***Official Houston Astros 2025-26 Offseason Thread***

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Farmer1906
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In reply to EastCoastAgNc • 3:00p, 3/17/26
AG
EastCoastAgNc said:

That is awesome. I might be more interested in this one than opening day.
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txags92
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In reply to Farmer1906 • 3:15p, 3/17/26
AG
Farmer1906 said:
I was looking at the payroll for the next 2 seasons. We have a fair amount of money coming off, and a good portion of it is from bad contracts.

2027 FA
  • Imai - 18 M (assuming he opts out)
  • McCullers - 17.7 M
  • Abreu - 5.85 M
  • Okert - 2.35 M
  • De Los Santos - 1.6 M
  • TOTAL: 45 M - call it 30 M when you factor in raises for guys moving thru arb.
2028 FA
  • Javier - 21.4 M
  • Walker - 20 M
  • Paredes - 13.35 M
  • Weiss - 5 M
  • Pena - *13 M
  • Meyers - *5 M
  • Pearson - 3 M
  • TOTAL: 81 M - call is 65 M when you factor in raises for guys moving through arb.
*Arb estimates

What this tells me is that we're going to have some serious money to play with for the first time in a long time. We should absolutely be in play when Imai, Paredes, and Pena hit free agency. We should have plenty of funds available if we want to look into extending Smith, Burrows, Arrighetti, Cole, Loperfido, etc. Maybe we don't keep our guys, but we should be able to be competitive with free agents like Kwan, Nootbar, Ryan, Kim. Names, but not mega contract types.

So who is the next best FA 33+ year old 1B we can start watching for declining output starting in 2028? Can we assume at least 1/3 of the 2028 money will be going to Abreu 3.0.
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linkdude
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In reply to Farmer1906 • 3:30p, 3/17/26
AG
Farmer1906 said:
I was looking at the payroll for the next 2 seasons. We have a fair amount of money coming off, and a good portion of it is from bad contracts.

2027 FA
  • Imai - 18 M (assuming he opts out)
  • McCullers - 17.7 M
  • Abreu - 5.85 M
  • Okert - 2.35 M
  • De Los Santos - 1.6 M
  • TOTAL: 45 M - call it 30 M when you factor in raises for guys moving thru arb.
2028 FA
  • Javier - 21.4 M
  • Walker - 20 M
  • Paredes - 13.35 M
  • Weiss - 5 M
  • Pena - *13 M
  • Meyers - *5 M
  • Pearson - 3 M
  • TOTAL: 81 M - call is 65 M when you factor in raises for guys moving through arb.
*Arb estimates

What this tells me is that we're going to have some serious money to play with for the first time in a long time. We should absolutely be in play when Imai, Paredes, and Pena hit free agency. We should have plenty of funds available if we want to look into extending Smith, Burrows, Arrighetti, Cole, Loperfido, etc. Maybe we don't keep our guys, but we should be able to be competitive with free agents like Kwan, Nootbar, Ryan, Kim. Names, but not mega contract types.
I notice Brown's name is absent, I know it's impossible (at this point) to predict FA valuation 3 years out, but I'm guessing his number has to start with a 2__ at this point.
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Farmer1906
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In reply to txags92 • 3:33p, 3/17/26
AG
txags92 said:
Farmer1906 said:
I was looking at the payroll for the next 2 seasons. We have a fair amount of money coming off, and a good portion of it is from bad contracts.

2027 FA
  • Imai - 18 M (assuming he opts out)
  • McCullers - 17.7 M
  • Abreu - 5.85 M
  • Okert - 2.35 M
  • De Los Santos - 1.6 M
  • TOTAL: 45 M - call it 30 M when you factor in raises for guys moving thru arb.
2028 FA
  • Javier - 21.4 M
  • Walker - 20 M
  • Paredes - 13.35 M
  • Weiss - 5 M
  • Pena - *13 M
  • Meyers - *5 M
  • Pearson - 3 M
  • TOTAL: 81 M - call is 65 M when you factor in raises for guys moving through arb.
*Arb estimates

What this tells me is that we're going to have some serious money to play with for the first time in a long time. We should absolutely be in play when Imai, Paredes, and Pena hit free agency. We should have plenty of funds available if we want to look into extending Smith, Burrows, Arrighetti, Cole, Loperfido, etc. Maybe we don't keep our guys, but we should be able to be competitive with free agents like Kwan, Nootbar, Ryan, Kim. Names, but not mega contract types.

So who is the next best FA 33+ year old 1B we can start watching for declining output starting in 2028? Can we assume at least 1/3 of the 2028 money will be going to Abreu 3.0.

I got you.

Here are the top options for the next 15 years:

2027 Yandy Diaz, age 35 (if TB doesn't pick up his option)
2028 Willson Contreras, age 36, Freddie Freeman, age 38, Yandy Diaz, age 36 (if TB does pick up his option)
2029 Matt Olson, age 35
2031 Pete Alonso, age 36
2032 Bryce Harper, age 39
2034 Rafael Devers, age 37
2040 Vlad Jr, age 41
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linkdude
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In reply to Farmer1906 • 3:36p, 3/17/26
AG
can Kevin Alvarez hold a first base glove?
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Farmer1906
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In reply to linkdude • 3:36p, 3/17/26
AG
linkdude said:
Farmer1906 said:
I was looking at the payroll for the next 2 seasons. We have a fair amount of money coming off, and a good portion of it is from bad contracts.

2027 FA
  • Imai - 18 M (assuming he opts out)
  • McCullers - 17.7 M
  • Abreu - 5.85 M
  • Okert - 2.35 M
  • De Los Santos - 1.6 M
  • TOTAL: 45 M - call it 30 M when you factor in raises for guys moving thru arb.
2028 FA
  • Javier - 21.4 M
  • Walker - 20 M
  • Paredes - 13.35 M
  • Weiss - 5 M
  • Pena - *13 M
  • Meyers - *5 M
  • Pearson - 3 M
  • TOTAL: 81 M - call is 65 M when you factor in raises for guys moving through arb.
*Arb estimates

What this tells me is that we're going to have some serious money to play with for the first time in a long time. We should absolutely be in play when Imai, Paredes, and Pena hit free agency. We should have plenty of funds available if we want to look into extending Smith, Burrows, Arrighetti, Cole, Loperfido, etc. Maybe we don't keep our guys, but we should be able to be competitive with free agents like Kwan, Nootbar, Ryan, Kim. Names, but not mega contract types.

I notice Brown's name is absent, I know it's impossible (at this point) to predict FA valuation 3 years out, but I'm guessing his number has to start with a 2__ at this point.

Depends on health, but he should get similar to Cease, Burns, and Fried. 6 to 8 years at 210 to 218 M.
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EastCoastAgNc
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4:41p, 3/17/26
AG

He now knows how we feel watching the Astros in the playoffs
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txags92
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In reply to Farmer1906 • 5:25p, 3/17/26
AG
Farmer1906 said:
txags92 said:
Farmer1906 said:
I was looking at the payroll for the next 2 seasons. We have a fair amount of money coming off, and a good portion of it is from bad contracts.

2027 FA
  • Imai - 18 M (assuming he opts out)
  • McCullers - 17.7 M
  • Abreu - 5.85 M
  • Okert - 2.35 M
  • De Los Santos - 1.6 M
  • TOTAL: 45 M - call it 30 M when you factor in raises for guys moving thru arb.
2028 FA
  • Javier - 21.4 M
  • Walker - 20 M
  • Paredes - 13.35 M
  • Weiss - 5 M
  • Pena - *13 M
  • Meyers - *5 M
  • Pearson - 3 M
  • TOTAL: 81 M - call is 65 M when you factor in raises for guys moving through arb.
*Arb estimates

What this tells me is that we're going to have some serious money to play with for the first time in a long time. We should absolutely be in play when Imai, Paredes, and Pena hit free agency. We should have plenty of funds available if we want to look into extending Smith, Burrows, Arrighetti, Cole, Loperfido, etc. Maybe we don't keep our guys, but we should be able to be competitive with free agents like Kwan, Nootbar, Ryan, Kim. Names, but not mega contract types.

So who is the next best FA 33+ year old 1B we can start watching for declining output starting in 2028? Can we assume at least 1/3 of the 2028 money will be going to Abreu 3.0.

I got you.

Here are the top options for the next 15 years:

2027 Yandy Diaz, age 35 (if TB doesn't pick up his option)
2028 Willson Contreras, age 36, Freddie Freeman, age 38, Yandy Diaz, age 36 (if TB does pick up his option)
2029 Matt Olson, age 35
2031 Pete Alonso, age 36
2032 Bryce Harper, age 39
2034 Rafael Devers, age 37
2040 Vlad Jr, age 41

Jim Crane is looking at that 2027-2028 list like:

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tjack16
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In reply to Farmer1906 • 5:37p, 3/17/26
AG
Excited to see us finally signed Pete Alonso like I've always wanted but five years too late
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Hornbeck
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5:37p, 3/17/26
AG
Please no more "end of their career" types. They don't wear our gear in the HOF plaque.
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linkdude
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6:12p, 3/17/26
AG
it's fixing to be the summer of lopes
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Farmer1906
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In reply to Farmer1906 • 7:19p, 3/17/26
AG
Farmer1906 said:
3rd Coast said:
I thought WBC rules did not allow relievers to go back to back?

They do. It cannot be done if they throw 30+ pitches. That would only eliminate Avila. However, will the Cubs let Palencia throw again? Mariners let Bazardo? Brewers let Zerpa? I doubt it.


Called it.

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3rd Coast
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7:26p, 3/17/26
AG
The concept of the WBC is good but there isn't a good time to play it. I wish non of my teams players were played on it.
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Mathguy64
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7:41p, 3/17/26
AG
Ultimately a mid season break and tournament around the ASG would be best. But that's never happening. The owners aren't giving up 8-10 home dates apiece without compensation. And the minute a big star pitcher goes down with an injury it's game over.
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Beat40
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In reply to 3rd Coast • 8:21p, 3/17/26
3rd Coast said:
The concept of the WBC is good but there isn't a good time to play it. I wish non of my teams players were played on it.


Mid-season, cut down the number of teams, extended all-star break.

I love the WBC. Competitive baseball in March has been a ton of fun.
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Mr.Bond
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8:24p, 3/17/26
AG
can I have a time machine and not trade abreu to Boston
Im looking for Ray Finkle.... and a clean pair of shorts. Im just a very big Finkle fan. This is my Graceland, sir.
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Mathguy64
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In reply to Mr.Bond • 8:36p, 3/17/26
AG
Mr.Bond said:
can I have a time machine and not trade abreu to Boston


We are o-fer on all of our Abreu field player keep/sign decisions as a franchise.
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Mathguy64
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8:52p, 3/17/26
AG
Nice to see Judge is in playoff form 8 months early.
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EastCoastAgNc
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In reply to Mathguy64 • 8:55p, 3/17/26
AG
Mathguy64 said:
Nice to see Judge is in playoff form 8 months early.

Two hanging curveballs and he just watching it all go by.
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Mr.Bond
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8:57p, 3/17/26
AG
Judge is incredibly likable..... but he doesn't have one clutch gene in his 6'7" body
Im looking for Ray Finkle.... and a clean pair of shorts. Im just a very big Finkle fan. This is my Graceland, sir.
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Mathguy64
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9:27p, 3/17/26
AG
So if this ends up in extra innings, how many GMs are speed dialing Omar and DeRosa and telling them no way in hell are they using their relievers?
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Moe Jzyslak
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9:27p, 3/17/26
AG
Future Hall of Famer Bryce Harper
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EastCoastAgNc
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In reply to Moe Jzyslak • 9:29p, 3/17/26
AG
Moe Jzyslak said:
Future Hall of Famer Bryce Harper

He turned the ga... Never mind
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CharleyKerfeld
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In reply to linkdude • 9:42p, 3/17/26
linkdude said:
it's fixing to be the summer of lopes




I'm hoping everyone gets annoyed with this meme because I want to post it every time he does something great.
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JohnnyTexAg1995
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9:54p, 3/17/26
Happy for Omar!
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Bonnettecj1
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9:58p, 3/17/26
No team where Aaron Judge is the captain will ever win a title.
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Wabs
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In reply to Bonnettecj1 • 9:59p, 3/17/26
AG
Bonnettecj1 said:
No team where Aaron Judge is the captain will ever win a title.


I'm ok with that
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Bonnettecj1
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In reply to Wabs • 9:59p, 3/17/26
Wabs said:
Bonnettecj1 said:
No team where Aaron Judge is the captain will ever win a title.


I'm ok with that

Unless it's the USA team, of course.
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Wabs
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In reply to JohnnyTexAg1995 • 10:00p, 3/17/26
AG
JohnnyTexAg1995 said:
Happy for Omar!


Managed circles around DeLoser
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Twisted Helix
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10:00p, 3/17/26
Hopefully Lopez can bring some of that magic back to the Astros.
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Hornbeck
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In reply to CharleyKerfeld • 10:00p, 3/17/26
AG
CharleyKerfeld said:
linkdude said:
it's fixing to be the summer of lopes




I'm hoping everyone gets annoyed with this meme because I want to post it every time he does something great.


Sounds like a bingo square? Over/under on how many Loperfido memes get posted by CK….
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EastCoastAgNc
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In reply to Wabs • 10:01p, 3/17/26
AG
Wabs said:
JohnnyTexAg1995 said:
Happy for Omar!


Managed circles around DeLoser

Hopefully next time they get someone who actually manages and isn't just a morning tv show host.
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Wabs
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10:02p, 3/17/26
AG
Ok, onto the Astros baby! Opening day next week!
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txags92
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In reply to Hornbeck • 10:08p, 3/17/26
AG
Hornbeck said:
CharleyKerfeld said:
linkdude said:
it's fixing to be the summer of lopes




I'm hoping everyone gets annoyed with this meme because I want to post it every time he does something great.


Sounds like a bingo square? Over/under on how many Loperfido memes get posted by CK….

Too ripe for manipulation…
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spadilly
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10:10p, 3/17/26
S
Happy for Bracamonte as well! Living the dream as a bullpen catcher.
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