What's Trump's off ramp on Iran? Bad intel?

18,926 Views | 219 Replies | Last: 9 days ago by flown-the-coop
Ag with kids
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FWTXAg said:

BlackGold said:

FobTies said:



Trump didnt have to post this about Bibi publicly. He chose to. Good Trump shining through.

Imagine Trump again claiming "Israel doesnt know WTF they are doing", then slowly adopting the position that this is Israel's war with Iran. That we did our part to Midnight Hammer them, 2.0 with Ep Fury. That its not in the US taxpayer's best interest to fund Bibi's regime change aspirations.

When that happens, I highly doubt F16 will call Trump a "jew hater". They will hop on board and pretend they always knew this was Israel's war, not ours.


Yup. Trump is listening and understands that many of his voters (not the neo-con warhawks), myself included, think he got played by Israel/Bibi/Miriam Adelson, which he was. It's also causing many folks to question Israel's motives and scrutinize Israel in a much more vigorous way than in the past which has been needed for quite some time. If all this reduces the effect of the Israel lobby in the US, I will be pleased.


It will. 90% of 40 and Unders are not only America First, but America Only. Israel (and everybody else) better get as much as they can becuase the gravy train is about to leave the station. Young Americans are broke and disenfranchised, that money will be staying at home in the future.

So, since 90% of Republicans support this kinetic action against Iran, that means the VAST majority of Republicans are Over 40...

Somehow, I don't believe your math
Ag with kids
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Enviroag02 said:

For some people to believe that Iran is an imminent threat, Iran would actually have to attack the US. For rational people to believe that Iran is an imminent threat they would simply have to take Iran at their word and believe the same regime that is willing to murder their own people and publically hang their own people might simply be in and of itself an imminent threat. Which person are you?

Some people will look at a suitcase nuke going off in Times Square and ask for more proof that Iran is an imminent threat...
AuditAg
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Enviroag02 said:

I simply used the religious component to highlight the fact that the Iranian regime believes it is their absolute duty to eliminate us. They are driven by that even moreso than helping their own people. That's a bit different than NK I would think.

What would you need to see to believe that Iran was an in imminent threat?

The ability to do anything about it.


Iran has been an imminent threat for 40-some odd years. That's not imminent. I thought we obliterated their nuclear capability months ago, and any talk otherwise was trying to make the admin look bad.

A dozen (and I will use a term from the president) "s*&t hole countries want to wish death to America. We could swat any attack away as we do with flies. Then go flatten that country in a second, and I'd be for boots on the ground. We'd have international backing. The problem is when you actually go "I hate flies, let's kill all the flies, and let's get new flies that won't bother us". "In fact, I hate flies so much I am going to go fight my neighbor's flies for me to distract from some files coming out"


But back to the mess here, Regime Change:

How many times has that worked? Iran isn't Afghanistan. First Iran is 2.5x the State of Texas. So a prolonged conflict in Iran will make Afghanistan look like a small misstep.

Trump had "NO IDEA" that Iran would attack our bases and allies in the region???? I work in the Tech Field, I could've told you what Iran was going to do. He got told what Iran was going to do. In fact, you can go read about this. People who actually study these kinds of things have said for years what Iran would do if attacked. It's like public knowledge.


What's the goal here?

Was it just to make Iran no longer an imminent threat? Ok I guess, but we kinda kicked the can down the road a bit. This is honestly the only off-ramp. He'll declare some victory, Mission Accomplished. We'll declare their missle program over or something. Again, until they build it back up again. We're not going to stop them from pumping out $600 drones that do quite a bit of damage and require quite a bit of defensive expenditure on our side to counter.

Full regime change? Good luck, even with boots on the ground, which does anyone have a taste for?







Ag with kids
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Mattressburn said:

Enviroag02 said:

I simply used the religious component to highlight the fact that the Iranian regime believes it is their absolute duty to eliminate us. They are driven by that even moreso than helping their own people. That's a bit different than NK I would think.

What would you need to see to believe that Iran was an in imminent threat?

The ability to do anything about it.


Iran has been an imminent threat for 40-some odd years. That's not imminent. I thought we obliterated their nuclear capability months ago, and any talk otherwise was trying to make the admin look bad.

A dozen (and I will use a term from the president) "s*&t hole countries want to wish death to America. We could swat any attack away as we do with flies. Then go flatten that country in a second, and I'd be for boots on the ground. We'd have international backing. The problem is when you actually go "I hate flies, let's kill all the flies, and let's get new flies that won't bother us". "In fact, I hate flies so much I am going to go fight my neighbor's flies for me to distract from some files coming out"


But back to the mess here, Regime Change:

How many times has that worked? Iran isn't Afghanistan. First Iran is 2.5x the State of Texas. So a prolonged conflict in Iran will make Afghanistan look like a small misstep.

Trump had "NO IDEA" that Iran would attack our bases and allies in the region???? I work in the Tech Field, I could've told you what Iran was going to do. He got told what Iran was going to do. In fact, you can go read about this. People who actually study these kinds of things have said for years what Iran would do if attacked. It's like public knowledge.


What's the goal here?

Was it just to make Iran no longer an imminent threat? Ok I guess, but we kinda kicked the can down the road a bit. This is honestly the only off-ramp. He'll declare some victory, Mission Accomplished. We'll declare their missle program over or something. Again, until they build it back up again. We're not going to stop them from pumping out $600 drones that do quite a bit of damage and require quite a bit of defensive expenditure on our side to counter.

Full regime change? Good luck, even with boots on the ground, which does anyone have a taste for?

Iran has killed about 1000 Americans since 1979. What's the number they need to kill before you think they REALLY mean it and are going to attack us IMMINENTLY?
richardag
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FobTies said:

mslags97 said:


The irony of you coming on and saying nukes wasn't part of the imminent discussion is beyond absurd….

I was very clear when starting this thread that it was about the Trump claim of an Iranian "plot to attack the US".

We get it. You all love to regurgitate that "Iran was enriching Uranium" -> "therefore they have ambition to build a nuke" -> "therefore its an imminent threat".

Im refering to below. What Tulsi was asked about, but didn't answer. Instead of confirming there was an imminent threat for Epic Fury, she claimed only the POTUS can make that determination.



They enriched uranium to 69%, there is no use for this high enrollment other than for enrollment to 90%, weapons grade.
the Iranian negotiators admitted as much.
ETA: never mind nortex97 already responded with the facts destroying any argument about Iran's intentions to build a nuclear weapon.
We really need to rewrite our laws concerning libel and slander.
richardag
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FobTies said:

Enviroag02 said:

...regime that is willing to murder their own people and publically hang their own people might simply be in and of itself an imminent threat.



The comparison between the Islamic terroristic regime and Kim Jong Un fails completely.
  • one is the leadership of a death cult hell bent on genocide.
  • one is a dictatorship hell bent on self preservation and accumulating wealth.
We really need to rewrite our laws concerning libel and slander.
richardag
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FobTies said:

Enviroag02 said:

Good video…did he use the term imminent?

North Korea had a button, so not as "imminent" as having 60% enriched Uranium, lol. Logic doesnt matter anymore. This is where we are on F16.



Did you miss the negotiations President Trump had face to face with the Communist leader and the immediat de-escalation. North Korea abandoned firing ballistic missiles over Japan. I bet China had words w/ Un.
We really need to rewrite our laws concerning libel and slander.
FobTies
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Nope, I watched the bromance with Rocket Man real time. It was awesome. Trump saved us from "Nuclear Holocaust" without adding 100s of billions in regime change debt:



Then, after that, he saved us from "Nuclear Holocaust" a 2nd time, by simply scraping Obama's Iran deal. Then a 3rd time with Midnight Hammer:


Im Gipper
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Put the weed down Joe!

I'm Gipper
Aggie Apotheosis
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Gap said:

This is silly. There isn't an honest person in either party out there who doesn't think Iran was trying to develop a nuke


If only we had negotiated a deal in 2015 to keep them from getting one.
Ellis Wyatt
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A deal that gave them billions of dollars to make progress towards nuclear weapons and dramatically accelerated the timeline? That was brilliant!

I wonder what Hussein's cut was.
bigtruckguy3500
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Off ramp:
Tell Congress to not approve the 200 billion via backdoor channels.
Tell America we won, but because Congress didn't give the money, we couldn't win more
Leave
dds08
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Gap said:

This is silly. There isn't an honest person in either party out there who doesn't think Iran was trying to develop a nuke, was getting ever closer, and would like to use it against the West (or at least have it as a defense from being obliterated as they continued their damaging and murderous proxy fights against the west).

No reason to relent until Iran has leadership that is friendly to the civilized world.



Russia 2.0, we'll invade our neighbors and if you try anything we'll just conveniently threaten to launch a nuke.
FobTies
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This thread is about the intel our POTUS is getting, how it may have impacted decision for war, and if it may in the future be related to an off ramp.

This video below provides perspective to that end. It also brings into question the balance of expertise being provided to the person in charge of America and our war decisions.

YouBet
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AG
OR, or.....wait until April 29 when Congress doesn't approve any more action/resources.
AGHouston11
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bigtruckguy3500 said:

Off ramp:
Tell Congress to not approve the 200 billion via backdoor channels.
Tell America we won, but because Congress didn't give the money, we couldn't win more
Leave


Nothing should be approved until other important things like the TSA is taken care of!

Meanwhile the 200 Billion sure does make all the hundreds of times Trump said all we do is send money to deal with the Middle East and we have garbage infrastructure here sound familiar.

Meanwhile we hit 39 Trillion and we still have garbage infrastructure.
Agsrback12
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Im Gipper said:



Put the weed down Joe!


When is the last time a non AI appearance has been made by Netinyahoo?
Im Gipper
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Today.

Take the same advice

I'm Gipper
FobTies
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bigtruckguy3500 said:

Off ramp:
Tell Congress to not approve the 200 billion via backdoor channels.
Tell America we won, but because Congress didn't give the money, we couldn't win more
Leave

Very likely. Similar outcome with tariffs and SCOTUS cut off.

The question is will Trump also be able to blame congress for any ME fallout?

I think that will ignite pushback to the original intel/narrative on starting the war. Then its a blame game. Trump blames Bibi bombings for forcing his hand, and Congress for not letting him finish.

Will be clear in a couple months.
BMX Bandit
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BMX Bandit said:

Quote:

No one cares about the intel, he has 60 days to bomb Iran, then we are out.

i don't know how long this will last, but I assure you that Trump (like every president before him since the law was passsed) will say the war powers act is unconstitutional and doesn't stop him from doing anything.






other than magoo, who didn't see this coming?
MarvZindler
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Power of the purse. Congress must authorize funding.
Sid Farkas
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AG
Quote:

No one cares about the intel, he has 60 days to bomb Iran, then we are out.


Obama dropped a bomb every 20 mins for eight years and nobody said a word.
Aggie Dad Sip
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Sid Farkas said:

Quote:

No one cares about the intel, he has 60 days to bomb Iran, then we are out.


Obama dropped a bomb every 20 mins for eight years and nobody said a word.

Well, he did take Bin Laden out, so he's got that going for him…which is nice.
flown-the-coop
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MarvZindler said:

Power of the purse. Congress must authorize funding.

Plenty of existing funds. Next…

Congress cannot tell the Executive not to spend money it's already appropriated. In fact, as we know impeachment hoax #1, it's a high crime or misdemeanor for potus NOT to spend.

Any change to that requires another "act of Congress" subject to presidential veto.

You counted up 67 senators who oppose the action in Iran? Which is supported by 75% of republicans?

Sorry your purse lost.
Matt Hooper
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Kicking China out of the Panama Canal - Yuge
Venezuela - amazing success.
Iran decapitation - incredibly positive. Likely to get even more bigly as the fanatical regime immolates.
Cuba….soon

Trump exit ramp looks like taking the Making America Great Again ramp. Exit Ramp - Year 250.

Enjoy. If you can love USA winning.







Hooper Drives the Boat
Im Gipper
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MarvZindler said:

Power of the purse. Congress must authorize funding.


Keep us posted on funds being cut off.

I'm Gipper
JB!98
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Ag with kids said:

Mattressburn said:

Enviroag02 said:

I simply used the religious component to highlight the fact that the Iranian regime believes it is their absolute duty to eliminate us. They are driven by that even moreso than helping their own people. That's a bit different than NK I would think.

What would you need to see to believe that Iran was an in imminent threat?

The ability to do anything about it.


Iran has been an imminent threat for 40-some odd years. That's not imminent. I thought we obliterated their nuclear capability months ago, and any talk otherwise was trying to make the admin look bad.

A dozen (and I will use a term from the president) "s*&t hole countries want to wish death to America. We could swat any attack away as we do with flies. Then go flatten that country in a second, and I'd be for boots on the ground. We'd have international backing. The problem is when you actually go "I hate flies, let's kill all the flies, and let's get new flies that won't bother us". "In fact, I hate flies so much I am going to go fight my neighbor's flies for me to distract from some files coming out"


But back to the mess here, Regime Change:

How many times has that worked? Iran isn't Afghanistan. First Iran is 2.5x the State of Texas. So a prolonged conflict in Iran will make Afghanistan look like a small misstep.

Trump had "NO IDEA" that Iran would attack our bases and allies in the region???? I work in the Tech Field, I could've told you what Iran was going to do. He got told what Iran was going to do. In fact, you can go read about this. People who actually study these kinds of things have said for years what Iran would do if attacked. It's like public knowledge.


What's the goal here?

Was it just to make Iran no longer an imminent threat? Ok I guess, but we kinda kicked the can down the road a bit. This is honestly the only off-ramp. He'll declare some victory, Mission Accomplished. We'll declare their missle program over or something. Again, until they build it back up again. We're not going to stop them from pumping out $600 drones that do quite a bit of damage and require quite a bit of defensive expenditure on our side to counter.

Full regime change? Good luck, even with boots on the ground, which does anyone have a taste for?

Iran has killed about 1000 Americans since 1979. What's the number they need to kill before you think they REALLY mean it and are going to attack us IMMINENTLY?

241 Marines and sailors were killed in 1983 in Beirut by Hezbollah with Iran being found to be behind it. I would figure at least 1000 service members were killed in Iraq by IED's and foreign fighters that Iran had their fingerprints all over. These F'ers have had it coming for a long time.

  • The attack was carried out by members of the group that would become Hezbollah, with support from Iran. Federal courts have ruled that Iran must pay billions in damages to families of the victims.
  • Between 2006 and 2021, 48% of the 2,189 U.S. troop deaths in Iraq (roughly 1,050) were attributed to IEDs and their variants.
Today, unfortunately, many Americans have good reason to fear that they will be victimized if they are unable to protect themselves. And today, no less than in 1791, the Second Amendment guarantees their right to do so. - Justice Samuel Alito 2022
Ag_of_08
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Sid Farkas said:

Quote:

No one cares about the intel, he has 60 days to bomb Iran, then we are out.


Obama dropped a bomb every 20 mins for eight years and nobody said a word.




Something was said about it almost as frequently. The people saying it are different, but the criticism is the same
Ag with kids
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Ag_of_08 said:

Sid Farkas said:

Quote:

No one cares about the intel, he has 60 days to bomb Iran, then we are out.


Obama dropped a bomb every 20 mins for eight years and nobody said a word.




Something was said about it almost as frequently. The people saying it are different, but the criticism is the same

Oh...there was SOME *****ing about it. But, not really from the GOP in government and only lightly by posters here.

A lot of folks here LIKED ****ing up Assad/
You can turn off signatures, btw
GAC06
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We'd be better off today if we'd done nothing in Syria and Assad was still in power.
Ellis Wyatt
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Yep. Hussein Obama is always on the opposite side of what's good for America.
Ag with kids
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GAC06 said:

We'd be better off today if we'd done nothing in Syria and Assad was still in power.

Maybe...

Assad was a hard ass dictator. So, he was into suppressing the population.

I'm not 100% sure which government in Syria is better.

Assad was a Russian *****. The new gov't was semi ISIS/Talibanish.

I do know the current one, though, wants to align more with the US instead of Russia. So, THAT'S a plus.

Both governments suck or sucked ass, though.

But, things seem more stable now.
You can turn off signatures, btw
Artimus Gordon
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Ayatollah he needs to get rid of the Muslim terrorists and all the IRGC then give the stolen land back to the rightful owners the Persian people. Where's Billy EyeLash
When you need her to whine about stolen land? And Regreta thunburg crying about Palestinian terrorists?
K2-HMFIC
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deddog said:

ErnestEndeavor said:

This is an ass kicking. This is Gulf War 1 air campaign domination stuff against a much stronger, more prepared force, in a much larger country with fewer casualties than what was likely anticipated.

Iran's strategy has been social media flooding, these drone and missile potshots against soft targets and hoping the US media does their part to mislead the public. Democrats seem to be playing along with Iranian propaganda. Pisses me right off.

Trump said from the outset it would be a several week operation and thus far it is on track.

And oil has barely moved higher in the last week despite Hormuz. None of the dire predictions about what would happen if the strait was affected (ermegerd oil $250) have come true at all, yet some in our country seem to be wishing it were.

He needs to stay the damn course and finish the job.

THIS.

He's completely degraded Iran. Their ballistic missile production is finished.
Their air force is finished.
Their cheap TEMU crap is finished.
They are down to cheap (but effective drones), but those are tactical weapons mostly, not strategic.
They've blown their wad on trying to block Hormuz (it will be successful for only so long)
And they've pissed off their Arab neighbors to where, even if Iran's regime survives, they will invest heavier than ever before in weaponry and defense.

Stay and finish the job. At worst, make Iran a strategic non-entity (like iraq). The best case is a US/world friendly regime


According to the DIA Director, Iran retains most of its Air Force and missile capabilities.
agent-maroon
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AG
Quote:

According to the DIA Director, Iran retains most of its Air Force and missile capabilities.

More than half the lies they tell aren't true...
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