.
Please notice the smiley face! I know this is hard for us armchair generals/policy makers/strategists to comprehend, but maybe we do not fully understand everything that is going on behind the scenes. Rome was not built in a day.
My uneducated guess:
I think all of Trump's tweets are a diversion. Listen to Rubio, Bessent, and Hegseth. They are the voice of reality. Trump is just F'ing with them playing his unhinged character to a tee.
If we actually have 4D chess-
everyone needs to understand that Islamic Republic Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi WAS IN CHINA YESTERDAY.
coincidentally, Trump ends all transit through the Straits of Hormuz yesterday.
a Strait that provides China with huge amounts of energy.
coincidence!!
Also, millions are too stupid to realize that there could already be a deal for the IRGC to open the Straits or at least not fire on the Americans-
but they are too embarrassed to publicly admit it.
so they have Trump tell the world there will be no more USA escorts, and the Iranians stop interfering with traffic.
win / win
but they are too embarrassed to publicly admit it.
so they have Trump tell the world there will be no more USA escorts, and the Iranians stop interfering with traffic.
win / win
nortex97 said:
Escort operation (Project Freedom) suspended.President Trump: Based on the request of Pakistan and other Countries, the tremendous Military Success that we have had during the Campaign against the Country of Iran and, additionally, the fact that Great Progress has been made toward a Complete and Final Agreement with… pic.twitter.com/vwQpwZyEM8
— Polymarket Intel (@PolymarketIntel) May 6, 2026
What agreement?
A worthless agreement that they will not follow and we are playing right in to their hands. Yall think they are just going to leave their enrichment facilities there to rot? Not rebuild their military? China and Russia will help them with it
Stopping the blockade instantly gets them around 10 billion, to pay their army and start rebuilding. Then lifting the sanctions gives them even more money
They will be right back to where they were in a year. We just wasted 50+ billion dollars, 13 killed and 380 wounded for a worthless "deal"
Logos Stick said:
I think the IRG members have Robinhood accounts and are day trading oil ETFs. It;s open, it's closed, its open...SAFE PASSAGE RESTORED IN HORMUZ
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) May 6, 2026
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Navy says transit through the Strait of Hormuz is now secure, citing an end to U.S. threats and the introduction of new procedures. In its first response to the U.S. halting assistance for stranded ships, the Guards did…
It's not really open. It's only open if you pay 2 million to the IRGC
BREAKING: Iran has launched a new website called the "Persian Gulf Strait Authority" to oversee traffic through the Strait of Hormuz just minutes after an Axios report claimed a deal was near to end the war and reopen Hormuz.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) May 6, 2026
The site signals plans to charge ships for safe…
ErnestEndeavor said:
Axios is reporting the war may be ending soon based on a one-page memo. Iran has agreed to moratorium on enrichment. Strait will open with no tolls or blockade, gradually over 30 days. US will lift some sanctions.
Details will be ironed out over a 30 day period.
US wants 20 years of zero enrichment, Iran has supposedly agreed to 5.
What a joke this has turned out to be
So why did we have to stop project freedom again? What exactly was that doing to hurt Iran that it had to be on the table to start the framework of the deal?
They will continue to harass boats and control the strait.....
Logos Stick said:
I think the IRG members have Robinhood accounts and are day trading oil ETFs. It;s open, it's closed, its open...SAFE PASSAGE RESTORED IN HORMUZ
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) May 6, 2026
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Navy says transit through the Strait of Hormuz is now secure, citing an end to U.S. threats and the introduction of new procedures. In its first response to the U.S. halting assistance for stranded ships, the Guards did…
So stop project Freedom so Iran can say they opened the strait and hence they control it still
ENDGAME
Iran threw whatever it had at our destroyers a couple days ago during the transit. We destroyed all six of their small attack boats. Iran knows that we can do whatever we want. Let's wait for the final deal.
LMCane said:
ENDGAME
If they don't agree, and "the bombing starts" again, how hard is it to ensure these enrichment facilities are destroyed?
this is just laughingly wrong on so many issues.
are you stating you want Trump to smash the Islamic Republic militarily now?
because to claim that "the Iranians will be right back where they were in a year" is bizarre.
ask Ayatollah Ali Khameini, the Air Force planes, and the entire Navy if they will be back in a year.
and you can ask the thousands of SAM sites, ballistic missiles, and ballistic missile launchers if they will be back in 365 days.
and the storage facilities under the mountains, and the heavy manufacturing plants, and the steel and iron ore plants. let's see if they will be rebuilt in a year.
are you stating you want Trump to smash the Islamic Republic militarily now?
because to claim that "the Iranians will be right back where they were in a year" is bizarre.
ask Ayatollah Ali Khameini, the Air Force planes, and the entire Navy if they will be back in a year.
and you can ask the thousands of SAM sites, ballistic missiles, and ballistic missile launchers if they will be back in 365 days.
and the storage facilities under the mountains, and the heavy manufacturing plants, and the steel and iron ore plants. let's see if they will be rebuilt in a year.
Catag94 said:LMCane said:
ENDGAME
If they don't agree, and "the bombing starts" again, how hard is it to ensure these enrichment facilities are destroyed?
the objective won't be to hit enrichment facilities which have mostly been completely blown up by now.
the entire sticking point is GETTING THE ALREADY ENRICHED URANIUM (60% which Trump calls the "dust") out of the storage caves under Isfahan or Pickaxe Mountain
bombing won't get it back- but it could force the Iranians to finally sign a deal they don't want to sign.
once the IRGC starts to lose all ability to plunder billions of dollars- they will start to break apart.
We and the Israelis are watching and will be watching for any activity suggesting resumed nuclear enrichment and development. If they do it they will try to hide it but there are certain activities that are all but unavoidable in order to construct and operate a large number of centrifuges.
This war may have convinced the Iranians to stop working on a bomb, since we have shown them it is far cheaper and more effective for them just to close the straight of Hormuz whenever they want to hold the world hostage….
BREAKING: US oil prices are experiencing a sharp reversal, now up +8% in 60 minutes, as doubts grow over an Axios-reported potential deal to end the Iran War.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) May 6, 2026
This comes as Iran has launched a new website called the "Persian Gulf Strait Authority." pic.twitter.com/VcwtV7UZMe
amercer said:
This war may have convinced the Iranians to stop working on a bomb, since we have shown them it is far cheaper and more effective for them just to close the straight of Hormuz whenever they want to hold the world hostage….
au contraire
without a nuclear bomb THEY CANNOT CONTROL THE STRAITS
WITH a nuclear bomb they can hold the entire world hostage.
as we have JUST SEEN
MouthBQ98 said:
We and the Israelis are watching and will be watching for any activity suggesting resumed nuclear enrichment and development. If they do it they will try to hide it but there are certain activities that are all but unavoidable in order to construct and operate a large number of centrifuges.
This. It's back to the strategy we should have used for Iraq. Destroy facilities. Hit any rebuild again. These nutjobs cannot be allowed freedom to build nukes. This was by no means a wasted effort.
They are currently holding the world hostage with some speedboats and drones. And that's with a US armada in place. We've just shown them they can do it anytime they want and the US can't stop them
Without regime change we are kicking the can down the road to revisit again. Regime change is not just leaders at the top it is also the tentacles of the IRGC. Must be pulled out with all the roots to ensure progress.
Not like a nuke would. And we didn't show them anything. They've been able to do this for nearly 50 years. Those of us that were around in the 80s have seen it before. It will settle back down
MJ20/20 said:
Without regime change we are kicking the can down the road to revisit again. Regime change is not just leaders at the top it is also the tentacles of the IRGC. Must be pulled out with all the roots to ensure progress.
Iraq Part 2. We aren't going to sign up for that again. What we are doing now should have been the Iraq strategy, not vice versa. Yes, we'll have to hit them again. And probably again. Far lower price than Iraq was, and at some point, we probably get to a regime that plays ball with us a bit more so they don't get killed.
MJ20/20 said:
Without regime change we are kicking the can down the road to revisit again. Regime change is not just leaders at the top it is also the tentacles of the IRGC. Must be pulled out with all the roots to ensure progress.
Civil war within Iran is the only way that happens, and we may not like what we get. It's not a sure thing.
The only way we get a civil war in Iran is to continue the blockade and air strikes . Continuing the blockade and air strikes means Iran blows up all the oil infrastructure in the UAE and surrounding countries, except for maybe Saudi. Doing that means an energy crisis in throughout the world and the US. An energy crisis in the US means a political wipeout for republicans.
Is that a cost Trump is willing to pay? I don't think so, which is why he fell for another Pakistani message that gave him an off ramp when he should've learned from the last couple times.
Hopefully the derails above are dealt with.
DOW up over 500 points indicating the markets are optimistic regarding the SoH being made safe and free for all.
Iran launching a website and causing folks to make bizarre claims that Iran is winning makes it seem as though Tehran Tommy signed up a bunch of TexAgs folks to get the word out.
We maintain authority of all air and see routes to Iran. By their own actions and ours, they are nearly 100% cutoff from the world both in comms but more importantly in trading and financial systems.
Iran has shown it is just about down to throwing rocks at us. Quit cheering them to victory every time you hear a rock clang off the side of one of our warships.
DOW up over 500 points indicating the markets are optimistic regarding the SoH being made safe and free for all.
Iran launching a website and causing folks to make bizarre claims that Iran is winning makes it seem as though Tehran Tommy signed up a bunch of TexAgs folks to get the word out.
We maintain authority of all air and see routes to Iran. By their own actions and ours, they are nearly 100% cutoff from the world both in comms but more importantly in trading and financial systems.
Iran has shown it is just about down to throwing rocks at us. Quit cheering them to victory every time you hear a rock clang off the side of one of our warships.
Logos Stick said:BREAKING: US oil prices are experiencing a sharp reversal, now up +8% in 60 minutes, as doubts grow over an Axios-reported potential deal to end the Iran War.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) May 6, 2026
This comes as Iran has launched a new website called the "Persian Gulf Strait Authority." pic.twitter.com/VcwtV7UZMe
Makes you wonder who is playing these. I think insiders who have first access to these information releases suggesting major changes to future availability are playing the hell out of these on the market. Why wouldn't they, where it is legal? I do start to wonder if we are seeing purposeful market manipulation via information releases in a volatile environment now, however
Yeah, this isn't explicitly a military action but could be strategic in regards to what actions are publicized regarding activity to transit the Strait versus kept concealed. Practically every action by Itan and The US that suggests future effects on strait transit is moving the market right now.
[Grandstanding on moderation won't get you anywhere but a timeout. We are moderating this thread to encourage discussion on the military conflict, ceasefire, and ongoing negotiations between countries to end the conflict. One-off statements that could be political but also relevant to the conflict could be fair game. Overtly political statements belong on other threads so as not to derail this one. Some subjectivity involved for sure, but we are doing the best we can -- Staff]
Propaganda and economic manipulation are every bit a part of military planning & execution and bullets and bombs. Has really always been the case going back to the ancient times.
LMCane said:
this is just laughingly wrong on so many issues.
are you stating you want Trump to smash the Islamic Republic militarily now?
because to claim that "the Iranians will be right back where they were in a year" is bizarre.
ask Ayatollah Ali Khameini, the Air Force planes, and the entire Navy if they will be back in a year.
and you can ask the thousands of SAM sites, ballistic missiles, and ballistic missile launchers if they will be back in 365 days.
and the storage facilities under the mountains, and the heavy manufacturing plants, and the steel and iron ore plants. let's see if they will be rebuilt in a year.
They will be reloaded with Missiles and drones, They are hidden everywhere in that country. China and Russia will also help them reload
I could care less about their Navy or Air Force. How exactly did they pose a threat to Israel or us? It is about drones and Missiles, which they still have plenty of. You really think we destroyed all their factories and military infrastructure? They have stuff hidden
All it takes is their small boats to control the strait and they have plenty of those.
How is China and Russia doing their resupply? Pretty sure shipping via water and air are out.
Are there nightly trains and convoys rolling through without us knowing?
Are there nightly trains and convoys rolling through without us knowing?
Featured Stories
See All
17:04
11h ago
2.5k
CHAMPS! Aggie women's tennis claims second national championship
by Richard Zane
Deluded push for 24 teams would dilute the CFP
by Olin Buchanan
Matthews is another big-time Elko Era recruiting win
by Jason Howell
6:54
3h ago
1.1k
96AgGrad
Anonymous Coach Comment on Elko: "Mike Elko is a real-deal ball coach"
in Billy Liucci's TexAgs Premium
116
Bay Ag
Anonymous Coach Comment on Elko: "Mike Elko is a real-deal ball coach"
in Billy Liucci's TexAgs Premium
105
DeepETX_Aggie
Anonymous Coach Comment on Elko: "Mike Elko is a real-deal ball coach"
in Billy Liucci's TexAgs Premium
99