CharleyKerfeld said:
Comparing CJ to David Carr is like people who think Christian Walker is as bad 1B for the Astros as Jose Abreu.
David Carr is the worst player we've ever had and one of the worst players ever. Stroud has talent, he just is broken somewhere inside. Carr's single season high in touchdowns was 16 1 a game. His rookie year he got sacked 76 times and fumbled 21 times. He probably took away 20-30 touchdowns from Andre Johnson's career
Just to clear, CJ needs to go regardless. The team had nothing to lose his first year and they had a nice stretch of fun comebacks and he looked great. But he's definitely regressing. 23-5 (TD/INT) to 20-12 to 19-8. Injuries to your WRs suck, but the other guys can catch if you throw it to them. If you're not going to get rid of him, bring in a vet and/or draft a rookie and make it an closed-door open competition for the job.
The sticking with our guy line is BS. If our left tackle had given up 4 sacks in a half, he'd have been pulled. if a DB got called for 4 red zone pass intereference calls he would have been pulled. Davis Mills should have been given a couple of series to see what he could have done.
i think, and anyone feel free to correct me if i'm wrong, what drives the david carr comparison is less about the players in a 1:1 than it is about the issues that they each had that ultimately curbed their potential to the extent they're unable to do their job. two high draft picks with expectations of being franchise players, both with some fair questions but with bodies of work in college that proved at least at some level, they could at some point be effective qbs. carr was clearly the better athlete of the two but neither were going to be held back by physical tools.
both guys got the job day 1 despite the rosters around them having issues. stroud obviously had much more early success but carr wasn't terrible out the gate all things considered. he at least played well enough that there was a feeling that he might just be the guy. the main thing here is that initially, neither showed significant signs of the issues that would be their undoing until they had some time in the league.
there's obviously no way to prove the why, but i don't think you'll get many people arguing that the early beatings each player took from nfl defenses didn't take their toll. such is the gamble putting your guy out there before you get him adequate blocking. so next thing you know, both qbs became skittish in the pocket, began focusing on the pass rush and feeling it whether it was actually there or not. with so much attention being paid to the rush, it's going to take that much more time to process and execute the play. at this point they sort of guaranteed that even fixing the o lines wouldn't help to the extent it should because they're holding the ball for an amount of time that's unreasonable to expect blocking to hold up (to an extent i think that's where we are now with most of the o line, other than at center, they're better than numbers might suggest). and even though each qb would spend more time processing things in live action, the decision making got worse presumably due to their attention to the pass rush becoming a nagging, inescapable habit they each developed. i imagine it's hard enough to go through your reads against sophisticated coverages, but i would think its almost impossible when you're so shell shocked that your eyes are constantly back and forth from the reads to frantically looking for the defensive end in fear. so pocket presence became non existent, in fact you could almost feel the chaos in their heads by just watching them navigate the pocket, which lead to regular things like running out bounds behind the line of scrimmage (carr) and spinning and rolling unnecessarily right into the path of a defender (stroud). i'm sure there's tons more examples of other bad habits they developed from all this but you get the idea. it becomes sort of a feedback loop of bad habits
to be fair you could argue neither of these guys would have worked out anyway, as they each had at least one notable potential red flag pre draft- carr being a jeff tedford system qb from a smaller program, cj with his supposed failure of that test that predicts potential for quick decision making. i don't necessarily agree that either was doomed by those things, but i at least understand the argument on that basis. as far as i can tell though, their big issues happened to them after being in the league, which means its a psychological/mental problem in all likelihood, and you just don't see psychological stuff like this resolved at this level very often, that generally requires time and patience and all that other stuff that nobody has for you in the nfl. maybe it's not fair comparing cj to carr, but just like was the case when carr showed these issues, im afraid cj's career as an effective starting qb is over with