aezmvp said:
I think the response to Carney is to let Alberta and Seskatichwan know that there are incredibly beneficial and lucrative deals for them if they're outside the Canadian system. While Ontario does have some critical minerals like nickel and uranium and so mining the majority of what the US needs from Canada is in the form of oil and potash which nominally comes from those two provinces respectively. Secure those, give them proven, profitable markets and work with them on infrastructure projects to get their resources to market and Ottowa will be crying uncle.
No east-west transport links outside air. There are no highways, passanger or cargo rail links that are north of Alberta for instance. A cratering in their wealth transfer payments. A chance for those provinces to get their property ownership under control and out from under the crazy first nation crap that is infecting BC and could potentially spread. I'm not sure how long Quebec stays in a weakened Canada either. It's messy, but Carney and his ilk cannot be trusted.
One correction to your analysis. Saskatchewan is Canada's largest producer of uranium, producing nearly 100%. Alberta and Saskatchewan both leaving would be a huge blow to Canada by losing oil fields, potash, and uranium. These provinces also contribute much of Canada's agricultural production.
Quebec, Ontario, Newfoundland-Labrador, and Manitoba produce nickel and copper.